Hail in Nebraska, July 27, 2006

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
130 PM CDT THU JUL 27 2006

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY. GENERALLY A TEMPERATURE
FORECAST AS UPPER RIDGE BUILDS IN AND HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS
PREVAIL.

SUBSIDENCE OCCURRING OVER MOST OF THE CWA DURING THE
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS IN POST TROUGH ENVIRONMENT
BUT ANOTHER TROUGH IS EVIDENT IN WATER VAPOR WHICH SHOULD FIRE
MORE SCATTERED CONVECTION AS IT PUSHES SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. USING THE DISTANCE SPEED TOOL...THE LAST OF THE
CONVECTION SHOULD BE PAST THE CWA BY EARLY EVENING AND LOSS OF
INSOLATION SHOULD KILL MOST OF ANY DEVELOPMENT. AFTER THIS...THERE
IS WIDESPREAD AGREEMENT THAT THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS IN AND
TEMPERATURES WILL HEAT UP WITH DRY CONDITIONS AS TEMPERATURES IN
THE MID-LEVELS WILL BE ELEVATED. DID NOT CHANGE MUCH FROM PREVIOUS
FORECAST WITH MINOR TWEAKS. I DID RAISE DEWPOINTS MAINLY IN THE
EAST IN THE NEAR TERM FOR ESPECIALLY NIGHT TIME FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

.LONG TERM...MAIN FORECAST CONCERN WILL BE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT AND TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD.

UPPER RIDGE REMAINS STRONG THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH A WEAK SURFACE
COLD FRONT DEVELOPING ON THE HIGH PLAINS. THE SOUTH WINDS AHEAD OF
THE FRONT AND 850MB TEMPERATURES OF 24 TO 28 DEGREES C SHOULD KEEP
TEMPERATURES AROUND THE 100 DEGREE MARK.

ON MONDAY THE RIDGE STARTS TO SLOWLY BREAK DOWN. ON TUESDAY THE
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA. A
SHORT WAVE MOVES ALSO MOVES THROUGH THE PLAINS. EXPECT THAT THERE
WILL BE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS AROUND IN THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT.
THE TEMPERATURES WILL COOL DOWN A FEW DEGREES EACH DAY ON TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HEINLEIN/JCB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1150 AM CDT THU JUL 27 2006

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
281200-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
1150 AM CDT THU JUL 27 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING BEFORE
10 PM. ALTHOUGH NO WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED...DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING IS POSSIBLE IN ANY THUNDERSTORM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

HEINLEIN