Lightning Strike in Tennessee, May 10, 2004

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
250 PM EDT MON MAY 10 2004

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...MOISTURE CONTINUES TO BUILD
INTO THE REGION AS THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE SLIPS FURTHER EASTWARD.
A WEAK FRONT WILL SLOWLY DRIFT CLOSER TO THE AREA...HOWEVER IT IS
UNCERTAIN IF IT WILL EVER CLEAR THE REGION BEFORE DISIPATING.  CLOUD
COVER WILL SLOWLY INCREASE...AND TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY WILL BE
SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS DUE TO THE INCREASE IN
CLOUDS AND ALSO A SLIGHT INCREASE IN RAINFALL COVERAGE.  OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER DUE TO LESS RADIATIONAL COOLING.

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT  THROUGH MONDAY)...WEAK SHORTWAVES
EXPECTED TO ROTATE THROUGH THE REGION THIS WEEK.  MOISTURE
LIMITED...BUT STILL UNSTABLE...WILL CONTINUE WITH DIURNAL CHANCE
POPS ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.  COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY ON FRIDAY AND STALLS TO OUR NORTH.  STILL DECENT MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY AHEAD OF IT INTO OUR AREA...KEPT CHANCE POPS FROM FRIDAY
THROUGH MONDAY.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA, TN   61  84  63  83 /  20  40  30  30
KNOXVILLE, TN     61  82  62  82 /  10  30  30  30
BRISTOL, TN       56  81  58  80 /  20  30  30  30
OAK RIDGE, TN     61  82  62  82 /  10  30  30  30
&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

HW/GH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
410 AM EDT MON MAY 10 2004

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-005-
006-008-110900-
ANDERSON-BLEDSOE-BLOUNT SMOKY MTN-BRADLEY-CAMPBELL-CHEROKEE-
CLAIBORNE-CLAY-COCKE SMOKY MTN-EAST POLK-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-HAMILTON-
HANCOCK-HAWKINS-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-KNOX-LEE-LOUDON-MARION-MCMINN-
MEIGS-MORGAN-NORTH SEVIER-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST COCKE-
NORTHWEST GREENE-NORTHWEST MONROE-NW BLOUNT-RHEA-ROANE-RUSSELL-
SCOTT TN-SCOTT VA-SEQUATCHIE-SEVIER SMOKY MTN-SOUTHEAST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-SULLIVAN-UNICOI-UNION-
WASHINGTON TN-WASHINGTON VA-WEST POLK-WISE-
410 AM EDT (310 AM CDT) MON MAY 10 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWESTERN
VIRGINIA AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...

A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...AS
TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN CLIMB INTO SUMMER-LIKE VALUES OF MID 70S
TO UPPER 80S ACROSS THE AREA.  ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS
COULD DEVELOP JUST ABOUT ANYWHERE...EVEN OUTSIDE OF THE HIGHER
TERRAIN AREAS AS MOISTURE INCREASES SLIGHTLY.  THESE SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL BE DRIFTING VERY SLOWLY EASTWARD...WITH THE POSSIBILITY
OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND SMALL HAIL WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.
THE SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD DISSIPATE BEFORE MIDNIGHT...AND NO
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
EACH DAY...DUE TO A MOIST AND UNSTABLE SUMMER-LIKE AIRMASS PERSISTING
ACROSS THE REGION.  THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING HOURS...WITH A FEW STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE.

HOWEVER...AT THIS TIME NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MRX.

TG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
332 PM EDT MON MAY 10 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0321 PM     HAIL             7 NE TELLICO PLAINS     35.44N 84.21W
05/10/2004  1.00 INCH        MONROE             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL IN THE RAFTER AREA.

&&

FERRELL