Flash Flood in Louisiana, April 29, 2006

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
739 PM CDT SAT APR 29 2006

.DISCUSSION...
TOR WATCH 263 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM FOR ST. LANDRY...IBERIA...
LAFAYETTE...ST. MARTIN...ST. MARY...ACADIA...VERMILION...AND
CANCELLED FURTHER NORTH AND WEST OF THESE PARISHES.

SLOW MOVING SQUALL LINE CURRENTLY SOAKING LAFAYETTE AND THE
REMAINDER OF LOWER ACADIANA THIS EVENING...WITH FLOODING PROBLEMS
BEING REPORTED ACROSS BOTH PARISHES. FURTHER WEST...THE TSRA HAS
ENDED...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW POPCORN SHRA NEAR POE.

GRIDS AND ASSOCIATED TEXT FORECASTS UPDATED ACCORDINGLY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... (ISSUED 332 PM CDT SAT APR 29 2006)

UPDATED...LINE OF SEVERE STORMS HAS MOVED OUT OF
SOUTHEAST TEXAS LEAVING BEHIND STABLE CONDITIONS.
THEREFORE...THE TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR
ALL OF LAKE CHARLES SOUTHEAST TEXAS COUNTY WARNING
AREA. THE FORECAST HAS BEEN UPDATED TO REFLECT THIS.

SYNOPSIS...
COLD FRONT ON THE MOVE AFTER MAKING LITTLE PROGRESS
EASTWARD FOR MOST OF THE MORNING HOURS. THE FRONT
WAS CURRENTLY LOCATED FROM EAST OF DALLAS TO WACO TO NEAR
AUSTIN. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...A TIGHT WIND GRADIENT MADE FOR A
WINDY AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. A LINE OF SEVERE STORMS
PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS, HAIL, FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND A FEW
TORNADOES WAS MOVING THROUGH EXTREME SOUTHWEST LA FROM FORT
POLK...TO LAKE CHARLES TO CAMERON.

THIS LINE SHOULD CONTINUE TO PROGRESS EASTWARD TRIGGERING MORE
SEVERE WEATHER AS IT MOVES THROUGH LA. A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED THRU 9 PM FOR MOST OF THE AREA EXCEPT THE EXTREME
NORTHWEST PART OF OUR COUNTY WARNING AREA.

DISCUSSION...
RAIN WILL CLEAR OVERNIGHT FROM WEST TO EAST WITH RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON
OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS, 8 PM FOR MOST OF SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AMD 4
AM FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EXTREME EAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL PART OF
LOUISIANA.

AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE WINDS WILL BE NORTHERLY FOR SUNDAY, BUT
SHIFT RATHER QUICKLY BY SUNDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS
AGAIN ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BASICALLY
HOLD AS A NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES THROUGH MOST OF NEXT
WEEK. A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES LATE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL ALLOW
FOR A RETURN OF RAIN CHANCES AS THE NEXT COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE
REGION ON FRIDAY.

AVIATION...IFR CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS WILL GIVE WAY
TO MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. OVER SOUTHWEST
LA, IFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE BEFORE AND A FEW HOURS AFTER THE
RAINS HAVE LEFT THE AREA. MVFR CONDITIONS MAY RETURN TOWARDS
MORNING ALL AREAS AS A MOIST GROUND, CLEARING SKIES, AND LIGHT WINDS
HELP CREATE POCKETS OF FOG.

MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADIVSORY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AS STRONG
SOUTHERLY FLOW HELP KEEP UP WINDS AND SEAS. CONVECTION MOVING ACROSS
THE COASTAL WATERS WILL ALSO HELP TO ENFORCE THESE CONDITIONS. SEAS
AND WINDS WILL BEGIN TO ABATE TOWARDS MORNING WELL AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  61  83  60  86 /  30   0   0   0
KBPT  62  85  63  85 /   0   0   0   0
KAEX  57  81  57  84 /  30   0   0   0
KLFT  63  83  60  84 /  90   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 9 PM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     ACADIA...IBERIA...LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...ST.
     LANDRY...ST. MARY...UPPER ST. MARTIN...AND VERMILION.

TX...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
449 AM CDT SAT APR 29 2006

GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-
201-215-216-301000-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-
ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-
LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-JASPER-NEWTON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
449 AM CDT SAT APR 29 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF GM...CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST
CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A STRONG LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM WEST OF SHREVEPORT TO
WEST OF HOUSTON THIS MORNING WITH TORNADO WATCHES POSTED AT THIS
TIME AS THE LINE MOVES EASTWARD. THERE IS A THREAT THAT SOME OF
THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH THE MAIN THREAT FROM DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. THERE WILL BE A THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOS.
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO END TONIGHT AS A COOL FRONT SLIPS THROUGH
THE REGION.

THERE IS A THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOOK TO BE ON TAP FROM TUESDAY ONWARD
INTO NEXT WEEKEND ALTHOUGH WE ARE NOT EXPECTING SEVERE WEATHER
WITH THESE STORMS.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY.

