A strong area of low pressure over southern Lower Michigan during the evening hours of February 16th passed to the north of Lake Erie during the early morning hours of the 17th. m.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS CLE wrote it up.
A strong area of low pressure over southern Lower Michigan during the evening hours of February 16th passed to the north of Lake Erie during the early morning hours of the 17th. A cold front trailing this low moved into Northwest Pennsylvania around 4 a.m. on the 17th. Gusty westerly winds behind this front downed trees and large limbs throughout Erie and Crawford Counties. Peak gusts of 60 mph were recorded at both the Presque Isle Lighthouse and at a marina in North East. Other peak gusts included: 54 mph at the Meadville Airport (Crawford County) and 51 mph at Erie International Airport. Power outages were reported in both Erie and Crawford Counties.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 17, 3:35 AM EST, 25 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO 335 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 .SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)... CDFNT MOVING RAPIDLY EAST AND BEST PRESSURE RISES NOW PUSHING ACROSS FCST AREA. WINDS GUSTS AT ASOS SITES CURRENTLY RANGING FROM UPPER 30S (KNOTS) TO MID 40S...NOT TRUE WARNING CRITERIA BUT STILL SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO BRING DOWN SOME TREES/BRANCHES POWER LINES ETC. WIND SHOULD STILL BE NEAR PEAK AT ISSUANCE TIME SO WILL KEEP WARNING GOING FOR NW OH BUT CUT IT SHORT ENDING AT 10 AM. H8 WIND PROGGED TO GO FROM 55 KTS AT TOL AT 12Z TO 30 KNOTS BY 18Z. EVEN WITH SOME SUNSINE BREAKING THROUGH...THE LOWERING INVERSION AND RELAXING GRADIENT SHOULD START TO LIMIT THE MIXING AND GUSTS. REMAINDER OF FCST AREA WILL CONTINUE WARNING UNTIL NOON. ALONG LAKESHORE WIND COULD LINGER A COUPLE OF HOURS LONGER BUT WORST SHOULD BE OVER BY NOON. WRAP AROUND CLOUDS AND A FEW FLURRIES SHOULD WORK ACRCOSS FCST AREA THIS MORNING. SOME LAKE SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AND WILL HAVE TO ALLOW FOR A FEW INCHES TODAY IN THE SNOW BELT. VERY DRY AIR FILTERING IN AND DEWPOINTS WILL TAKE A RUN AT ZERO TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. CLEARING SHOULD PROGRESS TODAY EXCEPT IN LAKE EFFECT AREAS. NO BUFKIT DATA HERE THIS MORNING (LOCAL SOFTWARE PROBLEM) BUT MODEL SOUNDINGS KEEP INVERSION IN SNOWBELT NEAR 850 MB. TROUGH STILL PROGGED TO DROP SE ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES TNGT WHICH SHOULD RAISE INVERSION A BIT SO THERE IS A WINDOW FOR SOME INCREASED LAKE EFFECT FOR WHILE AS FLOW BACKS A BIT TOWARD WEST AHEAD OF TROUGH. HARD TO IMAGINE THE LAKE EFFECT BANDS WILL REMAIN HEALTHY ON SATURDAY AS THE VERY DRY TRUE ARCTIC AIR MOVES IN AND DO NOT FEEL CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO ISSUE ANY LAKE EFFECT WARNINGS OR ADVISORIES AT THIS TIME SO WILL JUST KEEP LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH GOING. MAX TEMPS TODAY ARE TRICKY AS TEMPS WILL BE FALLING RAPIDLY DURING THE EARLY MORN HOURS. WILL TRY TO FCST 12Z TEMP AND GO FROM THERE. MOS TEMP GUDIANCE DOES NOT HAVE A GOOD HANDLE ON HOURLY TEMPS AS 12Z TEMP AT TOL FORECAST TO BE 38 AND IT IS ALREADY DOWN TO 34. FIGURE MID 20S NW OH...NEAR FREEZING I-71 CORRIDOR AND MID/UPPER 30S TOWARD PA BY 12Z. TEMPS WILL LIKELY RECOVER A FEW DEGREES NW OH THIS AFTERNOON BUT PROBABLY NOT BACK ABOVE 12Z LEVELS. ELSEWHERE TEMPS SHOULD DROP INTO THE MID/UPPER 20S AND LEVEL OUT. BULK OF ARCTIC AIR WILL BE OVERHEAD TOMORROW AND WILL CUT MAX TEMPS A BIT MORE ALTHOUGH WITH LITTLE/NO SNOW COVER AND SOME SUNSHINE TEMPS WILL TRY TO RECOVER SOME BUT WILL HOLD IN THE TEENS MOST AREAS. && .LONG TERM (SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)... DID NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO EXTENDED FCST. FOLLOWING IS DISCUSSION FROM YESTERDAY... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SLOWLY EAST TOWARD THE FORECAST AREA WITH STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION TAKING PLACE. LAKE EFFECT SHOULD CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY NIGHT AS BEST SNOW GROWTH POTENTIAL AND UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION MERGE DURING THE SATURDAY NIGHT PERIOD. A CHANCE OF FLURRIES CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE REST OF THE AREA. INVERSION DROPS BY SATURDAY NIGHT SQUASHING LAKE EFFECT DOWN TO MINIMAL SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY BY SUNDAY. THE HIGH WILL BUILD EAST ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. WEAK TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH THE AREA ON MONDAY WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY