Strong Wind in California, March 25 to 26, 2006

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HANFORD CA
949 AM PST SAT MAR 25 2006

.UPDATE...UPPER LOW IS CURRENTLY MOVING ONSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA.
ASSOCIATED FRONTAL PRECIPITATION IS NOW PUSHING THROUGH OUR
DISTRICT. SNOW LEVEL IS LOWERING FROM ABOVE 7000 FEET...EXPECTED TO
BE AS LOW AS AROUND 5500 FEET TO THE NORTH AND NEAR 6000 FEET TO
THE SOUTH DURING THE DAY. HIGHER ELEVATIONS NORTH OF KINGS CANYON
LOOK ON TRACK TO RECEIVE ADVISORY LEVEL ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON AND SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SIERRA NORTH OF
TULARE COUNTY. EXPECT A FEW THUNDERSTORMS...WITH SOME SMALL HAIL
POSSIBLE...IN THE SHOWERY PRECIPITATION BEHIND THE FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON FOR THE VALLEY AND FOOTHILLS...MAINLY OVER NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE DISTRICT. SVR POTENTIAL LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BE NORTH
OF OUR AREA...AS PER SPC OUTLOOK. WINDS IN THE KERN MOUNTAINS AND
DESERT ARE PICKING UP...THOUGH STILL BELOW ADVISORY THRESHOLD. GUSTY
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AS THE ONSHORE SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT TIGHTENS AND UPPER JET SWINGS ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON. WIND ADVISORY STILL LOOKS ON TRACK FOR KERN MOUNTAINS AND
DESERT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. NO UPDATE IS NEEDED FOR THIS
AFTERNOON/S FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

.SHORT TERM...FOR THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR...UPPER LEVEL LOW
WEST OF THE NORCAL COAST WILL MOVE EAST TODAY. 1ST WEAKENING FRONT
MOVING THRU CENTRAL CA AT THIS TIME...AND PRECIP ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS FRONT STAYING MAINLY NORTH OF MERCED CO. SECONDARY FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH MAIN UPPER LOW WILL MOVE THRU LATER THIS MORNING AND
BRING A PERIOD OF RAIN TO THE REGION...MAINLY NORTH OF KERN CO...BUT
THERE WILL STILL BE A CHANCE OF LIGHT PRECIP AS FAR SOUTH AS THE
TEHACHAPIS TODAY. HEAVIEST PRECIP WILL BE IN THE SIERRA FROM
YOSEMITE TO KINGS CANYON...WHERE UP TO A FOOT OF SNOW IS LIKELY
ABOVE 7K FT. THICKNESS AND H7 TEMPS SHOW SNOW LEVELS LOWERING TO
NEAR 5K FT AROUND YOSEMITE...6K TO 7K FROM KINGS CANYON SOUTH.
UPPER TROF MOVES EAST OF THE REGION EARLY THIS EVE...AND THE PRECIP
THREAT WILL END...EXCEPT FOR A FEW LINGERING SNOWSHOWERS OVER THE
HIGH SIERRA AROUND YOSEMITE. FLAT SHORTWAVE RIDGING MOVES THRU SUN.
MODELS SHOW DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE IN THE EAST PAC MON. THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THIS LOW APPEARS TO TAP A SUBTROPICAL PLUME OF
MOISTURE...WHICH MOVES TOWARD THE CENTRAL CA COAST WELL IN ADVANCE
OF THE PARENT LOW MON. THIS WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS MON...BUT
PRECIP PROBABLY NOT REACHING THE INTERIOR OF CENTRAL CA UNTIL
EVENING.

.LONG TERM...FOR MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...MODELS IN BETTER
AGREEMENT WITH THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM AFFECTING THE AREA EARLY IN
THE PERIOD. BY MONDAY NIGHT AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTH
CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS. PRECIPITATION MAY START MONDAY EVENING
IN THE WARM SECTOR OF THE LOW AND SYSTEM TAPPING INTO SUBTROPICAL
MOISTURE. POTENTIAL FOR HEAVIER PRECIPITATION SHOULD OCCUR TUESDAY
WITH A SHORT WAVE AND STRONGER DYNAMICS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA.
SHOWER ACTIVITY MAY WELL LAST INTO WEDNESDAY AS MOST MODELS ARE
SLOWER IN TIMING THEN THE GFS. COLD AIR ALOFT AND DIURNAL HEATING
MAY PROVIDE SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR THUNDER DURING WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. FLAT RIDGE PATTERN OVER THE REGION SHOULD RESULT IN DRY
WEATHER AND SOME WARMING OF TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH ACROSS
INTERIOR CENTRAL CALIFORNIA DURING THE AFTERNOON. MAINLY MVFR
CEILINGS ALONG AND AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH AREAS OF IFR IN
MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS AND MODERATE RAIN/SNOW SPREADING SOUTHWARD
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA AND TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS. FOR
SPECIFIC DETAILS...PLEASE REFER TO TAFS FOR KMCE...KFAT AND KBFL.

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...A SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR THE
     SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA FROM YOSEMITE TO KINGS CANYON UNTIL
     4 PM THIS AFTERNOON.
  ...A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND
     DESERT FROM NOON TO 9 PM PST SATURDAY.

&&

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD /USE ALL LOWER CASE/

JEB/BINGHAM/MV

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
509 AM PST SAT MAR 25 2006

CAZ096-261300-
SIERRA NEVADA FROM YOSEMITE TO KINGS CANYON-
509 AM PST SAT MAR 25 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA FROM
YOSEMITE TO KINGS CANYON.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON. SEE PRODUCT WWUS46 KHNX
OR SFOWSWHNX FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

POTENTIAL HEAVY PRECIPITATION MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
OTHERWISE NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS TO THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE.

CAZ089>094-097-261300-
WEST CENTRAL SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY-EAST CENTRAL SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY-
SOUTHWESTERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY-SOUTHEASTERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY-
MARIPOSA MADERA AND FRESNO COUNTY FOOTHILLS-TULARE COUNTY FOOTHILLS-
TULARE COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
509 AM PST SAT MAR 25 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA FROM
YOSEMITE TO KINGS CANYON.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS TO THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE.

CAZ095-098-099-261300-
KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS-INDIAN WELLS VALLEY-
SOUTHEASTERN KERN COUNTY DESERT-
509 AM PST SAT MAR 25 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS
AND DESERT AREAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM PST THIS
EVENING. SEE PRODUCT WWUS76 KHNX OR SFONPWHNX FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS TO THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE.

GUDGEL