Strong low pressure moved west of New England producing heavy rain ahead of a cold front. Rainfall of 2 to 3 inches fell on already saturated ground causing rivers to rise and leading to minor flooding.
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The episode as NWS GYX wrote it up.
Strong low pressure moved west of New England producing heavy rain ahead of a cold front. Rainfall of 2 to 3 inches fell on already saturated ground causing rivers to rise and leading to minor flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gray, ME wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 17, 2:09 PM EST, 4 hours 51 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME 209 PM EST FRI NOV 17 2006 .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... COLD FRONT PUSHES EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA EARLY THIS EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN CANADA PULLS AWAY TO THE NORTH EXPECT GRADUALLY CLEAR DOWN WIND OF THE MOUNTAINS. LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE MAINLY CONFINED TO NORTHERN AND WESTERN ZONES BUT NOT LOOKING FOR ANY PRECIPITATION. STILL LOOKING AT TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE OVERNIGHT WITH READINGS FROM THE MID 30S IN THE NORTH TO THE LOWER 40S IN WARMER AREAS OF THE SOUTH. HIGH CLOUDS AHEAD OF SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY DRIFTS INTO THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON SATURDAY WHICH WILL TEND TO LIMIT WEAK NOVEMBER SUNSHINE BUT ONCE AGAIN TEMPERATURES SHOULD AVERAGE OUT ABOVE NORMAL WITH READINGS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S IN SOUTHERN ZONES. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE REGION THROUGH MONDAY PROVIDING UNSTABLE LAPSE RATES WITH COLD POOL ALOFT AND AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO PRODUCE CLOUDS AND SCATTERED RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS, MORE SO FOR THE MOUNTAINS. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH LIFTS OUT WITH ZONAL FLOW SETTING UP PROVIDING DRY AND WARMER WEATHER FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A CUTOFF FORMS SOUTH OF THE WESTERLIES THEN DRIFTS NORTHWARD, POSSIBLY SPREADING CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION INTO THE REGION ON FRIDAY. GENERALLY USED GFS40 AND MAV/MEX MOS GUIDANCE FOR SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY THEN USED HPC GUIDANCE FOR THE REST OF THE LONG TERM FORECAST. && .HYDROLOGY... THE FLOOD WATCHES HAVE ALL BEEN CANCELLED. ONLY TWO RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT, FOR THE SACO RIVER IN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND THE KENNEBEC RIVER IN MAINE. && .AVIATION...VFR...WITH SOME MVFR CONDITIONS IN THE MOUNTAINS. && .MARINE...EXPECT SMALL CRAFT LEVEL WINDS TO DROP OFF THIS EVENING BUT WILL BE CONTINUING ADVISORY THROUGH THE NIGHT FOR SEAS WHICH WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO DIMINISH. LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...SEAS WILL REMAIN HIGH, ABOVE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY THEN THEY SHOULD DROP BELOW THE 5 FOOT THRESHOLD. WINDS SHOULD STAY BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA THROUGH THE LONG TERM DUE TO A LACK OF ANY STRONG PRESSURE SYSTEMS OR PRESSURE GRADIENTS. && .GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY FOR MEZ027. NH...NONE. MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY FOR ANZ150-170. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME 150 PM EST FRI NOV 17 2006 ANZ150-170-MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-NHZ001>010-013-014-181900- STONINGTON ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM- WATERS FROM STONINGTON (DEER ISLE) ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA FROM 25 TO 40 NM-NORTHERN OXFORD-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-CENTRAL SOMERSET- SOUTHERN OXFORD-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-INTERIOR YORK- INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-INTERIOR WALDO- COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-KNOX- COASTAL WALDO-NORTHERN COOS-SOUTHERN COOS-NORTHERN GRAFTON- NORTHERN CARROLL-SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-SULLIVAN- MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-STRAFFORD-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM- COASTAL ROCKINGHAM- 150 PM EST FRI NOV 17 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR...WESTERN MAINE...CENTRAL NEW HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...SOUTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND THE COASTAL WATERS FROM STONINGTON ME TO THE MERRIMACK RIVER MA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE KENNEBEC AND SACO RIVERS. THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE WARNING FOR THE COASTAL WATERS WILL BE LOWERED TO A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER, REPORTS OF ANY FLOODING SHOULD BE RELAYED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Kennebeck River at Skowhegan, (flood stage 35,000 cfs), crested at 39,100 cfs.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Maine in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in Maine, November 2006
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5829.