Flood in Ohio, October 27 to 28, 2005

Name: Flood in Ohio, October 27 to 28, 2005
Start: 2005-10-27T04:00
End: 2005-10-28T07:00
Location: Ohio

October 27 to 28, 2005 · NWS CLE · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

Tornadoes
Tropical storms and surge
Floods
Wind
Hail
Winter weather
Heat and drought
Cold
Fire, smoke and dust
Marine and coastal
Other

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The toll

Deaths: 0
Injuries: 0
Property damage: $15,000
Crop damage: None recorded
Events: 1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS CLE wrote it up.

An upper level low pressure system tracked east over Ohio during the evening hours of the 24th and into the morning hours of the 25th. This system produced rain, some of it heavy, over most of northern Ohio. The heaviest rainfall fell on portions of the Scioto River basin including Marion County. With the ground already saturated from steady rains the previous four days, the heavy rain on the 25th ran off causing the Scioto River at Prospect to rise. The river eventually went into flood during the morning hours of the 27th. By 6 am on the 27th, the observed stage was 9.1 feet. The river water level continued to rise slightly through the morning, and then crested at 9.2 feet at 2 pm that afternoon. The river level held steady through the afternoon and evening hours, then slowly began to fall overnight. The river level at Prospect fell below flood stage at 6 am on the 28th. Lowland flooding occurred along the river near Prospect. Although there were no major reports of damage, basement and nuisance flooding did cause some minor damage. Cooperative observers in Marion measured 1.19 inches of rain on the 25th and a total of 2.44 inches from the 21st through the 26th.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 27, 2:35 AM EST, 1 hour 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 27, 2:35 AM EST, 1 hour 25 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO
335 AM EDT THU OCT 27 2005

.SHORT TERM(TODAY-SAT)...
PATTERN ACROSS NORTH AMERICA REMAINS VERY AMPLIFIED WITH A DEEP
TOUGH OVER THE EAST AND A SHARP RIDGE OVER THE PLAINS. WATER VAPOR
SHOWS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH ROTATING THRU THE GTLKS ATTM. THIS
COMBINED WITH COLD 850MB TEMPS AND NWLY WINDS OFF OF LERI HAVE
ALLOWED FOR LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS TO BECOME A LITTLE BETTER
ORGANIZED OVER ASHTABULA COUNTY THIS MRNG. WITH LHUR FETCH
CONTINUING TODAY IN NWLY FLOW EXPECT SCT SHOWERS TO CONTINUE IN THE
SNOWBELT TODAY. BL FLOW GENERALLY NEUTRAL TODAY BEHIND THE S/WV AND
ALTHOUGH DELTA-T VALUES ARE GENERALLY AROUND 19C...INVERSION HEIGHTS
WL REMAIN GENERALLY AROUND 5000 FT SO PCPN WL NOT LIKELY BECOME HVY.
WL LKLY STAY DRY AT KCLE AND WL JUST GO SCHC IN CUYAHOGA TODAY. MAY
INEVITABLY BE PARTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING AT TOL AND FDY...BUT EXPECT
INSTABILITY CU TO DEVELOP ALLOWING MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES THIS AFTN.

DIFFS BTWN THE GFS AND NAM TONIGHT WITH THE MAIN UPR SYSTEM. THE GFS
IS FURTHER W WITH THE UPR LOW WHILE THE NAM SHEARS THE SYSTEM TO THE
EAST. GFS VERY CONSISTENT WITH IT/S SOLN...AND DOES HAVE AGREEMENT
WITH THE UKMET. WITH THE GFS FURTHER WEST...IT ALLOWS MUCH COLDER
850MB AIR TO MOVE OVERHEAD AND IT ALLOWS FOR MORE CLDS IN WRN OHIO.
LOOKING UPSTREAM...THERE ARE PLENTY OF LOW CLDS AND RAOBS SUPPORT
THE COLD AIR IN ONTARIO/QUEBEC. AM THINKING OF TRENDING TOWARD MORE
CLDS IN WRN OH TONIGHT. STILL THINK FROST IS POSSIBLE OUT WEST AND
INLAND N-CENTRAL OH...ESPECIALLY IF IT CAN BEGIN TO CLEAR OUT LATE
AS THE GFS SUGGESTS HOWEVER WL TREND WARMER WITH TEMPS TONIGHT DUE
TO CLDS. WL HOLD OFF ON ANY FROST HEADLINES ATTM DUE TO UNCERTAINTY.
AS FOR THE LAKE EFFECT PCPN...AM THINKING THAT WITH THE Q-VECT CVRG
FROM THE UPR TROF AXIS COMBINED WITH LIKELY LK INDUCED TROFFINESS AS
THE UPR COLD POOL MOVES OVERHEAD...AM THINKING THAT THE LAKE EFFECT
PCPN WL INCREASE THIS EVENING. BOTH THE GFS AND NAM SHOW VERY STRONG
CVRG OVER NW PA TONIGHT COMBINED WITH A STRONG LHUR FETCH AND AN
INVERSION AROUND 8000 FT. AS FOR PCPN TYPE...GFS SUGGEST THICKNESS
VALUES AROUND 1303M...PROBABLY MARGINAL FOR SNOW. HOWEVER...GFS MOS
SHOWS SNOW AT YNG/CAK/GKJ AT 09Z WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. AM
THINKING THAT WITH ANY HEAVIER SHOWER THE RAIN WL AT LEAST MIX WITH
SNOW IN NW PA/NE OH TOWARD MRNG.

