A cold front moved southeast across northern and central Missouri, late morning and early in the afternoon of the 10th. A broken line of strong thunderstorms resulted, with one report of nickel sized hail.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EAX wrote it up.
A cold front moved southeast across northern and central Missouri, late morning and early in the afternoon of the 10th. A broken line of strong thunderstorms resulted, with one report of nickel sized hail. Lightning also struck a school.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 10, 3:30 AM CST, 8 hours 20 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 330 AM CST FRI NOV 10 2006 .DISCUSSION... SURFACE LOW WAS CURRENTLY DEVELOPING IN NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WITH A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING NORTHEAST TO NEAR DMO. ISENTROPIC LIFT ON THE 300-305K SURFACE WAS TRIGGERING SCATTERED SHOWERS IN EASTERN KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI. THE SHOWERS WILL LIKELY BECOME MORE NUMEROUS AS THE ISENTROPIC LIFT CONTINUES THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. DEVELOPMENT WILL ALSO BE AIDED BY RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF JET SEGMENT AND WEAK FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING IN THE H8-H7 LAYER. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WAS CONTINUING TO ADVECT NORTH AHEAD OF THE LOW WITH LOW 60 DEWPOINTS AS FAR NORTH AS SERN KANSAS. MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST NIL TO VERY WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY WITH MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES POOR. COULD SEE ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ALMOST ANYWHERE IN THE CWA THIS MORNING...MORE NUMEROUS IN THE SERN GRIDS. ISENTROPIC LIFT TO CEASE BY EARLY AFTERNOON WITH WEAK MID LEVEL FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING AND WEAK COUPLING OF THE JET TO PROVIDE FOR LIGHT RAIN. MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT THE DEEP MOISTURE IS LIMITED TO THE ERN GRIDS WITH PERHAPS MORE OF A DRIZZLE OR VERY LIGHT RAIN FOR WESTERN MISSOURI. ANOTHER CONCERN IS THE APPROACH OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN THE FOUR CORNERS AREA. MODELS HAVE BEEN BECOMING STRONGER WITH THIS FEATURE. DESPITE...MODERATE TO STRONG H5-H3 LAYER DIVERGENCE-Q EARLY TONIGHT...THE UVV APPEARS TO BE OFFSET BY DEEP LOW LEVEL ISENTROPIC DOWNGLIDE. DEEP MOISTURE ALSO APPEARS TO BE LIMITED WITH THE GREATEST DEPT FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. PRECIPITATION WILL MAINLY BE IN THE FORM OF PATCHES OF DRIZZLE IN THE EVENING FOR WESTERN MISSOURI WITH AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN POSSIBLE FOR CENTRAL MISSOURI. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW FOR NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...BUT NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. STRONG SUBSIDENCE WILL QUICKLY CLEAR CLOUDS FROM WEST TO EAST LATE TONIGHT WILL COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND. MODEL GUIDANCE APPEARS TO BE IN THE BALLPARK. DB && .PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... 1020 PM... PULLED SHOWERS FROM OVERNIGHT PERIOD OVER NORTHEAST CWA AS NORTHEAST WINDS CONTINUE TO ADVECT DRIER AIR IN FROM IL AND EASTERN IA. BEST ISENTROPIC LIFT PROGGED FROM NORTHWEST CORNER MO INTO IA OVERNIGHT WITH A SECOND BUT WEAKER AREA OVER THE WESTERN CWA. HAVE LEFT LIKELY POPS AS IS FOR TONIGHT THIS AREA. ALSO PULLED WESTERN EDGE OF LIKELY POPS FOR TOMORROW MORNING FURTHER WEST AS EXPECT RAIN LIKELY OCCURRING AT START OF THE PERIOD. MJ && .PREV DISCUSSION... 300 PM... WV IMAGERY SHOWS MIDLEVEL WAVE NOW PROGRESSING THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN AREA WITH A STRONG JET STREAK PUNCHING INTO NRN CALIFORNIA ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE WAVE...AIDING IN ITS EWD PROGRESSION. SFC OBS INDICATE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS STALLED NEAR A KSTL-KCNU LINE...AND SWWD DOWN TO A DEVELOPING LEE SIDE LOW IN NW OKLA. THE COMBINATION OF LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS MIDLEVEL WAVE UPON THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE THE PRIMARY WEATHER CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM. HAVE INCREASED PRECIPITATION CHANCES VIRTUALLY AREAWIDE BEGINNING AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AS IMPRESSIVE WAA NEAR THE H8 LEVEL COMMENCES. ALTHOUGH THE DEEPEST ISENTROPIC LIFT REMAINS RELEGATED NORTH OF THE AREA INTO IOWA...FORECAST 8H DEWPOINTS NEAR +14C ON THE NOSE OF A 20-30KT LLJ SHOULD PROVE TO BE SUFFICIENT TO IGNITE A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ALSO LOOK QUITE POSSIBLE DURING THE MORNING HOURS AS FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW MARGINALLY SUFFICIENT LAPSE RATES ABOVE THE NOSE OF THE WAA TO SUPPORT DEEP CONVECTION. GIVEN THE EXPECTED STRENGTH OF THE WAA...MAGNITUDE OF LIFT...AND ELEVATED SHEAR PROFILES...