1 strong wind, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 17, 10:57 AM EST, 6 hours 33 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 1057 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 .DISCUSSION... HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST...MAINLY FOR CLOUD TRENDS TODAY AND TONIGHT. CLOUDS ARE A LITTLE SLOW TO BREAK TODAY...AND HAVE HELD ONTO MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. LATEST NAM STILL SUGGESTS THEY WILL BE BREAKING UP TODAY...SO HAVE STILL USED A TRANSITION TO PARTLY CLOUDY FOR THE AFTERNOON. WITH THE SYSTEM HEADING IN TONIGHT...HAVE USED INCREASING CLOUDS...THINKING IT WILL BETTER REPRESENT THE SCENARIO. HAVE NOT RAISED POPS WITH THE NEXT SYSTEM YET...ALTHOUGH IF THE 12Z GFS SUPPORTS IT...THAT MOVE IS ON THE WAY. IN FACT THE 12Z NAM MAKES AN ARGUMENT FOR WATCH/WARNING CONDITIONS WITH 4 INCH SNOWFALLS FOR OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES. DECISIONS WILL NEED TO BE MADE DURING THE AFTERNOON. && .PREV DISCUSSION... 536 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 09Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS THE ARCTIC COLD FRONT EXITING STAGE RIGHT WITH A TIGHT GRADIENT OF PRESSURE TRAILING IT THROUGH CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY. THIS GRADIENT IS SUPPORTING STRONG CAA ON BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. TEMPS BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY ARE DROPPING QUICKLY INTO THE 40S AND WILL FALL TO THE LOW AND MID 30S DURING THE MORNING BEFORE REBOUNDING SOME THIS AFTERNOON. ON RADAR...THE POST FRONTAL SHOWERS ARE ENDING QUICKLY FROM WEST TO EAST AND WILL BE FOUND JUST ALONG THE VIRGINIA BORDER BY SUNRISE. PLENTY OF LOW CLOUDS TRAIL THE FRONT...AS WELL...BUT SHOULD START BREAKING UP TOWARDS NOON. WITH THE FRONT NOW EAST OF THE CWA...AND ALONG WITH IT THE THREAT FOR WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH...HAVE GONE AHEAD AND CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. ALTHOUGH NORTHWEST GUSTS INTO THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR A FEW HOURS EARLY THIS MORNING BEFORE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES. THE MODELS ARE IN QUITE GOOD AGREEMENT ALOFT THROUGH 84 HOURS... ESPECIALLY OVER THE OHIO VALLEY. A DEEP...POSITIVELY TILTED...TROUGH WILL PIVOT THROUGH THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES WITH THE VERY BROAD POLAR JET RACING WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE MID SECTION OF THE NATION. THIS WILL MAINTAIN VERY FAST AND ZONAL FLOW ALOFT OVER KENTUCKY THROUGH 84 HOURS WITH ONLY MINOR DIFFERENCES IN SHORTWAVES AND VORTICITY FIELDS NOTED BETWEEN THE MODELS. IN GENERAL...HAVE FOLLOWED A BLENDED SOLUTION OF THE NAM AND GFS. THIS FLAT FLOW WILL DO LITTLE TO DISLODGE THE ARCTIC AIR THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. SENSIBLE WEATHER WILL FEATURE A SHARPLY COLDER AND BREEZY MORNING AS THE ARCTIC AIR SETTLES INTO THE REGION. BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS WILL SLACKEN BY THE AFTERNOON...THOUGH...AND A RETURN OF SUNSHINE WILL BE ENOUGH FOR TEMPS TO PEAK BACK NEAR 40 DEGREES LATE IN THE DAY. COLD AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO EAST KENTUCKY TONIGHT WITH THE FAST FLOW AND POLAR JET ENCOURAGING A RETURN FLOW OF MOISTURE TO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. A STRONG JET CORE RUNNING THROUGH THE NORTHERN OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT WILL PUT THE AREA IN THE FAVORABLE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE JET AND A PROLONGED PERIOD OF STRONG UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE. THIS WILL ENCOURAGE A WAVE OF MOISTURE TO PASS OVER THE STATE LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY LEAVING BEHIND UP TO TWO INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS THE SOUTH. IN THE COLD AIR MASS SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE MAXIMIZED...SO A SNOW ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR A PORTION OF THE CWA TONIGHT. FOR NOW WILL HIT IT HARD IN THE HWO AND ALSO A SPS. THE COLDEST AIR MASS OF THE NEW YEAR...AND POSSIBLY THE WINTER...WILL THEN MAKE ITS PRESENCE KNOW SATURDAY NIGHT