1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 17, 4:00 PM EST, 3 hours 30 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 400 PM EST THU FEB 17 2005 .SHORT TERM...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUE OVER SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON. THESE SNOW SHOWERS ARE MOSTLY DIURNALLY INDUCED...AS LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES (SURFACE TO 800 MB) HAVE STEEPENED UP SIGNIFICANTLY WITH 850 TEMPS CONTINUING TO FALL. WILL BE CARRYING NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS (70 POP) INTO THE EVENING HOURS...BEFORE TAPERING OFF POPS TO LOW CHANCE...AS CLOUDS AND SNOW SHOWERS RETREAT CLOSER TO LAKE MICHIGAN. ONCE DIURNAL ACTIVITY DIMINISHES...WILL HAVE TO RELY MORE DIRECTLY ON THE INFLUENCE OF LAKE MICHIGAN. WITH 850 MB TEMPS OF -21 TO -22 C OVER LAKE MICHIGAN...AND INVERSION HEIGHTS REMAINING AT OR ABOVE 5000 FEET OVER SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN THROUGH THE NIGHT...IT CERTAINLY IS POSSIBLE A FEW LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS MAY STILL SNEAK INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...THE CHANCES SEEM LOW...AS THE ATMOSPHERE BEGINS TO DRY OUT IN THE WAKE OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WHICH SWINGS THROUGH DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. BASED ON WINDS VEERING TO THE NORTHWEST ...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO LEAD TO LOW LEVEL DRYING...HAVE ALLOWED SKIES TO GO PARTLY CLOUDY TO MOSTLY CLEAR OVERNIGHT. AS LONG AS SKIES PARTIALLY CLEAR OUT...TEMPERATURES SHOULD HAVE NO PROBLEM DROPPING INTO THE SINGLE NUMBERS TO LOWER TEENS...PER CURRENT FORECAST...DESPITE WINDS STAYING UP THROUGH THE NIGHT. GOOD MID LEVEL RIDGING TO BUILD INTO LOWER MICHIGAN TOMORROW...ALLOWING 850 MB TEMPS TO WARM...AND THUS END OR DIMINISH LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY TO FLURRIES. LAKE INDUCED TROUGH OVER LAKE HURON. HOWEVER...NO INDICATION FROM THE NAM THIS TROUGH/LAKE BANDS WILL MOVE INLAND...AS ENOUGH OF A WESTERLY COMPONENT PERSISTS OVER THE THUMB. NO CHANGES TO MAXES WHICH ARE IN LINE WITH GUIDANCE....20 TO 25 DEGREES. && .LONG TERM...THROUGH THURSDAY A VERY WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. THE BEST SURFACE TROUGHING AND DEEPER LAYER MOISTURE WILL REMAIN NORTH ACROSS ONTARIO AS SURFACE HIGH TO OUR SOUTH SLIDES BY AND BUILDS OVER THE SE U.S. ON SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM TO OUR NORTH HAS VERY LITTLE MOISTURE TO WORK WITH...NAM SHOWS 1000 TO 500MB RH LESS THAN 50% OVER SE MICHIGAN AND GFS JUST A LITTLE HIGHER. SHOT OF ENERGY COMES THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING IS WORTHY GOING WITH A SMALL CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW. THE THINKING NOW AS THE MODELS START TO LINEUP IS THAT THE BETTER CHANCE OF SNOW WILL BE SATURDAY MORNING AS OMEGA LIFT MOVES THROUGH AHEAD OF WEAK COLD FRONT. WILL GO AHEAD AND MENTION 40% CHANCE OF SNOW SATURDAY MORNING...THEN KEEP FLURRIES IN FOR THE AFTERNOON. NAM IS SHOWING SOME GOOD LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SATURDAY AFTERNOON BEHIND FRONT...THUS WILL GO WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ON SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY BUILD IN SATURDAY NIGHT AND THEN MOVE OUT ON SUNDAY MORNING JUST AS QUICKLY AS IT COMES IN. SUNDAY BECOMES THE MAIN DAY OF INTEREST. LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS SE MICHIGAN SUNDAY NIGHT. THERE HAS BEEN FAIRLY GOOD CONSISTENCY WITH THE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM ACROSS SE MICHIGAN. THE LOCAL WRFXX HOWEVER IS MUCH FURTHER TO THE NORTH WITH THIS LOW. THERE IS GOOD DEEP LEVEL MOISTURE AND LIFT WITH THIS SYSTEM AS A NICE VORT MAX MOVES ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ALL MODEL SOUNDINGS ARE COLD ENOUGH FOR ALL SNOW THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY...WHEN MOST OF THE PRECIP WILL OCCUR. MODEL CONSENSUS SHOWS BEST ENERGY OVER SOUTHERN HALF OF CWA...WITH UP TO A HALF INCH OF QPF SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...SPELLING SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON THE ORDER OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO A MIXTURE OF PRECIP AFTER SUNSET. AS LOW MOVES BY SUNDAY EVENING...THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL WARM ABOVE FREEZING. THIS WILL BE THE TRICKY PART OF THE FORECAST. THIS COULD SPELL A BRIEF PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY EVENING BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO ALL RAIN OVERNIGHT. THE GOOD NEWS IS THE BULK OF THE PRECIP WILL HAVE ALREADY MOVED THROUGH...SO THE THINKING NOW IS ANY RAIN THAT FALLS OVERNIGHT WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT. WITH THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM AT THIS TIME...ESPECIALLY WITH THE LOCAL MODEL SHOWING THE