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE SOME SMALL HAIL REPORTS...ALTHOUGH THE MARGINAL LAPSE RATES SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY TYPE OF LARGER HAIL. AS MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL WANE DURING THE MORNING HOURS...AND BECOME REPLACED BY QG FORCING ACROSS CNTRL MISSOURI. SIMILAR TO THE OVERNIGHT/EARLY MORNING SCENARIO...BEST Q VECTOR CONVERGENCE WILL BE LIMITED NORTH OF THE AREA...HOWEVER ENOUGH FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING APPEARS TO BE IN PLACE TO SUSTAIN SHOWER ACTIVITY THROUGH THE MIDDAY HOURS. OTHERWISE...BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN AND CNTRL PLAINS WILL FORCE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTH AND EAST...AND ALLOW MUCH COOLER SFC TEMPERATURES TO ADVECT INTO THE AREA. WILL HIGHLIGHT STEADY OR FALLING TEMPERATURES IN THE ZONES DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. PRECIPITATION SHOULD CLEAR THE AREA QUICKLY FRIDAY EVENING AS THE TROUGH AXIS ALOFT PASSES...AND LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE BECOMES THE PRIMARY DYNAMIC MECHANISM. THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEKEND LOOKS QUITE BENIGN...ALBEIT SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN AVERAGE. FOCUS WILL THEN TURN TO THE NEXT IN A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE PROGRESSING THROUGH THE FAST ZONAL FLOW. 21 ESTABLISHED PROGRESSIVE FLOW PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CONUS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. SEVERAL EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE HEIGHT TROUGHS WILL EVOLVE WITHIN PERSISTENT MID-LATITUDE JET PATTERN AND AFFECT THE CWA THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD. LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE EXTENDED RANGE AS GFS/ECMWF/ENSEMBLES CONTINUE WITH AGREEMENT ISSUES ALONG WITH POOR RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY...ESPECIALLY IN THE LONGER TERM. LATE WEEKEND VORT MAX CURRENTLY DIVING SOUTHWARD OUT OF THE BERING SEA AND ACROSS THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS WILL CONTINUE TO ROUND THE PARENT VORTEX ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. THEREAFTER...INITIAL SHORT WAVE ESTABLISHES ACROSS THE WEST COAST AND QUICKLY PROGRESSES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS DURING THE DAY SUNDAY AS PARENT VORTEX LINGERS OFF THE COAST OF BRITISH COLUMBIA AS BRIEF UPPER RIDGING COMMENCES IN THE WAKE OF AFOREMENTIONED SHORT WAVE. NARROW STREAM OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE MAY ACCOMPANY THIS WAVE WITH THE LARGE MAJORITY OF GULF MOISTURE CUT OFF UNTIL THE TROUGH AXIS PUSHES INTO THE EASTERN US. HOWEVER...WITH WHAT AVAILABLE MOISTURE RETURN ACROSS THE REGION...WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL COMMENCE AHEAD OF SHORT WAVE WITH BEST LIFT DURING THE MORNING HOURS SUNDAY. THEREFORE...CONTINUED WITH CHC OF SHWRS SUNDAY MORNING WITH BETTER CHCS BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING AND INTO MONDAY MORNING AS BETTER DYNAMICS APPROACH THE AREA ASSOCIATED WITH PASSING TROUGH AXIS. BRIEF UPPER RIDGING COMMENCES MONDAY RESULTING IN DRIER CONDITIONS FOR THE START OF THE WEEK. HOWEVER...THIS LOOKS TO BE SHORT LIVED AS THE GFS DEPICTS 195KT H25 JET TO HELP DRIVE GULF OF ALASKA VORTEX INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST DURING THIS TIME FRAME. MODELS DIVERGE BEYOND THIS POINT WITH PROGRESSION AND EVOLUTION OF FOLLOWING SYSTEM. THE ENSEMBLE RUNS SEEM TO BE A BIT MORE PROGRESSIVE IN PUSHING THE EVOLVING UPPER TROUGH INTO THE EASTERN US BY THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF THE WEEK WITH THE ECMWF HANGING THE SYSTEM ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE COUNTRY WITHIN A WEAK BLOCKING PATTERN ACROSS THE CANADIAN PROVINCES. THE OPERATIONAL GFS HAS TRENDED A BIT MORE PROGRESSIVE AS WELL AS OPPOSED TO THE PREVIOUS RUN SHOWING THE HIGHLY UNLIKELY EVOLUTION OF A LARGE CUT-OFF LOW ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE SUBSEQUENT 12Z RUN KEEPS A MORE OPEN TROUGH AND PROGRESSES THIS INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION BY WED-THU BRINGING A QUICKER SHOT OF COLDER CANADIAN AIR INTO THE REGION. EITHER WAY...SAW NO REASON TO STRAY FROM THE PREVIOUS EXTENDED PACKAGE WITH THE LACK OF MODEL CONTINUITY AND ONLY SLIGHT VARIATIONS WERE MADE. WITH THAT BEING SAID...KEPT CHC POPS IN FOR THE TUE INTO EARLY WED TIME FRAME UNTIL BETTER CONFIDENCE IS ESTABLISHED. OTHERWISE...KEPT TEMPS CLOSE TO MEN NUMBERS WHICH TENDED TO BE CLOSE TO NORMAL THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK AND TRENDED TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TOWARDS THE LATTER HALF. DEROCHE && .EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...NONE KS...NONE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 555 AM CST FRI NOV 10 2006 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-111200- ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE- JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER- PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR- BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY- RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD- CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- 555 AM CST FRI NOV 10 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING...SOUTH OF A LINE FROM PAOLA TO WARRENSBURG TO BOONVILLE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE. THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. DB
The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 118 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 17:48 UTC.
1 lightning, 1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
Lightning struck a school in Winston. The lightning hit at the computer lab. There was extensive damage to 7 computers, and the intercom system became inoperable as well. Damage was observed in the roof where the lightning struck. There were no students or teachers in the lab when the lightning hit.
Nickel sized hail at the intersection of Highway 131 and Highway 2.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, November 2006
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5632, 4416.