Kentucky, 2006High Wind in Kentucky, January 17, 2006
January 17, 2006 · NWS JKL · 1 event in 1 county or zone
1 high wind, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 17, 7:57 PM EST, 2 hours 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 17, 7:57 PM EST, 2 hours 3 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
757 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2006
.DISCUSSION...
00Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS LOW PRESSURE PIVOTING THROUGH THE THUMB OF
MICHIGAN. A COLD FRONT FROM THIS IS JUST ENTERING EAST KENTUCKY
SWITCHING THE WINDS TO THE WEST AT SOMERSET AS I TYPE THIS. ON RADAR
THE BEST OF THE RAIN IS LIFTING NORTHEAST AT A STEADY RATE AND WILL
MOSTLY MAKE IT OUT OF HERE BEFORE THE COLD AIR WRAPS IN. THE WINDS
HAVE BEEN RELATIVELY LIGHT THROUGH THE CWA AND EVEN IN THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...DESPITE THE 75+ KT 850 MB JET DEVELOPING JUST TO THE EAST.
THIS JET WILL CONTINUE TO PULL EAST AND AWAY FROM THE CWA SO HAVE
CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE VIRGINIA BORDER COUNTIES. TEMPS
REMAIN IN THE LOWER 50S OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT BUT QUICKLY FALL
THROUGH THE 40S WITH ITS PASSAGE...FALLING INTO THE MID 30S IN ITS
WAKE. THIS WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE ANY LINGERING RAIN TO SNOW ALONG
WITH THE UBIQUITOUS TRANSITION PERIOD OF SNOW GRAIN/SLEET. THE WRAP
AROUND...MODERATE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE FOR 3 TO 6 HOURS AFTER
THE POST FRONTAL CHANGEOVER LIKELY RESULTING A SLUSHY ACCUMULATIONS
OF UP TO AN INCH. THE SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE LIMITED BY THE WARM GROUND
SFC AND LIMITED UPSLOPE TRAJECTORY. HAVE UPDATED THE GRIDS...WEB
FORECAST AND GRAPHICS FOR THESE EXPECTATIONS. UPDATED TEXT ZONE
FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION...
423 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2006
SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THRU FRIDAY)...THE COLD FRONT HAS MADE IT
THROUGH LEXINGTON AND WILL BE MOVING INTO THE FORECAST AREA VERY
SHORTLY. AS IT DOES..THERE SHOULD BE ANOTHER LINE OF HEAVY SHOWERS
MOVING THROUGH THE AREA. AN AREA OF ENHANCED PRECIPITATION IS ALSO
MOVING ALONG THE FRONT FROM THE SOUTH. THIS ENHANCED PRECIPITATION IS
MOST LIKELY A WAVE WHICH HAS FORMED ALONG THE FRONT. THIS WAVE WILL
ALSO SLOW DOWN THE EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF THE FRONTAL SYSTEM. THIS
WAVE WAS ENHANCED BY THE COUPLING OF TWO JET STREAKS NEAR THE AREA.
ONCE THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA...THEN THERE WILL ALSO BE POST
FRONTAL PRECIPITATION IN THE COLD AIR UNTIL THE 500 HPA TROUGH
PASSES. THE POST FRONTAL SHOWERS SHOULD TURN TO SNOW AROUND 11 PM EST
IN THE FAR WESTERN PART OF THE CWA. SNOW FALL SHOULD BE LESS THAN ONE
INCH EXCEPT UP TO 2 INCHES IN BELL...HARLAN...AND LETCHER COUNTIES
ABOVE 2500 FT. THE ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD END BY 6 AM. THERE IS A
POSSIBILITY OF SOME SNOW FLURRIES IN THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS...HOWEVER THERE WILL BE NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION. NO REPORTS
HAVE BEEN RECEIVED FOR ADVISORY STRENGTH WINDS...HOWEVER HAVE LEFT
THE ADVISORY OUT DUE TO THE POTENTIAL. THE VAD HAS BEEN SHOWING VERY
STRONG LOW LEVEL WINDS AND WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...THERE IS A GOOD
CHANCE THAT THOSE WINDS WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN AND GIVE SOME VERY
STRONG GUSTS. ONCE THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH...THE TEMPERATURES WILL
COOL DOWN FOR ONE DAY AND THEN WARM BACK UP AGAIN ON THURSDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE DOWN FROM THE NORTH BUT STALL OUT AS THE SURFACE
RIDGE TO THE SOUTH WILL HOLD FAST AND KEEP THE FRONT TO THE NORTH.
EXTENDED (FRIDAY MORNING THRU TUESDAY)...NO MAJOR CHANGES TO
EXTENDED PACKAGE. FORECAST ISSUE TO FOCUS ON IS EARLY WEEKEND
DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY FROM THE PLAINS. THIS
MORNINGS 12Z RUN OF THE GFS WAS TRENDING A LITTLE SLOWER TODAY.
YESTERDAY IT WAS RUNNING SLIGHTLY FASTER. THE GFS RUNS HAVE BEEN
WAFFLING BACK AND FORTH BY ABOUT 6 HOURS ON THE TIMING OF THIS
SYSTEM OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS. HOWEVER...THE SHIFT IN TIMING OF
MAX POP...CORRESPONDING TO THE FROPA...CONTINUES TO CENTER AROUND
THE SATURDAY MORNING TIME FRAME. CONSEQUENTLY...LEFT TIMING PRETTY
MUCH AS IT WAS...BUT INCREASE POPS TO LIKELY CATEGORY. STILL EXPECT
GENERALLY CALM WEATHER EITHER SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM.