WITH SINGLE DIGIT LOWS A GOOD BET FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. ANOTHER COLD BUT SUNNY DAY FOLLOWS SUNDAY WITH A CHILLY NIGHT TEMPERED A BIT BY ANOTHER WAVE OF MOISTURE AND CLOUDS SKIRTING OUR SOUTHERN TIER. A QUICK HITTING BATCH OF LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THIS EARLY MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL THEN MODERATE THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. TEMPS TODAY WILL BE TRICKY AS THE CAA WILL CONTINUE STRONG FOR MOST OF THE MORNING BEFORE SETTLING...SOMEWHAT...ALLOWING A REBOUND IN THE AFTERNOON. IN GENERAL...HAVE FOLLOWED THE RAW NAM12 SFC TEMPS AND BASED FORECAST HIGHS OFF OF THAT. BEYOND TODAY...MOS TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD ARE SURPRISINGLY SIMILAR...EXCEPTING THE WARM FWC NUMBERS FOR SATURDAY NIGHT LOWS...DESPITE THE USUAL TROUBLE THEY HAVE WITH ARCTIC AIR MASSES. GIVEN THE AIR MASS...HAVE LEANED TOWARD THE COLDER MET NUMBERS...UNDER CUTTING THESE BY A COUPLE OF DEGREES ON LOWS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT. FOR POPS...THE MODELS HAVE VERY SIMILAR TIMING AND POP FIELDS FOR THE LATE TONIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY EVENT. THIS IS A BIT OF A CHANGE...MORE NORTHERLY...FROM THE EARLIER RUNS AND OUR EXISTING GRIDS. WITH THE SUPPORT OF THE 06Z NAM DECIDED TO LEAN MORE HEAVILY TOWARD THIS NORTHERLY SCENARIO WITH THE SNOW THAN PREVIOUSLY...THUS BROUGHT UP POPS SIGNIFICANTLY...THOUGH STILL ENDED UP BELOW MOS OVER OUR MOST NORTHERN COUNTIES. THE GRIDS WERE THEN DRAWN WITH LOW POPS AHEAD OF THE SUNDAY NIGHT/EARLY MONDAY WAVE MATCHING UP WELL WITH THE MOS POPS FOR THIS TIME PERIOD. WITH THE IFPS/GFE GRIDS...USED MY USUAL PROCEDURE TO POPULATE DEWPOINTS AND WINDS FROM THE NAM12 THROUGH 84 HOURS. MADE ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO THESE. HOWEVER...ALSO WENT MAINLY WITH THE NAM12 TEMPERATURE GRIDS FOR TODAY AS IT WAS MODELING THE FRONT AND ITS TRAILING AIRMASS NICELY. THE REST OF THE GRIDS WERE IN GOOD SHAPE WITH CHANGES MADE TO LOWER TEMPS THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND TO INCREASE/SHIFT NORTH THE POPS/SNOW THREAT FOR LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. ALSO FINE-TUNED THE EARLY MONDAY WAVE TO BETTER REFLECT THE LATEST MODEL CONSENSUS AT 84 HOURS AND A FEW TIME STEPS BEYOND PER THE GFS. 1020 PM EST THU FEB 16 2006 UPDATED THE FORECAST TO CHANGE THE TIMING OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. AT 10 PM...A COLD FRONT EXTENDED FROM NORTHWEST OHIO... THROUGH SOUTHERN INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY TO CENTRAL ARKANSAS. THIS FRONT HAS BEEN PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER AS IT APPROACHES. WESTERN KENTUCKY AND PARTS OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY HAVE BEEN UNDER A TORNADO WATCH. THE MODELS ARE SHOWING THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMING MUCH MORE STABLE IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND THIS SHOULD HELP TO DIMINISH ANY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY. THE SQUALL LINE HAS BEEN HOLDING TOGETHER BETTER THAN THE MODELS HAVE PREDICTED...SO IT WILL REQUIRE CLOSE MONITORING. THE FRONT SHOULD BE MOVING ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY FROM 1 TO 6 AM EST. AN ADDITIONAL DANGER FROM THIS FRONT IS THAT IT WILL MIX DOWN SOME OF THE VERY STRONG WINDS ALOFT. THE BUFKIT IS SHOWING FIVE THOUSAND FOOT WINDS OF UP TO 70 KNOTS. WE ARE STICKING WITH ADVISORY CRITERIA WINDS FOR THE AREA WHICH SHOULD OCCUR MAINLY JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND THEN WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. THERE MAY BE SOME ISOLATED HIGH ELEVATION STATIONS THAT COULD RECEIVE WINDS NEAR THE 57 MPH THRESHOLD FOR ADVISORIES. THE BUFKIT WAS ALSO SHOWING A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE REST OF THE FORECAST IS ON TRACK. 