1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 2, 1:13 PM MST, 47 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 213 PM MDT SAT SEP 2 2006 .SYNOPSIS... ..FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE BORDERLAND THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... ABUNDANT SUB TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM MEXICO IS FORECAST TO FLOW INTO THE BORDERLAND THROUGH SUNDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO MONDAY MORNING. THIS MOISTURE WILL OVERRUN A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT WHICH WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS TONIGHT...AND SERVE AS A FOCUS TO ENHANCE SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS. MOST AREAS ALREADY HAVE SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS...AND WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF CONSIDERABLE TRAINING OF SLOW MOVING STORMS...A MODERATE TO HIGH POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ACTIVITY SHOULD DECREASE TO A MORE ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED STATE LATER MONDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...HOWEVER AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MAY ADDITIONAL SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY NEXT THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. && .DISCUSSION... LOOKS LIKE A CLASSIC OVERRUNNING SCENARIO IS SETTING UP WITH THE ARRIVAL OF A MODERATE TO STRONG BACK DOOR COLD FRONT THIS EVENING. MESOSCALE SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS AS OF 19Z A FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM ABOUT HOBBS TO ROSWELL TO TRUTH OR C PUSHING SOUTHWESTWARD AND INTO OUR AREA AROUND EARLY EVENING. GENERALLY ALL MODELS AGREE THE FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MOST PORTION OF THE CWA PROVIDING AN EXCELLENT FOCAL POINT TO ENHANCE THE ABUNDANT SUB TROPICAL MOISTURE NOW OVER NORTHERN MEXICO. A CONSIDERABLE PORTION OF THIS MOISTURE IN FACT IS FROM HURRICANE JOHN AND IT SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD UP THE BAJA BUT IS CONSIDERABLE MOISTURE FIELD WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT US AT LEAST INDIRECTLY PROVIDING OVERRUNNING OVER THE FRONT. FOR A LEAST 24 HOURS THE EASTERLIES BEHIND THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM THE SURFACE TO AROUND 500 MB. SATELLITE IMAGERY AS OF 19Z SHOWS AT LEAST 5 TO 6 BANDS OF VORTICITY EXTENDING FROM JOHN (AT THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA) NORTHEASTWARD TO THE U.S.BORDER. OUR ATMOSPHERE THIS MORNING HAD 1.3 INCHES OF PRECIPITABLE WATER ALONG WITH 700 JOULES/KG OF CAPE AND THE GFS (MORE AGGRESSIVE OF THE FORECAST MODELS) INCREASES OUR WATER TO 1.5-1.6 INCHES TONIGHT. THIS WILL BE AT LEAST THE THIRD TIME NOW SINCE AUG 1 WE HAVE SEEN SOUNDINGS SATURATED FROM THE SURFACE TO THE TROPOPAUSE. IT APPEARS NOW THAT THE WINDOW OF POTENTIAL VERY HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING WILL EXIST FROM 6 PM SATURDAY TO AT LEAST 6 PM SUNDAY. THE CONSENSUS OF OPINION IS THAT WE WILL A LARGE AREA OF STRATIFORM RAIN WITH EMBEDDED CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS LINGER OVER THE BORDERLAND POSSIBLY INTO MONDAY MORNING. AREAS SOUTH OF I-10 FROM THE ARIZ BORDER TO LAS CRUCES THEN NORTHEASTWARD TO AROUND RUIDOSO (INCLUDING HUDSPETH COUNTY TX) MAY SEE THE BRUNT OF ACTIVITY. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT SO FAR THE STORMS ON RADAR ARE SHOWING SLOW MOVEMENT AND THE POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING IS QUITE HOW. EVEN WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL ESPECIALLY OVER EXTENDED PERIODS OF TIMES...CONSIDERABLE FLOODING IS LIKELY. EVEN SOME OF THE CONSERVATIVE QPF (QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST) FORECAST MODELS ARE GIVING THE EL PASO AREA AROUND 2 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH MONDAY MORNING THUS ANYWHERE FROM 1- 3 INCHES AND EVEN MORE IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. FORECAST MODELS (ESPECIALLY THE NAM) MOVE THE PRECIPITATION SOUTHWARD OUT OF THE AREA STARTING MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH A BREAK IN THE ACTIVITY (LOWERING THE COVERAGE TO THE ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED