Hail in Louisiana, March 26, 2005

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
2 PM CST SAT MAR 26 2005

.SYNOPSIS...
A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE INTO THE LAKES REGION AROUND
MIDNIGHT, CONTINUE ITS EASTWARD JOURNEY, THEN EXIT SOUTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA AROUND DAWN.

FURTHER-UP, A DEEP TROUGH-IN-THE-WESTERLIES WILL FOLLOW THE
TRAVELING COLD FRONT IN TANDEM.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
FOR TONIGHT, PROPAGATING GROUP WAVES WILL ENTER THE LAKES REGION THIS
EVENING, AND EXIT EAST CENTRAL LOUISIANA JUST BEFORE MIDNIGHT. AS A
FIRST GUESS, THUNDERSTORM ORGANIZATION MAY BE LINKED TO THE NEARNESS
OF THESE GROUP WAVES.

DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, TEMPERATURES WILL FALL RAPIDLY ACROSS
THE LAKES REGION, AS MIDWEST AIR RIDES-IN ON THE BLUE NORTHERS. A
SIGNIFICANT CONTRAST IN TEMPERATURES WILL BE FOUND RANGING FROM THE
LOWER 50S (ABOUT SEASONAL) ACROSS THE LAKES REGION, TO THE MID 60S
(ABOUT 10 FAHRENHEIT DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL) ACROSS THE COASTAL
MARSHES OF SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

EASTER SUNDAY MORNING LOOKS COOL WITH LIGHT DRIZZLE. THIS WRAP-
AROUND STRATIFORM DRIZZLE WILL TAPER-OFF IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
THE TEMPERATURES WILL BE RUNNING ABOUT 10 TO 15 FAHRENHEIT DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL. THE WIND CHILL EQUIVALENT TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND
5 FAHRENHEIT DEGREES COOLER THAN THE ACTUAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.MARINE...
ONCE AGAIN, ADVECTING MARITIME TROPICAL AIR WILL BE SLIDING OVER THE
RELATIVELY COOL NEAR SHORE WATERS CHILLING TO SATURATION. PATCHY
SEA FOG IS THE RESULT, ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST.

THIS SEA FOG WILL ABRUPTLY DISPERSE WITH PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT.
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SEEMS LIKELY FOR EARLY SUNDAY MORNING, AS
STRONG BLUE NORTHERS WILL SPILL-IN BEHIND THE DEPARTED FRONT.

&&

.AVIATION...PATCHY SEA FOG HAS ROLLED INTO KLCH AND KLFT CAUSING IFR
CONDITIONS. CIGS BETWEEN 1500 AND 2500 FEET PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF
THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT
THE AREA WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS STARTING AT
KBPT BY 22Z AN THEN MOVING EASTWARD THRU THE EVENING HOURS. JUST
HAVE VCTS AT KBPT AND KLCH WHERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MORE
SCATTERED AND TEMPO TSTM AT KAEX AND KLFT WHERE ACTIVITY WILL BE
MORE NUMEROUS. TSTMS WILL CLEAR THE AREA BY MIDNIGHT WITH LOW
CEILINGS AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  57  63  46  74 /  50  20   0   0
KBPT  54  64  47  75 /  50  20   0   0
KAEX  56  60  43  70 /  60  20   0   0
KLFT  63  62  46  71 /  50  20   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

21/99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
540 AM CST SAT MAR 26 2005

LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-271200-
ACADIA-ALLEN-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-CALCASIEU-CAMERON-EVANGELINE-
HARDIN-IBERIA-JASPER-JEFFERSON-JEFFERSON DAVIS-LAFAYETTE-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-NEWTON-ORANGE-RAPIDES-ST. LANDRY-ST. MARY-TYLER-
UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERMILION-VERNON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WOODVILLE...PORT ARTHUR...ORANGE...
NEWTON...KOUNTZE...JASPER...BEAUMONT...STEPHENSVILLE...OBERLIN...
ABBEVILLE...VILLE PLATTE...OPELOUSAS...NEW IBERIA...MORGAN CITY...
MARKSVILLE...LEESVILLE...LAKE CHARLES...LAFAYETTE...JENNINGS...
DERIDDER...CROWLEY...CAMERON AND ALEXANDRIA

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL
WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS TEXAS THIS
AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON. SOME OF THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE AS THE
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM COMBINES WITH A SURFACE LOW MOVING NORTHEAST
ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTO SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. DAMAGING
WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE RAPIDLY
EAST WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES DECREASING AFTER MIDNIGHT. WINDS WILL
INCREASE OUT OF THE NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS ANOTHER FRONT MOVES ACROSS
THE AREA. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS, HAM RADIO OPERATORS, AND EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...MAY
BECOME NECESSARY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

24

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
444 PM CST SAT MAR 26 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0431 PM     HAIL             PINEVILLE               31.33N 92.42W
03/26/2005  1.00 INCH        RAPIDES            LA   PUBLIC

            DIME AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL COVERED THE GROUND

&&

SRINARD