LOW SO MUCH FURTHER TO THE NORTH AND THE 18Z NAM GOING MUCH FURTHER TO THE SOUTH...WILL START BY PAINTING THE ENTIRE CWA WITH AROUND 3 TO 4 INCHES FOR NOW. ENOUGH CONFIDENCE IN RECEIVING PRECIP WITH THIS SYSTEM DOES EXIST SO WE WILL BUMP POPS TO LIKELY AT THIS TIME. AGAIN...WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO RISE SUNDAY EVENING...THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL SEE SNOW POSSIBLY TURN TO A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN BEFORE GOING OVER TO RAIN. ALL DEPENDS ON THAT SURFACE TEMPERATURE. FOR NOW THE THINKING IS THE SURFACE TEMPERATURE WILL COME UP ABOVE FREEZING QUICK ENOUGH TO KEEP ANY FREEZING RAIN THAT FALLS ON TOP OF THE SNOW LIMITED TO A BRIEF PERIOD OF TIME. EXCEPT FOR A LOW MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI VALLEY MONDAY NIGHT...REST OF THE WEEK LOOKS TO BE FAIRLY BENIGN AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION. THE LOW ON TUESDAY NIGHT NEEDS TO BE WATCHED HOWEVER. THIS COULD PRODUCE A QUICK SHOT OF SNOW ON TUESDAY MORNING FOR OUR SOUTHERN 2 TIER COUNTIES. NOT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE AT THIS TIME TO MENTION IN ZONES. && .AVIATION... STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES (SURFACE TO 6000/7000 FEET) HAS LEAD TO NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS...AS LOW LEVEL CAPES ARE UP TOWARD 100 J/KG. EXPECT THIS DIURNALLY ENHANCED ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...AHEAD OF A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH WHICH WILL BE PUSHING THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN AROUND 6Z. HAVE SCATTERED CLOUDS/CEILINGS ACROSS THE TAF SITES BASED ON THIS AND WINDS VEERING TO THE NORTHWEST. IN THE MEANTIME...HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS WILL LIKELY CAUSE CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES TO BE BRIEFLY LOWER THAN FORECAST. HAVE TRIED TO COVER THE PREDOMINATE CONDITIONS IN THE TAFS (P6SM/VFR...TEMPO 2SM/IFR) THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...AS SEEN IN THE METARS (KMBS)...VISIBILITIES COULD/WILL BRIEFLY DROP BELOW 1SM MILE/LIFR. && .DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... .MI...NONE .LAKE HURON...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EARLY THIS EVENING...SAGINAW BAY AND THE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM PORT AUSTIN TO PORT HURON .LAKE ST CLAIR...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EARLY THIS EVENING. .MI WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EARLY THIS EVENING. && SF/SHULER
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 500 AM EST THU FEB 17 2005 MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-181200- BAY MI-GENESEE MI-HURON MI-LAPEER MI-LENAWEE MI-LIVINGSTON MI-MACOMB MI-MIDLAND MI-MONROE MI-OAKLAND MI-SAGINAW MI-SANILAC MI-SHIAWASSEE MI-ST. CLAIR MI-TUSCOLA MI-WASHTENAW MI-WAYNE MI-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ADRIAN...ANN ARBOR...BAD AXE...BAY CITY...CARO...DOWNTOWN DETROIT...FLINT...HOWELL...LAPEER...MIDLAND... MONROE...MOUNT CLEMENS...OWOSSO...PONTIAC...PORT HURON...SAGINAW AND SANDUSKY 500 AM EST THU FEB 17 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAY TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL AND MIXED PRECIPITATION ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE PLAINS SATURDAY NIGHT...THEN TRACK ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND INTO ONTARIO ON MONDAY. THE STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM AND THE TRACK THAT IT WILL TAKE THROUGH THE REGION REMAIN UNCERTAIN...AND WILL HAVE A LARGE IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS AND TYPE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. LCZ422-423-460-LEZ444-LHZ421-422-441>443-462>464-181200- LAKE HURON-SAGINAW BAY-LAKE HURON NEARSHORE FROM PORT AUSTIN TO PORT HURON-ST CLAIR RIVER-LAKE ST CLAIR-DETROIT RIVER-MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE- 500 AM EST THU FEB 17 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SAGINAW BAY...SOUTHERN LAKE HURON...THE ST CLAIR RIVER...LAKE ST CLAIR...THE DETROIT RIVER...AND THE MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL NEARSHORE WATERS... INCLUDING SAGINAW BAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILS. .DAY TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. BRAVENDER HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/DTX
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Lower Rouge River at Inkster went above its 10 foot flood stage at 730 pm EST on the 17th. The river crested at 10.02 feet at 815 pm EST on the 17th, then fell back below flood stage at 830 pm EST on the 17th.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Michigan in 2005Every state in 2005This day in weather historyWarnings in Michigan, February 2005
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5437671.