3 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 16, 3:11 AM CST, 7 hours 54 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 311 AM CST TUE NOV 16 2004 .SHORT TERM...CURRENTLY AN INVERTED TROUGH/WARM SITUATED OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. THIS FEATURE HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY TOO THE WEST AND AS A RESULT...TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS HAVE CONTINUED TO CLIMB OVERNIGHT. RADAR INDICATING A FAIRLY SOLID AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SITUATED ACROSS MUCH OF WEST TEXAS. HOURLY RAINFALL RATES FROM OBSERVATIONS I HAVE NOTED ARE IN THE 0.30 TO 0.50 INCH RANGE. NOT MUCH HAS CHANGED FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST THINKING AS UPPER LOW IS NOW BEGINNING TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO. BOTH THE ETA AND GFS ARE SIMILAR IN THAT THEY BOTH TAKE THE FEATURE TO THE EAST OPEN IT UP INTO A NEGATIVE TILTED TROUGH. THE GFS STILL REMAINS THE SLOWEST AND FURTHEST SOUTH. NO MATTER WHICH WHAT YOU PICK...RAIN STILL A GUARANTEE THROUGH THE NEXT 36 HOURS. TROUBLE COMES WHEN TOO END IT. WILL LEAN MORE IN THE DIRECTION OF THE ETA...BUT NOT TOTALLY THROUGH THE GFS OUT ON THE TIMING ISSUE. AREA IS SATURATED IN SEVERAL DIFFERENT REGIONS... AND WITH CONVECTION BECOMING MORE OF AN ISSUE THAT WILL PRODUCE HEAVIER DOWN POURS...WILL CONTINUE FLOOD WATCH AS IS. && .LONG TERM...NEXT FRONT DUE FRIDAY...MAY PRODUCE SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY ACROSS THE NORTH. MORE POTENT FRONT DUE IN SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY MORNING. THIS FEATURE LOOKS TO HAVE SOME POST FRONTAL CLOUDS AND SHOWERS WITH IT AS WELL AND HAVE TRENDED TEMPERATURES DOWN DURING THIS TIME FRAME...AND THEY WILL LIKELY NEED TOO COME DOWN EVEN FURTHER IN LATER FORECASTS. LETS GET PAST THE FIRST ONE BEFORE LABORING TOO LONG THAT FAR OUT. && .HYDROLOGY...MANY RIVERS AND DRAWS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ARE BEGINNING TO RUN. THE LLANO RIVER WAS UP TO BANK FULL IN JUNCTION AND IS CURRENTLY RUNNING NEAR BANK FULL IN MASON. THIS BASIN WILL HAVE TOO BE CLOSELY MONITORED THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS HEAVY RAINS MOVE BACK ACROSS THIS BASIN. NUMEROUS DRAWS ACROSS THE NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU ARE RUNNING FULL AND SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS ARE CURRENTLY CLOSED. THIS WILL LIKELY GET WORSE THROUGH THE DAY. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING TODAY IS ALSO SITUATED ACROSS THIS AREA. WILL BE KEEPING THE CURRENT FLOOD WATCH AS IS AND THERE WILL LIKELY BE NUMEROUS STATEMENTS AND WARNINGS ISSUED THROUGH THE DAY. && .CLIMATE...WHAT A YEAR FOR RAINFALL ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. ABILENE IS NOW UP TO 35.04 INCHES SO FAR THIS YEAR THIS IS THE WETTEST YEAR SINCE SINCE 1969 FOR ABILENE. THIS IS ALSO ABILENE 9TH WETTEST YEAR ON RECORD SO FAR...AND WITH THE TOP 6TH POSITION BEING ONLY 35.55...THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF EXCEEDING THAT THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS IF NOT HIGHER. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... ABILENE 64 57 65 51 / 90 90 90 30 SAN ANGELO 64 56 66 51 / 90 90 70 20 JUNCTION 67 59 68 52 / 90 90 70 30 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLOOD WATCH FOR FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY ALL AREAS. && 27/BRAZZELL
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 536 AM CST TUE NOV 16 2004 TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140- 154-155-168>170-162000- BROWN TX-CALLAHAN TX-COKE TX-COLEMAN TX-CONCHO TX-CROCKETT TX- FISHER TX-HASKELL TX-IRION TX-JONES TX-KIMBLE TX-MASON TX- MCCULLOCH TX-MENARD TX-NOLAN TX-RUNNELS TX-SAN SABA TX-SCHLEICHER TX- SHACKELFORD TX-STERLING TX-SUTTON TX-TAYLOR TX-THROCKMORTON TX- TOM GREEN TX- 536 AM CST TUE NOV 16 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE... HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP TODAY AS MOISTURE BEGINS TO INCREASE OVER WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ARE EXPECTED TO BE ELEVATED AND REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. THE MAIN HAZARDOUS THREAT WILL BE FLASH FLOODING AS MUCH OF THE REGION HAS RECEIVED PLENTIFUL RAINFALL OVER SATURATED SOILS. SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL RAINFALL MAY CAUSE FLOODING OVER LOW LYING AREAS AND CAUSE SOME RURAL ROADS TO BECOME CLOSED. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE HEAVY RAINFALL. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. A BROAD AND SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY ALLOWING FOR ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP. THIS DISTURBANCE SHOULD INCREASE THE CHANCES OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND POTENTIAL FLOODING OVER WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH THURSDAY. THE DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OUT OF THE AREA TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK AND FLOODING SHOULD NOT BE A THREAT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. 10
The San Angelo radar (KSJT), 113 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 17:02 UTC.
3 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Texas Department of Transportation had to close highway 163 and county road 2083 due to water running over these roads.
Water as reported to be 5 feet above the road surface on ranch road 385.
Law enforcement had to close several streets in the city of Coleman due to high water.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, November 2004
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5426171, 5426172, 5426173.