Kansas, 2006

Flood in Kansas, July 5 to 6, 2006

July 5 to 6, 2006 · NWS DDC · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 5, 2:18 PM CST, 8 hours 42 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 5, 2:18 PM CST, 8 hours 42 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
318 PM CDT WED JUL 5 2006

.DISCUSSION...

DAYS 1-2...

THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE FOR TONIGHT WILL BE WHEN TO TAPER OFF
THE PRECIP IN THE WEST AS THE MODELS SAY WILL HAPPEN.

AT THIS HOUR, NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSHOWERS
EXTENDED FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA TO SOUTHEAST COLORADO IN A MOIST,
UPSLOPE REGIME WITH WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT. SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED HIGH
PRESSURE OVER NEBRASKA OOZING SOUTH THROUGH THE PLAINS ON THE
BACKSIDE OF A DIGGING UPPER TROF OVER THE GREAT LAKES. DRIER AIR
IS ADVECTING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST AS DEWPOINTS HAVE BEEN FALLING
INTO THE 50S ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS. THIS WILL LIMIT THE EASTERN
EXTENT OF THE PRECIP THIS EVENING. THE BEST MOISTURE REMAINS
ACROSS THE FAR WEST WHERE DEWPOINTS REMAIN IN THE LOWER 60S. THE
MODELS SHIFT THIS AREA OF LIFT AND BETTER MOISTURE WEST INTO
COLORADO BY THIS EVENING SO POPS WILL BE TAPERED OFF QUICKLY
DURING THE EVENING.

UPPER RIDGE AXIS THEN MOVES OVERHEAD FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AND
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE MOST PART. AN ISOLATED STORM OUT
IN THE FAR WEST CANT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT SO WILL CONTINUE TO
CARRY SOME SMALL POPS OUT THERE. GIVEN THE UPPER FLOW ORIENTATION
WITH RESPECT TO THE LOCATION OF THE LEE TROF OVER EASTERN
COLORADO, STORMS SHOULD FOR THE MOST PART STAY WEST OF THE BORDER
THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY.

HIGHS WILL REMAIN IN THE 80S TOMORROW BUT WILL CLIMB INTO THE
LOWER 90S AS LOW LEVEL TEMPS GRADUALLY WARM WITH DEPARTING SURFACE RIDGE.

DAYS 3-7...

PER SATELLITE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY A CLOSED MID/UPPER TROPOSPHERIC
CYCLONE WAS LOCATED JUST OFF OF BAJA CA, ASSISTING WITH THE
TRANSPORT OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN USA.
MEANWHILE, AS SHOWN BY ESRL/PSD PLOTS OF 250MB DAILY MEAN VECTOR
WIND ANOMALIES, SUBTROPICAL WESTERLIES WITH VALUES 15-25 M/S ABOVE
NORMAL WERE PRESENT 25N ALL ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN BASIN.
THE LATTER IS PART OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET (STJ) FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR.  THE OPERATIONAL GLOBAL MODELS SUCH AS THE ECMWF AND GFS
HAVE THERE FEATURES REASONABLY INITIALIZED.  THE STJ IS PREDICTED BY
THE GLOBAL MODELS TO INTERACT WITH THE SYSTEM OFF OF BAJA, AND EJECT
THAT LOW (DETAILS UNDERSTOOD) NORTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES
AND EVENTUALLY THE PLAINS BY THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND AND BEYOND.  WHEN
THIS SYSTEM COMES OUT INTO WESTERN KS, THERE WILL BE PLENTIFUL LOW
LEVEL TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO.  THERE IS LOTS OF
UNCERTAINTY WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL FALL, AND A HIGH BUST
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR TEMPERATURES THIS COMING WEEKEND.  LATER SHIFTS
WILL NEED TO MONITOR.

THE ECMWF AND GFS BOTH BRING THE ABOVE MENTIONED LOW ACROSS THE
UPPER RIDGE POSITION LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.  THIS COULD BRING
ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN TO THE AREA, BUT THE ECMWF KEEPS THE
MAIN UPPER DYNAMICS WITH THIS SYSTEM FARTHER NORTH THAN THE GFS
DOES.  THE GFS GENERATES 2+ INCHES IN OUR EASTERN CWA BY 12Z SUNDAY,
BUT NOT TOO SURE THIS WILL BE A WIDESPREAD 2+ INCH AMOUNTS.  NOW
THIS SAME FEATURE HAD THE GFS 5+ INCHES OF RAIN JUST 2 MODEL RUNS
AGO.  HAVE LITTLE CONFIDENCE IN THE GFS QPF AMOUNTS THAT FAR OUT.
BUT WILL PAY ATTENTION TO THE SIGNAL AND INCREASE POPS ABOVE 20
PERCENT TO 30 PERCENT FOR SATURDAY NIGHT, SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.
THERE SHOULD BE ANOTHER BREAK IN PRECIPITATION MONDAY INTO WEDNESDAY
ALONG WITH A WARMING TREND.  UPPER 90S SHOULD BE REACHED BOTH MONDAY
AND TUESDAY, WITH THE CENTURY MARK NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION IN SPOTS
WEDNESDAY.

GOING INTO WEEK 2 TREMENDOUS UNCERTAINTY EXISTS IN REGARD TO THE
CIRCULATION.  HOWEVER, MONITORING TOOLS DO SUPPORT ABOVE AVERAGE
WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN PART OF THE COUNTRY MEANING A VERY
WARM PERIOD FOR AT LEAST DAYS 8-10.  DIURNAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
FOCUSING ALONG A LEE-SIDE TROUGH THEN MOVING EAST ACROSS MY CWA
WOULD ALSO BE POSSIBLE.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  60  85  65  91 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  60  85  64  92 /  20   0   0   0
EHA  60  81  64  90 /  40  10  10  10
LBL  60  85  64  93 /  50  10  10   0
HYS  60  86  64  92 /   0   0   0   0
P28  62  88  65  91 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

FN27/12
LACY/BURKE/EKB
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 5, 3:49 PM CST, 7 hours 11 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
449 PM CDT WED JUL 5 2006

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-061000-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
449 PM CDT WED JUL 5 2006 /349 PM MDT WED JUL 5 2006/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
KANSAS...SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL
KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS THIS
WEEKEND AND INTO MONDAY OF NEXT WEEK. IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO
KNOW IF THESE STORMS WILL BECOME SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE REQUIRED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

06

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Seward

When
July 5, 11:00 PM CST to July 6, 2:00 AM CST
Where
Seward County, Liberal
Reported by
LAW ENFORCEMENT
Coordinates
37.193, -100.851 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

There was extensive street flooding with many stalled cars reported.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Kansas in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in Kansas, July 2006

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5526654.