2 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 26, 1:57 PM MST, 2 hours 43 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ 157 PM MST WED JUL 26 2006 .SYNOPSIS...A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL ROTATE AROUND THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE NORTHEAST...RESULTING IN PERIODS OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS. IN ADDITION...DEEPER TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL FURTHER INCREASE THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. && .DISCUSSION...OFF TO A SLOWER START WITH CONVECTION TODAY COMPARED TO YESTERDAY SINCE MOST PLACES WERE WORKED OVER FAIRLY WELL. RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE MOGOLLON RIM AND INTO WEST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. A FEW STORMS HAVE ALSO BEGUN TO DEVELOP IN NEARLY THE SAME AREAS AS YESTERDAY...ALBEIT ABOUT AN HOUR LATER. ONE CELL RESIDES NEAR RUCKER CANYON IN THE CHIRICAHUA MOUNTAINS OF EAST CENTRAL COCHISE COUNTY. A FEW CELLS HAVE ALSO DEVELOPED JUST SOUTH OF THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER JUST SOUTH OF LOCHIEL IN SANTA CRUZ COUNTY. FORTUNATELY THESE CELLS ARE MOVING SLOWLY TO THE SOUTHWEST AWAY FROM YESTERDAYS HARD HIT SANTA CRUZ COUNTY. A FEW STORMS ARE ALSO SOUTH OF SIERRA VISTA AND MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWEST. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE UPPER HIGH GENERALLY EXTENDING FROM SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TO CENTRAL ARIZONA WITH THE CLOCKWISE FLOW AROUND THE HIGH RESULTING IN GENERALLY NE TO E FLOW ACROSS MY FORECAST AREA...WHICH WAS VERY SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY. TROPICAL STORM EMILIA CONTINUES TO SPIN JUST OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA AND IS FORECASTED TO MOVE NORTHWEST AND WEST BEFORE WEAKENING TO JUST A REMNANT LOW BY AROUND 48 HOURS...AT WHICH TIME IT WOULD BE IN THE GENERALLY VICINITY OF 27.5N LAT 118.6 W LONG. PLENTY OF MOISTURE IN PLACE AFTER THE STRONG SURGE THAT OCCURRED TUESDAY MORNING AND A CONTINUATION OF THE SAME TODAY...ALTHOUGH A BIT WEAKER. GOES PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOWS VALUES IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH AREAWIDE...BUT ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN LOCALES NEARLY AT 2 INCHES. AS OF 19Z (NOON MST)...DEWPOINTS WITHIN MY FORECAST AREA WERE RANGING FROM THE UPPER 50S TO THE UPPER 60S. THESE VALUES GENERALLY REPRESENT A CHANGE OF 3 TO 5 DEGREES WARMER/WETTER THAN THIS TIME YESTERDAY. SAFFORD IS SHOWING A 24 HOUR CHANGE IN DEWPOINT OF 15 DEGREES WITH A DEWPOINT OF 63 DEGS F. EXPECT THIS AFTERNOON TO BE FAIRLY ACTIVE...BUT AS MENTIONED BEFORE AREAS HIT HARD YESTERDAY MAY STRUGGLE TO SEE DEVELOPMENT TODAY DUE TO THE COOLING OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER. THE MAIN THREAT TODAY SHOULD BE FLOODING OR PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS. UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE WEAK AND STORMS WILL MOVE/DRIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST OR WEST THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...CANT RULE OUT A FEW PULSE SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING RESULTING IN HAIL AND/OR DAMAGING WIND AS WELL. (SEE SPCS DAY ONE SEVERE OUTLOOK SWODY1). MODELS PROG THE HIGH TO MEANDER ACROSS THE AREA AS THE TROPICAL SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PUSH FARTHER WEST INTO THE PACIFIC WATERS. HOWEVER...BY FRIDAY AND INTO SATURDAY THE GFS IS ADVERTISING AN INVERTED TROUGH TO MOVE FROM WEST TEXAS/NORTHERN MEXICO INTO ARIZONA. MAV MOS POP GUIDANCE FROM THE 00Z TO 12Z RUN INCREASED CONSIDERABLY FOR THE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY TIME PERIOD. CASE IN POINT...DOUGLAS SHOWED A POP OF 69% AND 60% FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY RESPECTIVELY ON THE 00Z RUN. ON THE 12Z RUN THE