430 PM EST THU FEB 16 2006 SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)... A NEW RECORD HIGH WAS OBSERVED AT JACKSON TODAY...WITH STRONG DOWNSLOPING AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVER THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT FOR THE SHORT TERM. 21Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS THE COLD FRONT STRETCHED FROM ILLINOIS DOWN INTO OKLAHOMA. COLD FRONT GETS A PUSH...AS A SHORTWAVE DROPS OUT OF THE PLAINS AND PUSHES THE FRONT RAPIDLY THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT. CONTINUED WIND ADVISORY THROUGH 6 AM EST...AS THE GRADIENT CONTINUES TO TIGHTEN OVER THE AREA. MODELS ALSO STILL INDICATE A 60 TO 70 KT LLJ MOVING OVERHEAD OVERNIGHT. MAIN CONCERN IS MIXING IN CONVECTION...WHICH WOULD LEAD TO POTENTIAL SEVERE STORMS. ENDED THE WIND ADVISORY AT 6 AM EST...AS THE LLJ PULLS EAST OF THE AREA. WILL CONTINUE SLIGHT CHANCE THUNDERSTORM WORDING IN THE FORECAST FOR TONIGHT...AS THE MODELS STILL INDICATE SOME WEAK INSTABILITY. SEVERE THREAT LOOKS LIMITED OVERNIGHT THOUGH...WITH SOME MIDLEVEL CAPPING. SPC HAS ALSO MOVED THE SLIGHT RISK AREA WEST OF THE CWA. THE SPRING LIKE WEATHER WILL END TONIGHT...AS TEMPERATURES DROP RAPIDLY BEHIND THE FRONT. SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING MOISTURE QUICKLY EXITING THE AREA TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...SO ONLY LEFT POPS IN OVER THE FAR EAST AND SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA EARLY TOMORROW. EXTENDED (FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)... LEANED TOWARDS THE GFS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...AS THE GFS HAS BEEN MORE CONSISTENT WITH THE PRECIPITATION OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. OTHERWISE...WENT WITH A BLEND OF THE ECMWF AND THE GFS FOR THE GRIDS. ALOFT...ZONAL FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD. AT THE SURFACE...GFS INDICATES A WAVE MOVING OUT OF THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT AND MOVING INTO TENNESSEE VALLEY SATURDAY. LEFT POPS GENERALLY SOUTH OF I 64 ON SATURDAY...AS MODELS ARE INDICATING SOME OVERRUNNING OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. KEEP SNOWFALL TOTALS LIGHT FOR NOW...BUT TOTALS MAY HAVE TO BE BUMPED UP IF THE GFS VERIFIES. HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTS ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. BUMPED UP THE POPS...AS AN INVERTED TROF SETS UP OVER THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AND WILL BRING PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA INTO MONDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA AGAIN ON TUESDAY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. REINTRODUCED POPS ON THURSDAY...AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS ACROSS THE AREA. STAYED CLOSE TO THE MEX NUMBERS FOR THE EXTENDED FORECAST WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN STORE FOR THE PERIOD. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && HAL
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 545 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-181200- FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN- ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT- OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE- 545 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. SNOW WILL BE A GOOD BET LATE TONIGHT...WITH SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF EAST KENTUCKY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL BE LIKELY OVER THE SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS OF EAST KENTUCKY SATURDAY MORNING. SNOW AMOUNTS FROM ONE TO TWO INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY. ARCTIC AIR WILL BRING ONE OF THE COLDEST WEEKENDS OF THE WINTER. SINGLE DIGIT LOWS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES STRUGGLING TO GET OUT OF THE 20S DURING THE DAY SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. SNOW WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...AGAIN MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTH. FINALLY...THIS IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS ON THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR SNOW REPORTS LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. GREIF
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Power outage. Three trees down on Belle Point Road.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, February 2006
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5490601.