K. KUYPER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
556 PM CDT SAT APR 29 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MARKSVILLE              31.13N 92.06W
04/29/2006                   AVOYELLES          LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL FEET OF WATER REPORTED IN SOME HOMES JUST NORTH
            OF MARKSVILLE.

&&

RUA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
557 PM CDT SAT APR 29 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0738 AM     HAIL             5 NW THICKET            30.45N 94.69W
04/29/2006  E0.75 INCH       HARDIN             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HARDIN COUNTY SHERIFF OFFICE REPORTED PENNY SIZE HAIL IN
            THE EXTREME NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE COUNTY.

0814 AM     TSTM WND DMG     WOODVILLE               30.77N 94.42W
04/29/2006                   TYLER              TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HARDIN COUNTY SHERIFF OFFICE REPORTED TREE DOWN IN
            WOODVILLE.

1055 AM     TORNADO          4 SSW KOUNTZE           30.32N 94.34W
04/29/2006                   HARDIN             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HARDIN COUNTY SHERIFF OFFICE REPORTED POSSIBLE TORNADO
            KNOCKING DOWN TREES ALONG HIGHWAY 326 AT LANGHAM ROAD.

1239 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 E HAMSHIRE            29.86N 94.26W
04/29/2006                   JEFFERSON          TX   PUBLIC

            RICE FARMER REPORTED HIS WIND GAUGE TOPPED OUT AT 50 MPH.
            OLD RICE DRYER WAS WRAPPED AROUND UTILITY POLE. SMALL 3
            FRAME BUILDING WAS MOVED 2 FEET OFF ITS BLOCKS.

1255 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG WESTLAKE                30.25N 93.26W
04/29/2006                   CALCASIEU          LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            CALCASIEU 911 REPORTS POWERLINES DOWN IN THE WESTLAKE AND
            CARLYSS AREA. GRADIENT WIND GUSTS TO 43 MPH REPORTED AT
            KLCH ASOS.

0145 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND 35 SSW SABINE PASS      29.27N 94.12W
04/29/2006  E45.00 MPH       GMZ470             TX   PUBLIC

            REPORTED BY PLATFORM IN HIGH ISLNAD BLOCK 110.

0145 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ORANGE                  30.10N 93.76W
04/29/2006                   ORANGE             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY.

0234 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND 7 SW JOHNSON BAYOU      29.70N 93.74W
04/29/2006  M40.00 MPH       GMZ450             LA   PUBLIC

            REPORTED BY PLATFORM IN WEST CAMERON BLOCK 17.

0250 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LONGVILLE               30.60N 93.23W
04/29/2006                   BEAUREGARD         LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FRONT PORCH BLOWN OFF A HOME.

0303 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND 19 SW CAMERON           29.60N 93.52W
04/29/2006  M43.00 MPH       GMZ450             LA   PUBLIC

            REPORTED BY PLATFORM IN WEST CAMERON BLOCK 44.

0540 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BORDELONVILLE           31.11N 91.91W
04/29/2006                   AVOYELLES          LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SHERIFF OFFICE REPORTS TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN
            THROUGHOUT THE PARISH.

0555 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MARKSVILLE              31.13N 92.06W
04/29/2006                   AVOYELLES          LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL FEET OF WATER REPORTED IN SOME HOMES JUST NORTH
            OF MARKSVILLE.

&&

RUA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
607 PM CDT SAT APR 29 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 E CARENCRO            30.31N 91.97W
04/29/2006                   LAFAYETTE          LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAFAYETTE 911 REPORTS TREES DOWN IN THE NORTHEAST PORTION
            OF THE PARISH.

&&

RUA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
644 PM CDT SAT APR 29 2006

LAZ052-300030-
VERMILION-
644 PM CDT SAT APR 29 2006

...STORMS WITH EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING OVER VERMILION PARISH...

AT 641 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LIGHTNING DETECTION
EQUIPMENT INDICATED A STORM WITH EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING 11 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF FORKED ISLAND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE LIGHTNING STORM INCLUDE DELCAMBRE AND
ERATH.

IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...TAKE SHELTER IN A BUILDING OR ENCLOSED
AUTOMOBILE. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS FOUND ON A BEACH OR GOLF COURSE
OFFER NO PROTECTION.

REMEMBER...LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE MANY MILES AWAY FROM THE RAIN. SEEK
SHELTER INDOORS AT THE FIRST SIGN OF AN APPROACHING STORM AND STAY
INSIDE FOR 30 MINUTES AFTER THE LAST SOUND OF THUNDER.

LGE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
729 PM CDT SAT APR 29 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ARNAUDVILLE             30.42N 91.93W
04/29/2006                   ST. LANDRY         LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES REPORTED BLOWN DOWN IN SEVERAL LOCATIONS IN THE
            PARISH

&&

SHAMBURGER

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