NUMBERS INCREASED TO 91% AND 79% FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. SIMILAR CHANGES CAN BE SEEN FOR OTHER MOS GUIDANCE LOCATIONS...BUT PERHAPS NOT QUITE AS DRAMATIC. BASED ON THIS MODEL TREND DECIDED TO INCREASE POP FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENINGS. OTHER ARIZONA OFFICES FELT THE SAME CHANGE WAS NEEDED AND HAVE OR WILL MAKE CHANGES AS WELL. ONCE THE INVERTED TROUGH WEAKENS LATE IN THE WEEKEND A TROUGH COMING IN FROM THE PACIFIC...ACCORDING TO BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF COULD BRING DRIER WESTERLY WINDS TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND PERHAPS WESTERN ARIZONA BY THE EARLY TO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THEREFORE... STARTING ON MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY POPS ARE GENERALLY LOW END OF THE CHANCE CATEGORY FOR MOST LOCATIONS AND SLIGHT CHANCE IN THE FAR WESTERN DESERTS. IF MODELS CONTINUE THIS TREND OF DRIER WESTERLY FLOW MAY HAVE TO TRIM POPS A BIT MORE. HIGH TEMPS WILL HOVER AROUND 90 DEGS F FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WHICH IS ABOUT 7 TO 9 DEGREES COOLER THAN NORMAL. THEREAFTER HIGHS WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY EACH DAY WITH READINGS BACK TO THE UPPER 90S BY EARLY NEXT WEEK WHICH IS AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL. LOWS WILL GENERALLY BE AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. && .AVIATION...TAFS AND TWEBS ADEQUATELY COVER ALL SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AT KTUS. && .TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && MOLLERE WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ 256 AM MST WED JUL 26 2006 AZZ019-029>035-271000- NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY- UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-TOHONO OODHAM NATION- TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ COUNTY-COCHISE COUNTY- 256 AM MST WED JUL 26 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST ARIZONA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT DEEP MOISTURE OVER THE AREA WITH FAVORABLE THUNDERSTORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT. EXPECT SOME STRONG STORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. RAINFALL AREAS AND RATES WILL BE WATCHED CLOSELY FOR POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY HIGH LEVELS OF MOISTURE ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY AND THERE WILL BE A THREAT FOR A FEW OF THE STORMS THAT DEVELOP TO BECOME SEVERE AS WELL AS GENERATE EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL. AFTER SATURDAY...MOISTURE LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE SOMEWHAT...BUT A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS WILL CONTINUE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
429 PM MST WED JUL 26 2006
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0404 PM HAIL 18 S WILLCOX 32.00N 109.87W
07/26/2006 E1.00 INCH COCHISE AZ TRAINED SPOTTER
0422 PM TSTM WND DMG 18 S WILLCOX 31.99N 109.83W
07/26/2006 COCHISE AZ PUBLIC
TREES DOWN IN ELFRIDA. POWER OUT IN PARTS OF TOWN DUE TO
STORM.
0422 PM HAIL 18 S WILLCOX 31.99N 109.83W
07/26/2006 E0.88 INCH COCHISE AZ PUBLIC
&&
SCHAFFNERThe Tucson radar (KEMX), 83 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:39 UTC.
2 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Local law enforcement reported that Whitewater School Road was flooded with a vehicle stuck in the wash. Additionally, Central Highway and Davis Road were also flooded.
A county official reported that Ward Canyon and Limestone Canyon had several feet of water flow through them between 2245 MST and 2300 MST. Limestone Canyon had an area of significant road damage.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arizona in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, July 2006
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5522679, 5522680.