A deepening low pressure system moved across the Central Plains into the Ozarks Tuesday, November 14th into Wednesday the 15th. In the wake of the low pressure strong and gusty northerly winds occurred.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ICT wrote it up.
A deepening low pressure system moved across the Central Plains into the Ozarks Tuesday, November 14th into Wednesday the 15th. In the wake of the low pressure strong and gusty northerly winds occurred.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wichita, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 14, 9:41 PM CST, 5 hours 14 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 941 PM CST TUE NOV 14 2006 .UPDATE... LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS RAIN SHOWERS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA...HOWEVER IT IS ONLY LIGHT PRECIP ACTIVITY. THE MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND PLACEMENT OF THIS STORM SYSTEM IS NOT VERY FAVORABLE FOR MEANINGFUL PRECIP ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. SOUTHEAST KANSAS APPEARS TO HAVE A BETTER CHANCE FOR MEANINGFUL PRECIP DUE TO PROXIMITY OF THE DEVELOPING TROWAL AXIS...AND CENTRAL KANSAS COULD SQUEEZE OUT A BIT MORE PRECIP DUE TO THE MID-LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE PUSHING INTO THAT AREA. MODEL SOUNDINGS STILL SUGGEST RAIN CHANGING OVER TO WET SNOW ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS AROUND 3AM THEN TAPERING OFF SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE...PERHAPS SOME LIGHT SLUSHY ACCUMULATIONS ON GRASSY AREAS FOR CENTRAL. A RAIN/SNOW MIX WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS TOWARDS MORNING...BUT NOT EXPECTING IT TO AMOUNT TO MUCH. OTHERWISE...THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE THE INCREASING WINDS OVERNIGHT INTO TOMORROW AS STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS NOW OVER WESTERN KANSAS EXPAND EASTWARD OVERNIGHT. JAKUB && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 310 PM CST TUE NOV 14 2006/ DISCUSSION... MUCH OF THE FORECAST TIME TODAY FOCUSED ON IMPENDING STORM SYSTEM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. MAIN HIGHLIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE VERY STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS. HOWEVER...MAY NEED WINTER WEATHER HEADLINES FOR RUSSELL AND BARTON COUNTIES LATER TONIGHT FOR BLOWING SNOW. DO NOT THINK THIS SCENARIO IS LIKELY AT THIS TIME THOUGH. AMPLIFYING SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS CURRENTLY DIVING SOUTH ACROSS THE ROCKIES...WITH DEEPENING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS. STRONG 300-310K MOIST ISENTROPIC ASCENT IS COMMENCING ACROSS THE AREA...EVIDENT BY COOLING CLOUD TOPS ON IR IMAGERY...AND VIRGA ON REGIONAL RADAR MOSAIC. CURRENT THINKING IS RAIN WILL BREAK OUT BY EARLY TO MID EVENING FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...AS MOIST ISENTROPIC ASCENT CONTINUES TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA. COULD SEE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS GIVEN THE DYNAMIC NATURE OF THIS SYSTEM...ALONG WITH SOME MID-LEVEL INSTABILITY (SOME DECENT ELEVATED INSTABILITY OVER SOUTHEAST KS). SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DEEPEN DRAMATICALLY LATER TONIGHT...ALLOWING LOW-LEVEL WARM/MOIST AIRMASS CURRENTLY SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA TO WRAP BACK TO THE NORTHWEST. BEST COUPLED FORCING...INSTABILITY AND DEEP MOISTURE COMBO WILL LIKELY BE OVER NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA/SOUTHEAST KANSAS AFTER MIDNIGHT...WHERE THE BEST CHANCE FOR DECENT RAINFALL AMOUNTS...OVER 0.50 INCHES...WILL EXIST. THIS IS WHERE MODELS PROGRESS A TROWAL TONIGHT. FARTHER NORTHWEST...COLD AIR WILL RAPIDLY FILTER SOUTH AFTER 06Z...ALLOWING RAIN TO MIX WITH AND POSSIBLY CHANGE TO SNOW...*WELL* NORTHWEST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM SALINA TO HUTCHINSON TO KINGMAN. HOWEVER...DO NOT THINK ACCUMULATIONS WILL EXCEED 0.5 INCH TO 1 INCH AT THE MOST GIVEN WARM THERMAL FIELDS AND RELATIVELY SHORT DURATION OF SNOWFALL POTENTIAL. NOT EXPECTING HIGH SNOWFALL RATES EITHER...AND GIVEN WARM GROUND TEMPERATURES ANYTHING MORE THAN A SLUSHY HALF INCH SHOULD BE TOUGH TO COME BY. HOWEVER...THERMAL FIELDS WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED BY EVENING SHIFT. NEW 18Z NAM/WRF DID COME IN A TAD COLDER...SO IF ANYTHING RUSSELL AND BARTON COUNTY MAY NEED TO BE WATCHED. OF GREATER CONCERN WILL LIKELY BE THE WIND AFTER ROUGHLY 06Z. 18Z NAM/WRF HAS BACKED OFF SLIGHTLY FROM THE 12Z RUN. REGARDLESS...VERY STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS AREAS MAINLY WEST OF I-135. CONSENSUS WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES WAS TO GO WITH A HIGH WIND