POSSIBLE FOLLOWED BY MORE HIGH PRESSURE. CENTERS WILL MOVE TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION TAKING PLACE. THEN...AS HIGH MOVES EAST OF THE AREA...WARM AIR ADVECTION TAKES PLACE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER TEXAS AND MOVE NORTHEAST TO KENTUCKY BY THURSDAY. WILL GO WITH MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES FIRST HALF OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND. GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES LOOK REASONABLE CONSIDERING COLD 850 MB TEMPERATURES PROGGED TO PUSH INTO THE AREA AND COLD ARCTIC AIR MASS DIVING SOUTHEAST. && .AVIATION(06Z-06Z)... STRONG CDFNT MOVING INTO EXTEME NW OH ATTM. SHOULD BE ON TOLEDO AT 06Z MOVING EAST THROUGH CLE ARND 08-09Z AND ERIE BY 11Z. GENERALLY VFR CIGS AHEAD OF FNT WITH OCNL MVFR VSBY IN SHOWERS. CIGS WILL LOWER TO MVFR SHORTLY AFTER FRONT MOVES THROUGH AND MAY OCCASIONALY DROP TO IFR FOR FEW HOURS ESPECIALLY WESTERN AND CENTRAL AREAS. WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 40-45KT AROUND FROPA AND FOR FEW HOURS AFTERWARDS...THEN GUST AROUND 30KT DURING MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. EXPECT CIGS TO IMPROVE TO VFR LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE LOW LIFTS OUT AND DRIER AIR WORKS IN...THOUGH EXTREME NERN AREAS MAY HOLD ONTO THE MVFR CIGS LONGER WITH THE COLD WESTERLY FLOW ACROS THE LERI. HAVE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ERI AREA IN MORNING THEN AGAIN LATE IN PERIOD WITH LAKE EFFECT. && .CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... .OH...HIGH WIND WARNING TIL 10 AM NW OH AND REMAINDER N OH TIL NOON. GALE WARNING LERI TIL 4 PM FRI. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH LAKE...GEAUGA...AND ASHTABULA COUNTIES 7 PM FRIDAY THROUGH 4 PM SATURDAY. LOW WATER STATEMENT WESTERN BASIN LERI. .PA...HIGH WIND WARNING TIL NOON. GALE WARNING LERI TIL 4 PM FRI. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH 7 PM FRIDAY THROUGH 4 PM SATURDAY. && SHORT TERM...KOSARIK LONG TERM...LOMBARDY AVIATION...WCR
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 211 PM EST THU FEB 16 2006 OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-171915- LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA- ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE- TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING- MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE- SOUTHERN ERIE- 211 PM EST THU FEB 16 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT A SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS. HAIL AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS ALSO POSSIBLE. THE SQUALL LINE MAY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO EASTERN OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SQUALL LINE WILL MOVE RAPIDLY THROUGH THE AREA LATE TONIGHT WITH WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 50 AND 60 MPH. SOME TREES...LIMBS MAY COME DOWN AND EVEN SOME POWER OUTAGES MAY OCCUR. A HIGH WIND WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THURSDAY UNTIL NOON ON FRIDAY. THE WINDS WILL DECREASE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THE HIGH WIND WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT FRIDAY MORNING. COLD TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE TEENS SATURDAY AND 20S SUNDAY WITH LOWS GENERALLY 5 TO 15. EVEN WITH DIMINISHING WINDS...WIND CHILLS WILL DROP TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS MAY AFFECT THE SNOW BELT FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE TONIGHT. LEZ142>149-162>169-171915- MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH- THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH- AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH- GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY- MAUMEE BAY OH TO RENO BEACH OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-GENEVA-ON- THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- 211 PM EST THU FEB 16 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT GALE WARNING IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE AND THUNDERSTORMS WINDS MAY GUST IN EXCESS OF 50 KNOTS. LOW WATER MAY ALSO OCCUR ON THE WEST END OF LAKE ERIE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY GALE WARNING IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. LOW WATER MAY ALSO OCCUR ON THE WEST END OF LAKE ERIE FRIDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. KIELTYKA
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Pennsylvania in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in Pennsylvania, February 2006
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5492448, 5492449, 5492450.