A strong cold front produced strong and damaging winds across the Little Colorado River Valley. Some of the high winds reports include: Winslow 56 MPH MS/68 MPH MG, St.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FGZ wrote it up.
A strong cold front produced strong and damaging winds across the Little Colorado River Valley. Some of the high winds reports include: Winslow 56 MPH MS/68 MPH MG, St. Johns 40 MPH MS/56 MPH MG, Show Low Airport 49 MPH MS/74 MPH MG, and Window Rock Airport 44 MPH MS/ 56 MPH MG. Spotters in Winslow reported sheet metal roofing blowing around, numerous tree limbs blown down, and shingles blowing off roofs. A spotter in Tuba City reported metal blowing off roof tops.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 15, 9:00 AM MST, 2 hours 45 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 900 AM MST WED FEB 15 2006 .SYNOPSIS...EXPECT VERY WINDY CONDITIONS TODAY AS A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE STATE. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...MAINLY NORTH OF FLAGSTAFF. EXPECT MUCH COLDER CONDITIONS BEHIND THIS FRONT THURSDAY...AND INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION OVER THE WEEKEND...ALONG WITH CONTINUED WINDY CONDITIONS. && .DISCUSSION...A STRONG SHORTWAVE WAS LOCATED OVER THE GREAT BASIN WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT DRAPED ACROSS SOUTHERN NEVADA THIS MORNING. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO FAR NORTHWEST ARIZONA THIS AFTERNOON AND ACROSS THE REST OF NORTHERN ARIZONA OVERNIGHT. FOR TODAY...AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...VERY STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS WELL INTO THE 40 MPH RANGE ARE EXPECTED. EVEN STRONGER WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY WHERE MOUNTAIN WAVES AND FUNNELING INDUCED BY THE UPWIND MOGOLLON RIM WILL PRODUCE SOUTHWEST WINDS IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS AROUND 60 MPH. THE OVERALL LARGE SCALE FORCING WILL BE WEAK WITH THIS SYSTEM. HOWEVER...THERE SHOULD BE STRONG UPWARD FORCING RIGHT ALONG THE COLD FRONT. UNFORTUNATELY...MOISTURE VALUES REMAIN VERY LOW. AS A RESULT...THERE WILL BE JUST ENOUGH LIFT AND SATURATION TO WRING OUT SOME SNOW SHOWERS FROM THE RIM NORTHWARD THIS EVENING WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE...BUT IT WILL NOT AMOUNT TO MUCH. AFTER THIS SYSTEM PASSES BY...VERY COLD AND DRY AIR WILL MOVE IN FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. WINDS WILL RELAX THURSDAY...BUT WILL RETURN AGAIN FRIDAY AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FORMS OVER THE WESTERN GREAT BASIN. THE WEEKEND SYSTEM DEEPENS JUST OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST ON SATURDAY THEN RAPIDLY EJECTS ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY. THIS SCENARIO WOULD PLACE ARIZONA UNDER WEAK DYNAMICS AND A LOW POTENTIAL FOR PRECIPITATION UNTIL SUNDAY. ON SUNDAY...USING THE CURRENT MODEL GUIDANCE...THE THE LOW CENTER IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCELERATE AND FILL AS IT CROSSES ARIZONA. UNDER SUCH DRY CONDITIONS ONLY EXPECTING A FEW INCHES OF SNOW OVER THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS ON SUNDAY. OTHERWISE...EXPECT BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS INTO NEXT WEEK. MCCOLLUM && .AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...EXPECT WIDESPREAD SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KTS SUSTAINED AND AREAS OF GUSTS TO 50KT THROUGH 02Z DUE TO A COLD FRONT APPROACHING NRN AZ. THE WINDIEST CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. THE FRONT WILL ENTER NORTHWEST AZ LATE THIS AFTERNOON. AFT 00Z THURSDAY...THERE IS A CHANCE OF -SHSN AND LOW ELEVATION SHRA WITH AREAS OF CIGS AOA 1500 FEET AGL...PRIMARILY NORTH OF TWEB ROUTE 398. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS. DL && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 8 AM MST UNTIL 9 PM MST TODAY FOR AZ PUBLIC ZONES 012-013-014. WIND ADVISORY FROM 8 AM MST UNTIL 9 PM MST TODAY FOR AZ PUBLIC ZONES 004>011-015>018-037>040. FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 10 AM MST UNTIL 7 PM MST TODAY FOR AZ FWX ZONES 110>114-118-137-140. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 700 AM MST WED FEB 15 2006 AZZ004>018-037>040-160700- WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS- YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS- MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-KAIBAB PLATEAU-COCONINO PLATEAU- NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD- NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264- CHINLE VALLEY-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU- BLACK MESA AREA-LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY- EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-NORTHERN GILA COUNTY- 700 AM MST WED FEB 15 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA. .DAY ONE...TODAY A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ARIZONA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...EXPECT VERY STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS TO DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION TODAY AND INTO THIS EVENING. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. SEE PHXNPWFGZ FOR DETAILS. THESE STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW HUMIDITIES AND HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL ALSO MEAN THAT MANY AREAS ARE UNDER A RED FLAG WARNING TODAY. SEE PHXRFWFGZ FOR DETAILS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
6 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arizona in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, February 2006
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5491169, 5491168, 5491170, 5491171, 5491172, 5491167.