1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 15, 11:17 AM CST, 53 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 1117 AM CST MON NOV 15 2004 .AVIATION... IFR CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE OVER THE AREA WITH POSSIBLE MVFR CONDITIONS FOR A SHORT PERIOD THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THIS WILL BE TEMPERED BY OCCASIONAL PRECIP WHICH SHOULD REMAIN MORE TO THE WEST OF THE AREA. AFTER SUNSET...EXPECT LOWERING CIGS AND VSBYS THROUGH THE NIGHT...WITH LOW IFR AGAIN BY EARLY MORNING. 42 && .UPDATE... 1000 AM CST... WARM ADVECTION/OVERRUNNING PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. SPECIFIC HUMIDITY VALUES CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH 3Z AND COLUMN ALREADY IS SATURATED SO HAVE KEPT A MENTION OF FOG ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 35 THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. PRECIP WILL ONCE AGAIN BE CONFINED TO THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CWA AND HAVE LOWERED POPS TO 20 ACROSS THE EAST AND RAISED THEM TO 100 WEST. ALSO KEPT THE MENTION OF ISOLATED THUNDER TO THE EAST OF INTERSTATE 35 WHERE BETTER ELEVATED INSTABILITY/FORCING WILL RESIDE. LOWERED HIGHS ACROSS THE NW TO THE MID 50S DUE TO RAIN...BUT MID-UPPER 60S OVER THE SOUTHEAST LOOK ATTAINABLE. OTHER COSMETIC CHANGES WERE MADE TO GRIDS AND ZONE FORECASTS. TR/92 && .AVIATION... LIFR AND PATCHY DENSE FOG EXPECTED TO LIFT VERY SLOWLY TO IFR THIS MORNING. WARM ADVECTION TO CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW SO SEE NO BREAK IN THE CLOUDY SKIES. THUNDER SHOULD NOT BE A PROBLEM AT LEAST...AS THERE HAVE BEEN VERY FEW CELLS IN THE PRECIP AREAS. STRONGEST RAIN SHOULD STAY WEST OF THE TAF SITES ANYWAY. GFS AND ETA DISAGREED ON WARM FRONTAL PROGRESSION...BUT LOOKS LIKE ETA HAD THE BETTER HANDLE WITH DEWPOINTS RAISING UP THROUGH THE DAY. 56 DEWPOINTS ARE NOW IN SOUTHEAST CWA WITH THE 60 LINE NORTH OF HOUSTON. MET DATA SHOWS 60 DEWPOINTS REACHING DFW METROPLEX TOMORROW MORNING. 84 && .DISCUSSION... THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S./NORTHWESTERN MEXICAN UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE MAIN PLAYER IN OUR WEATHER THROUGH THIS WEEK. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE UPPER LOW HAS CONTINUED TO DIG SLOWLY SOUTHWARD. THE MOTION WAS SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY THROUGH SUNDAY...AND NEARLY DUE SOUTHERLY DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS. COLD ADVECTION BENEATH 500 MB ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE LOW HAS ENDED. THERE IS STILL A STRONG SOUTHERLY BOUND JET MAX ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF THE LOW...BUT IT HAS WEAKENED...AS THE JET ON THE EAST SIDE STRENGTHENED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. THUS...THE TENDENCY TO DIG IS LIKELY TO HAVE ENDED...OR WILL SHORTLY. EVENTUALLY THE LOW WILL ACCELERATE TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST VIA HEIGHT FALLS MOVING INTO THE WESTERN STATES. THE PRECIPITATION WILL SHIFT SLOWLY EAST WITH TIME AS THE LOW APPROACHES TEXAS. THE WEDNESDAY/ THURSDAY PERIOD APPEARS TO BE THE BEST TIME FOR A THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN IN NORTH TEXAS...IN SPITE OF THE FACT THAT THE LOW WILL BE WEAKENING. UNTIL THEN...POPS WILL CONTINUE TO BE VERY HIGH IN THE WEST...NEAR 50/50 CENTRAL...AND LOW IN THE EAST. THE RAIN SHOULD END LATE THURSDAY/FRIDAY...WITH A POSSIBLE MINOR RAIN EVENT DEVELOPING NEXT WEEKEND...IN RESPONSE TO A WEAK TROUGH WORKING IN CONCERT WITH A WEDGE OF COOL AIR MOVING INTO NORTH TEXAS. THERE IS MUCH UNCERTAINTY WITH THE WEEKEND SYSTEM...THUS CURRENT POPS ARE LOW. MOS TEMPERATURES LOOK QUITE GOOD...ONLY MINOR CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE. A SURFACE WARM FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE NORTH OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...PRODUCING A WARMING TREND. COOLER AIR WILL RETURN NEXT WEEKEND. #26 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 61 56 67 60 / 60 40 50 60 WACO, TX 65 59 68 60 / 60 60 60 70 PARIS, TX 59 52 63 57 / 30 20 40 30 DENTON, TX 59 55 65 58 / 60 40 50 60 MCKINNEY, TX 60 54 65 59 / 50 40 40 60 DALLAS, TX 61 56 67 60 / 60 40 50 60 TERRELL, TX 61 56 66 59 / 30 20 30 30 CORSICANA, TX 63 58 68 61 / 40 20 40 30 TEMPLE, TX 64 59 68 62 / 80 60 60 70 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...NONE. && 26
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
A road across a small creek near Graham was closed due to high water.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, November 2004
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5427758.