WARNING MAINLY WEST OF I-135...GIVEN 50-65 KT 925-850MB WINDS AND STRONG PRESSURE RISES. HOWEVER...RELATIVELY SHALLOW LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES OWING TO PRECIPITATION MAY HINDER MAX WIND POTENTIAL. THEREFORE...THINKING HIGH WIND CRITERIA WILL BE MARGINAL...BUT WARRANTED. THINKING WARNING CRITERIA WILL BE PRETTY MUCH OVER BY 15Z OR SO...BUT FOR SIMPLICITYS SAKE EXTENDED THE HIGH WIND WARNING THROUGH 22Z...TO COINCIDE WITH WIND ADVISORY FOR THE REST OF THE AREA. MAYBE THE BIGGEST CHALLENGE WAS TO WHETHER OR NOT GO WITH WINTER WEATHER HEADLINES ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS. CONSENSUS WAS THAT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WOULDNT BE THE ISSUE...RATHER BLOWING SNOW WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES. HOWEVER...THINKING DURATION OF ANY MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW BAND WILL BE TOO SHORT TO WARRANT HEADLINES AT THIS TIME. EVENING SHIFT WILL ONCE AGAIN NEED TO WATCH THIS THOUGH. RAW DAY EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S AND STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS. LOW-CLOUDS WILL SLOWLY CLEAR FROM THE WEST THROUGHOUT THE DAY. RATHER BENIGN WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. LATER SHIFTS MAY NEED TO RAISE TEMPERATURES FOR LATE WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT WEEK GIVEN BUILDING WESTERN/CENTRAL CONUS RIDGE. KLEINSASSER && PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... WICHITA-KICT 36 47 26 58 / 80 40 0 0 HUTCHINSON 34 46 24 59 / 80 40 0 0 NEWTON 36 46 26 57 / 80 40 0 0 ELDORADO 38 46 27 55 / 80 40 0 0 WINFIELD-KWLD 38 47 28 58 / 80 40 0 0 RUSSELL 32 46 22 61 / 70 30 0 0 GREAT BEND 32 46 22 61 / 70 30 0 0 SALINA 34 46 24 59 / 80 40 0 0 MCPHERSON 35 46 24 58 / 80 40 0 0 COFFEYVILLE 46 48 30 53 / 90 60 5 0 CHANUTE 43 47 29 53 / 90 50 5 0 IOLA 41 46 29 53 / 90 50 5 0 PARSONS-KPPF 45 47 30 53 / 90 60 5 0 && .ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM WEDNESDAY FOR KSZ032-033-047-048- 050-067-082-091. WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM WEDNESDAY FOR KSZ049-051-052-068-069- 083-092-093. WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 PM WEDNESDAY FOR KSZ053- 070>072-094>096-098>100. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 1141 PM CST TUE NOV 14 2006 KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-160645- RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE- RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER- SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE- 1141 PM CST TUE NOV 14 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS... SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS...SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED WITH ANY OF THIS ACTIVITY. VERY STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...WITH POSSIBLY A FEW HIGHER GUSTS...WILL OVERSPREAD CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS LATE TONIGHT. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST HIGH WIND WARNING AND WIND ADVISORY PRODUCTS FOR MORE DETAILS. RAIN MAY MIX WITH SNOW...OR CHANGE TO SNOW ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS LATE TONIGHT...MAINLY WEST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM SALINA TO HUTCHINSON TO KINGMAN...WHERE LITTLE IF ANY SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. HOWEVER FARTHER WEST...UP TO ONE INCH OF SLUSHY ACCUMULATION MAY OCCUR ACROSS PORTIONS OF LINCOLN...RUSSELL AND BARTON COUNTIES. COMBINED WITH THE STRONG NORTH WINDS...VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED INTERMITTENTLY TO LESS THAN ONE MILE FOR THESE SAME LOCATIONS LATE TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY STRONG NORTH WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH...ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS ON WEDNESDAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL LIKELY OCCUR DURING THE MORNING HOURS...MAINLY WEST OF THE TURNPIKE. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST HIGH WIND WARNING AND WIND ADVISORY PRODUCTS FOR DETAILS. FURTHERMORE...A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW MAY LINGER ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS WEDNESDAY MORNING. LITTLE IF ANY SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. && FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Winds caused minor damage to trash cans being blown around and small tree branches were downed.
KSN mesonet site in Luray measured a 56 mph wind gust at 4:09 am. This caused minor damage to small tree.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kansas in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in Kansas, November 2006
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 6221, 6222.