WL INTRODUCE 30 POPS FOR NW PA/NW OH ON FRI WITH CONTINUED CYCLONIC
FLOW...ALTHOUGH SUBSIDENCE DOES INCREASE AS HIGH PRES BUILDS IN.
LOOKS LIKE SAT MRNG THERE COULD BE A WIDESPRED FREEZE INLAND IF THE
CLOUDS CLEAR OUT AND DWPTS REMAIN LOW ENOUGH. SHOULD BE MOSTLY SUNNY
WITH HIGH PRES OVERHEAD FOR THE WKND.

WL GO BELOW GUIDANCE THE NEXT COUPLE OF NIGHTS. OTHERWISE...A BLEND
OF MOS GUIDANCE SEEMS REASONABLE. LOOKS LIKE A SLOW WARMING TREND
WITH TEMPS IN THE MID 50S BY SAT.

&&

.LONG TERM (SUN THRU WED)...
UPPR RDG IS FCST TO BUILD INTO THE WRN LAKES FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS
SAT NIGHT AND SUN.  THIS WILL CONTINUE GENERALLY FAIR WEATHER FOR
THE WEEKEND...ALTHOUGH MORNING LOWS COULD BE FROSTY WITH SFC HIGH
ACRS THE AREA.  SFC HIGH SLIDES TO OUR SOUTH MONDAY AHEAD OF THE
NEXT CDFNT FCST IN FOR TUESDAY.  HAVE BROUGHT A CHC OF SHOWERS BACK
FOR THE DAY. HPC IS A BIT FASTER FOR FROPA AND YDAYS SOLTN.  AT THIS
POINT HAVE OPTED FOR CONTINUITY AND HAVE KEPT FROPA ON TUES.  BEST
LOOK INTO WED SOLTN IS THAT THE DAY IS DRY IN ADVANCE OF ANOTHER
CDFNT THURSDAY.  SYSTEMS QUITE PROGRESSIVE HAVE WITH ST WLYS ACRS
THE CONUS FM THE UPPR PLAINS INTO THE GRTLKS SO THIS COULD CHG.

&&

.AVIATION (06Z-06Z)...
UPPER TROUGH EXPECTED TO SWING SOUTH OVER THE LAKE THROUGH EFFECTING
MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...AND KEEPING MAINLY VFR-MVFR CONDITIONS
ACROSS FORECAST SITES. SURFACE HIGH PRESS WEST OF REGION WILL REMAIN
IN PLACE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS BEFORE MAKING ANY FURTHER PROGRESS INTO
THE AREA. S/W MOVING SOUTHEAST FROM MI WILL BRING SOME LOWER
CEILINGS INTO AREA BETWEEN 09-13Z. CEILINGS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOWER
THROUGH DAY ESP FROM CLE EAST AS FLOW CONTINUES N-NW OFF LAKE. BEST
CHANCE FOR VCSH IS EAST TOWARDS CAK AND YNG THROUGH 06Z FRI. BROUGHT
IN PREDOMINATE SHOWERS FOR ERI AND LOWER MVFR CEILING DURING
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THINK PLACES AWAY FROM LIKE SUCH AS MFD WILL
SEE IMPROVING VFR CONDITIONS AFTER 22Z THU AND AREAS ACROSS WEST
WILL SEE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH MUCH OF FORECAST PERIOD WITH ONLY
POSSIBLE DROP TO MVFR WILL BE DURING MORNING HOURS THROUGH BETWEEN
10 AND 15Z AS S/W APPROACHES THE AREA.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.OH...NONE
.PA...NONE

&&

SHORT TERM...MRD
LONG TERM...TK
AVIATION...ABE

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Marion

When: October 27, 4:00 AM EST to October 28, 7:00 AM EST
Where: Marion forecast zone
Property damage: $15,000
Reported by: AWOS,ASOS,MESONET,ETC
Coordinates: 40.587, -83.161 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Flood: Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

Every storm in Ohio in 2005 Every state in 2005 This day in weather history Warnings in Ohio, October 2005

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5476790.