Hail in Alabama, April 19, 2006

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
255 PM CDT WED APR 19 2006

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
IMPULSE ACROSS WESTERN ALABAMA WILL MOVE ACROSS THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS.  THERE COULD BE SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND SOME STORMS
MAY BE SEVERE.  WILL INCLUDE MAINLY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED WORDING.
ON THURSDAY MODELS INDICATE ANOTHER IMPULSE MOVING INTO THE AREA
NEAR MID DAY AND MOVING THROUGH DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.
WILL FORECAST POPS IN THE CATEGORY WITH THE HIGHEST POPS WEST.
A FEW STORMS COULD BE SEVERE GIVEN THE UPPER SUPPORT...COLD
POOL ALOFT AND STEEP LAPSE RATES.  ACTIVITY SHOULD DIMINISH LATER
THURSDAY EVENING.  OVERNIGHT LOWS EACH NIGHT IN THE 60S...HIGHS
THURSDAY IN THE 80S.

FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW AND MUCH
STRONGER UPPER SUPPORT WILL MOVE INTO AND ACROSS THE AREA.  MODELS
DEPICT IMPRESSIVE MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE AND INCREASING VERTICAL
MOTION ESPECIALLY LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  WILL FORECAST LIKELY
POPS NORTHWEST FRIDAY AND MAINLY CHANCE POPS ELSEWHERE.  HIGHEST
POPS WILL BE FRIDAY NIGHT AS UPPER SUPPORT MOVES THROUGH WITH
CATEGORICAL POPS NORTH AND LIKELY POPS SOUTH.  HIGHS FRIDAY 80 TO
85 AND THEN LOWS AT NIGHT 50S NORTH AND 60S SOUTH.

SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...SYSTEM WILL EXIT THE AREA SATURDAY
MORNING AND MUCH OF THE WEEKEND WILL BE RAIN FREE AND SLIGHTLY COOLER
AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.  HIGH TEMPERATURES UPPER 70S NORTH
TO LOWER 80S SOUTH WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 50S.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND SEVERAL IMPULSES MOVING INTO AND ACROSS
THE AREA WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EXTENDED PERIOD.  WILL GENERALLY
KEEP A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE
PEAK HEATING HOURS.  HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S NORTH AND LOWER 80S
SOUTH.  OVERNIGHT LOWS MAINLY IN THE 50S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     61  82  61  80 /  30  40  30  40
ANNISTON    63  84  62  82 /  30  40  30  30
BIRMINGHAM  65  83  64  81 /  20  50  30  40
TUSCALOOSA  64  85  63  83 /  20  50  30  50
CALERA      64  84  62  82 /  20  30  20  30
AUBURN      65  85  65  83 /  30  30  20  20
MONTGOMERY  64  88  63  84 /  10  30  20  20
TROY        62  87  64  84 /  30  30  20  20

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.

&&

50

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
230 PM CDT WED APR 19 2006

ALZ011>015-017>050-201930-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
230 PM CDT WED APR 19 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED UNTIL 10 PM CDT...
MAINLY NORTHEAST OF A WARRIOR TO SYLACAUGA TO AUBURN LINE.
VERY LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF SOFTBALLS IS THE MAIN HAZARD
WITH THE STORMS...THOUGH DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
AS WELL.  ADDITIONAL ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
10 PM CDT NORTH OF A DEMOPOLIS TO WETUMPKA TO EUFAULA LINE.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MAINLY DEVELOP AND EXIST ALONG
AN OLD OUTFLOW BOUNDARY STRETCHING ACROSS NORTHEAST AND EAST
CENTRAL ALABAMA.  WITH A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE...SOME OF
THESE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE WITH VERY LARGE HAIL AS THE MAIN HAZARD.
THESE STORMS WILL WEAKEN AND DIMINISH BETWEEN 9 PM CDT AND 11 PM CDT
WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...THEN AGAIN FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.  LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN HAZARDS.

ON THURSDAY...THE ATMOSPHERE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA WILL REMAIN
MOIST AND UNSTABLE.  THIS ATMOSPHERE WILL BE CAPABLE OF SUPPORTING
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.  IN ADDITION...AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MOVING OVER THE REGION WILL PROVIDE EXTRA LIFT FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.  ONCE AGAIN...THESE STORMS MAY DEVELOP
ANYWHERE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA MAINLY DURING THE HEATING OF THE
DAY...BUT THE GREATEST THREAT WILL BE NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20.

ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH
CENTRAL ALABAMA.  THE ATMOSPHERE AHEAD OF THIS FRONT WILL BE MOIST
AND UNSTABLE ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA.  IN ADDITION...A STRONGER
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT AS IT
PUSHES THROUGH.  THIS SITUATION MAY PRODUCE MORE WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER IN THE FORM OF DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.  THE STORMS
WILL BEGIN BETWEEN 2 PM CDT AND 4 PM CDT IN NORTHWEST ALABAMA AND
MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD...GRADUALLY WEAKENING IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA BY
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL HAVE ACTIVATED AND
WILL BE REQUIRED THROUGH 9 PM CDT...MAINLY NORTHEAST OF A WARRIOR TO
AUBURN LINE.  ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THURSDAY AFTERNOON...AND
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  PLEASE STAY TUNED TO LATEST DETAILS
CONCERNING THESE POTENTIAL THUNDERSTORMS.

MBS/91

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
328 PM CDT WED APR 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     HAIL             3 E ROANOKE             33.15N 85.32W
04/19/2006  E1.00 INCH       RANDOLPH           AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL COVERING THE GROUND JUST EAST OF
            ROANOKE.

&&

DCW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
331 PM CDT WED APR 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     HAIL             WOODLAND                33.37N 85.40W
04/19/2006  E2.50 INCH       RANDOLPH           AL   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TENNIS BALL SIZED HAIL REPORTED IN WOODLAND.

&&

DCW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
338 PM CDT WED APR 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0332 PM     HAIL             5 E LEESBURG            34.18N 85.68W
04/19/2006  E0.75 INCH       CHEROKEE           AL   PUBLIC

            PENNY SIZED HAIL WEST OF LEESBURG.

&&

DCW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
339 PM CDT WED APR 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0332 PM     HAIL             5 E LEESBURG            34.18N 85.68W
04/19/2006  E0.75 INCH       CHEROKEE           AL   PUBLIC

            PENNY SIZED HAIL EAST OF LEESBURG.

&&

DCW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
347 PM CDT WED APR 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0346 PM     HAIL             BLOUNTSVILLE            34.08N 86.59W
04/19/2006  E1.75 INCH       BLOUNT             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL IN BLOUNTSVILLE.

&&

DCW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
353 PM CDT WED APR 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 PM     HAIL             3 E BLOUNTSVILLE        34.08N 86.54W
04/19/2006  E1.00 INCH       BLOUNT             AL   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL IN ROYAL.

&&

DCW