Hail in Utah, June 25, 2005

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
310 PM MDT SAT JUN 25 2005

.SYNOPSIS...SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER UTAH INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. AN UPPER LOW WILL LIFT ACROSS UTAH TONIGHT. A
DRIER AIRMASS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA ON SUNDAY AND REMAIN INTO
TUESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON. INNOCUOUS CELLS OVER THE WEST ARE PRODUCING STRONG
SURFACE WINDS WHILE STORMS OVER THE EAST HAVE BEEN BRINGING HEAVY
RAINS. SPC SVR WATCH BOX IN PLACE OVER NRN 2/3 OF FORECAST AREA.

ACTIVITY WILL PERSIST INTO TONIGHT AS UPPER LOW OVER WRN NV
GRADUALLY LIFTS OUT TO THE NE. THIS WILL BRING THE DRIER AIR NOW
OVER CENTRAL AND SRN NV INTO WRN UT SUPPRESSING ANY CONVECTION
TOMORROW. THE EAST MIGHT SEE ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT AS THAT
SIDE OF THE MTNS WILL BE SLOWER TO DRY. HOWEVER...THE MAIN UPPER TROF
REMAINS TO OUR WEST AND ADDITIONAL WEAK SHORT WAVES WILL GRAZE THE
FAR NORTH SUN NIGHT AND AGAIN MON. THE ENTIRE TROF MOVES EAST THRU
THE NRN ROCKIES TUE DRAGGING A COLD FRONT INTO THE NORTH BEHIND IT.

A WEAK UPPER LOW GETS LEFT BEHIND OFF THE CA COAST TUE. THE GFS
DRAGS THIS ACROSS THE AREA WED AND WED NIGHT WITH A THREAT OF
CONVECTION. FOR NOW...ADDED VERY LOW POPS FOR WED AFTERNOON UNTIL
CONFIDENCE IS GREATER THAT THIS FEATURE WILL ACTUALLY MOVE INLAND.

APPEARS AT THIS TIME THAT IT WILL BE DRY FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.HYDRO...LITTLE COTTONWOOD CREEK RUNNING NEAR BANKFULL FROM
SNOWMELT...WITH AVERAGE MELT RATES IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES PER DAY. ANY
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL FROM THUNDERSTORMS COULD ENHANCE FLOWS ENOUGH TO
LEAD TO FLOODING OF SOME RESIDENTIAL AREAS...SO FLOOD WATCH WILL
REMAIN IN EFFECT.

&&

.AVIATION...SEE SLCTAFSLC FOR DETAILS.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...FLOOD WATCH FOR LITTLE COTTONWOOD CREEK UFN UTZ003-008.
     RED FLAG WARNING FIRE WX ZONES 420 SOUTH OF I-80 AND
     434-435-437-439-440 BELOW 6500 FEET UNTIL 9PM MDT.
     SVR TSTM WATCH NRN 2/3 OF UT UNTIL 8 PM MDT.
WY...NONE.

&&

WILENSKY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
629 AM MDT SAT JUN 25 2005

UTZ001>021-WYZ021-261300-
CACHE VALLEY/UTAH PORTION-CASTLE COUNTRY-
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
GLEN CANYON RECREATION AREA/LAKE POWELL-
GREAT SALT LAKE DESERT AND MOUNTAINS-HENRY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN WASATCH FRONT-SALT LAKE AND TOOELE VALLEYS-SAN RAFAEL SWELL-
SANPETE/SEVIER VALLEYS-SOUTH CENTRAL UTAH-SOUTHERN WASATCH FRONT-
SOUTHWEST UTAH-SOUTHWEST WYOMING-UTAHS DIXIE AND ZION NATIONAL PARK-
WASATCH MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-WASATCH MOUNTAINS I-80 NORTH-
WASATCH MOUNTAINS SOUTH OF I-80-WASATCH PLATEAU/BOOK CLIFFS-
WEST CENTRAL UTAH-WESTERN UINTA BASIN-WESTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
629 AM MDT SAT JUN 25 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
WYOMING ALL ALL OF UTAH EXCEPT THE FAR EASTERN COUNTIES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER
SOUTHWEST UTAH THIS MORNING...WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING OVER THE ENTIRE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.  SEVERE STORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE
PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

THE STORMS WILL BE GENERATED IN RESPONSE TO A MID LEVEL
DISTURBANCE LIFTING NORTH ACROSS THE REGION AND INCREASING
ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE.

SCATTERED DRY LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED OVER MOST OF WESTERN AND
SOUTH CENTRAL UTAH TODAY WITH A FEW OF THE STORMS PRODUCING LITTLE
OR NO RAINFALL.  STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ALSO
LEAD TO EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. SEE THE LATEST SLCRFWSLC FOR
DETAILS.

AVERAGE MELT RATES IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES PER DAY IN THE
HIGHER ELEVATION SNOWPACK AREAS...COUPLED WITH ANY SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL FROM THUNDERSTORMS...COULD LEAD TO FLOODING THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.  A FLOOD WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR LITTLE COTTONWOOD
CREEK...SEE THE LATEST SLCFFASLC FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

BARJENBRUCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
420 PM MDT SAT JUN 25 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     HAIL             TOOELE                  40.54N 112.30W
06/25/2005  0.75 INCH        TOOELE             UT   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DRB