RANGE) TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER A FAIRLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY INCREASING THE SHOWER THREAT BACK TO SCATTERED AS IT BRINGS SOME OF THE REMNANTS OF JOHN EASTWARD. IN THE LONGER TERM...THE GFS MODEL SUGGESTS THAT BY THE WEEK OF SEPTEMBER 10...THE WESTERLIES ALOFT BECOME MORE ACTIVE ESPECIALLY OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WITH WITH A SERIES OF UPPER TROUGHS MOVING EASTWARD INDUCING MORE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT ACROSS NEW MEXICO PERHAPS SUGGESTING THE END OF THE MONSOON SEASON. WE SHALL SEE. && .AVIATION... EXPECT MAINLY VFR TO MVFR CONDITIONS THROUGH SUNDAY WITH AREAS OF MVFR/IFR FOR CIGS/VSBY IN HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND PATCHY FOG TONIGHT. MOUNTAIN TOPS AND MOUNTAINS MAY BE FREQUENTLY OBSCURED. SEE LATEST TAFS AND TWEBS FOR UPDATED INFORMATION. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... EL PASO 64 72 62 79 63 / 80 70 50 30 30 SIERRA BLANCA TX 54 69 51 77 56 / 80 70 50 30 20 LAS CRUCES 64 73 62 80 62 / 80 60 50 30 30 ALAMOGORDO 62 76 59 78 60 / 80 70 50 30 20 CLOUDCROFT 45 55 44 59 42 / 80 70 50 40 30 TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 63 73 59 80 60 / 80 60 50 30 30 SILVER CITY 60 68 59 72 58 / 70 50 50 30 30 DEMING 61 75 59 81 58 / 80 50 50 40 30 LORDSBURG 60 80 57 81 57 / 70 50 50 40 30 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... 20 / NOVLAN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 1100 AM MDT SAT SEP 2 2006 NMZ022>025-030>032-TXZ055-056-031800- SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/LOWER GILA REGION-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES REGION- TULAROSA BASIN/SOUTHERN DESERT-SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS- SOUTHWEST DESERT/BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN- SOUTHERN DESERT-EL PASO-HUDSPETH- 1100 AM MDT SAT SEP 2 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS A FAIRLY STRONG BACKDOOR COLD FRONT MOVES INTO OUR AREA FROM THE NORTHEAST. WITH ABUNDANT SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE(IN PART FROM FORMER HURRICANE JOHN) OVERRUNNING THE FRONT FROM THE SOUTHWEST...SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN WITH A HIGH POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ALONG DRAINAGES...ARROYOS AND LOW LYING AREAS AND ROADS. FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE AND THIS ADDED TO AN ALREADY VERY SATURATED GROUND FROM FRIDAY NIGHTS STORM...COULD GREATLY AGGRAVATE THE FLOODING POTENTIAL. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL REMAIN STATIONARY IN THE SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO REGION AT LEAST THROUGH MONDAY WITH CONTAINED OVERRUNNING OF MOIST SUBTROPICAL AIR FROM MEXICO. THUS...THIS COMBINATION WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL OF ONE TO THREE INCHES OVER A WIDE AREA OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS. THUS EXTENSIVE FLOODING IS FAIRLY LIKELY AND ALL INTERESTS ARE URGED TO TAKE TAKE PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES AND BE READY TO TAKE NECESSARY ACTION WHEN CONDITIONS WARRANT AND OR WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. AREAS FLOODED BY PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN EVENTS MAY BE MORE SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING DURING THIS POTENTIAL HEAVY RAIN EVENT. ACTIVITY WILL DECREASING TO A MORE ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED LEVEL TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BUT WITH ANOTHER DISTURBANCE FORECAST IN THE AREA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...ACTIVITY MAY INCREASE TO THE SCATTERED LEVEL AGAIN. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS SHOULD REMAIN ON ALERT AND CONTACT THE LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE IF SEVERE WEATHER OR ANY TYPE OF FLOODING CONDITIONS OCCUR AT THEIR LOCATION. 20 NOVLAN
The El Paso radar (KEPZ), 55 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:02 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Several roads were flooded with a number of them closed in Las Cruces.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, September 2006
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5534689.