1210 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2006
UPDATED THE FORECAST TO REFLECT THE DOWNSLOPING THAT WAS GOING ON
OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. ALSO CHANGED THE
WORDING FOR SOME OF THE WINDS TONIGHT TO REFLECT THE FRONTAL PASSAGE
WHICH WILL BE OCCURRING.
A STRONG COLD FRONT IS LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA IN
CENTRAL KENTUCKY. THIS FRONT WILL CONTINUE MOVING ACROSS THE AREA
AND WILL HAVE SHARP DISTINCT WIND SHIFTS. PRECIP WILL CONTINUE
BEHIND THE FRONT UNTIL THE POST FRONTAL TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THIS
EVENING. THE RAIN SHOULD TURN TO SNOW FROM ABOUT 2 TO 6 AM THIS
MORNING. LOW SNOW AMOUNTS ARE STILL EXPECTED. AFTER 6 AM...THE UPPER
MOISTURE IS LOST AND PRECIPITATION SHOULD STOP.
530 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2006
SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS THE COLD FRONT LOCATED JUST EAST OF
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. LATEST RADAR IMAGE SHOWS LIGHT RAIN ACROSS
MOST OF THE CWA.
WITH WARM...MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT
SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING PW/S AROUND 1 INCH FOR TODAY. LEANED TOWARDS
HPC QPF AMOUNTS FOR THE GRIDS. LEFT THUNDER OUT OF THE FORECAST WITH
SOUNDINGS INDICATING WARM AIR IN THE MID LEVELS AND LIMITED
INSTABILITY. FOR ZONE WORDING WENT WITH PERIODS OF SHOWERS FOR MOST
OF THE CWA...EXCEPT IN THE FAR EASTERN ZONES WHERE SOME DOWNSLOPING
FLOW WILL OCCUR FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE DAY.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN AS THE LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO
DEEPEN. ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY OVER THE HIGHEST TERRAIN OF
SOUTHEASTERN KENTUCKY...AS A DEVELOPING 60 TO 70 KT 850 JET WILL
MOVE OVER THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. ENOUGH
MIXING SHOULD TAKE PLACE TO BRING DOWN GUSTS OVER ADVISORY CRITERIA
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
LOW PRESSURE AND THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA DURING
THE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING HOURS. COLD AIR WILL FILTER IN BEHIND
THE FRONT...CHANGING RAIN SHOWERS OVER TO SNOW SHOWERS. THE
CHANGEOVER WILL FIRST OCCUR OVER THE HIGHEST TERRAIN...THEN FROM
WEST TO EAST...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. AGREE WITH PREVIOUS SNOWFALL
FORECAST...AS WINDS REMAIN MORE WESTERLY AND THE BULK OF THE
PRECIPITATION AND SUPPORT WILL PULL EAST BEFORE ENOUGH COLD AIR
FILTERS IN THE AREA....IN ADDITION WARM GROUND TEMPERATURES FROM
YESTERDAY AND TODAY WILL LIMIT ACCUMULATIONS. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
SHOULD GENERALLY BE UNDER AN INCH. SOME OF THE HIGHER PEAKS OF
SOUTHEASTERN KENTUCKY MAY SEE UP TO 2 INCHES.
HIGH PRESSURES SETTLES OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY. MODELS ARE
INDICATING SOME WAA ON THE RIDGES WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH LIGHT
SOUTHERLY FLOW ON THE RIDGES. WITH LIGHT WINDS ON THE RIDGES AND
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES A GOOD PORTION OF THE NIGHT...A RIDGE/VALLEY
SPLIT SHOULD DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA.
HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTS EAST OF THE AREA ON THURSDAY...BRINGING RETURN
FLOW TO THE AREA. GUIDANCE NUMBERS SEEM A BIT WARM ON...DESPITE THE
RETURN FLOW. GENERALLY STAYED CLOSE TO THE MAV NUMBERS FOR THE SHORT
TERM.
&&
.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&
GREIF
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 17, 8:54 PM EST, 1 hour 6 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
854 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2006
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-190500-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
854 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2006
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
COLDER AIR RUSHING IN BEHIND A DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
CHANGE RAIN SHOWERS TO SNOW SHOWERS TONIGHT. SLUSHY SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
OF UP TO AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE BY DAWN...WITH SLIGHTLY MORE ON THE
RIDGES.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LITTLE OR NO
ACCUMULATION EXPECTED.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL IN SNOWFALL REPORTS TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY MORNING.
GREIF
High Wind, Perry
- When
- January 17, 10:00 PM EST
- Where
- Perry forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- LAW ENFORCEMENT
- Coordinates
- 37.244, -83.221 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Two trees blown down on State Route 451 at Christopher.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Strong Wind in Texas, January 17, 20061 death · 1 injured · $40,000 · 1 event
- Winter Weather in Kentucky, January 17, 200622 events
- Flood in Washington, January 17 to 19, 2006$20,000 · 1 event
- Damaging Wind in Alabama, January 17, 2006$15,000 · 50 kt wind · 1 event
- Strong Wind in Georgia, January 17, 2006$15,000 · 1 event
- Heavy Snow in Idaho, January 17 to 18, 20068 events
- Flooding in Oregon, January 17 to 21, 20068 events
- Heavy Snow in Utah, January 17 to 19, 20068 events
- Winter Storm in Colorado, January 17 to 20, 20066 events
- Winter Weather in Indiana, January 17, 20066 events
- Winter Weather in Indiana, January 17 to 18, 20064 events
- High Surf in Puerto Rico, January 17, 20063 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5487649.