Puerto Rico, 2004

Flash Flood in Puerto Rico, May 13, 2004

May 13, 2004 · NWS SJU · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Juan, PR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 13, 6:15 AM AST, 1 hour 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 13, 6:15 AM AST, 1 hour 10 minutes before
PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
615 AM AST THU MAY 13 2004

.DISCUSSION...
MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH LYING NEARLY EAST TO WEST ALONG ABOUT 24-25
NORTH ACROSS THE SW ATLC WITH VORTS DIGGING WSW TOWARDS THE BAHAMAS
COMBINING WITH SUBTROPICAL JET STREAKING ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE CARIBBEAN TO PRODUCE EXCELLENT UPPER DIVERGENCE AND VENTILATION
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AND ENHANCING CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION ALL
NIGHT. THESE DYNAMICS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGHOUT THE DAY
FOR VERY GOOD CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL LOCALLY. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH
THE REMNANTS OF OLD FRONTAL TROUGH STILL LINGERING ACROSS THE LOCAL
CARIBBEAN WATERS EXTENDING EASTWARD ACROSS THE LEEWARDS AND WILL
PROVIDE AMPLE MOISTURE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH SATURDAY. BEST
DYNAMICS LOOK TO BE TODAY PER RECENT GUIDANCE THEN WAINING THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...BUT WITH ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. LLVL MOISTURE FORECAST TO
DECREASE SLOWLY TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...THEN BEGIN TO
INCREASE FRIDAY...PEAKING WITH COPIOUS MOISTURE ON SATURDAY. FOR
THIS REASON...SATURDAY COULD TURN OUT TO BE A SIGNIFICANT RAIN AND
FLOODING EVENT...EVEN FOR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AFTER RECENT RAINS...
SATURATED SOILS...AND HIGH RIVER LEVELS. MAY CONTINUES TO COME IN
LIKE A LION AND NO SIGNIFICANT DRYING TREND FORESEEN IN THE NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL DOMINATE THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND
NORTHERN CARIBBEAN FOR THE NEXT 5 TO 7 DAYS WITH FRESH TO STRONG
TRADE WINDS AND ROUGH OFF SHORE SEAS. GFS/WWIII FORECASTING PEAK IN WIND
AND SEAS MONDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
LOCAL SOILS REMAIN SATURATED AND RIVER LEVELS HIGH AND WILL RESPOND
QUICKLY NEXT SEVERAL DAYS TO HEAVY RAINFALL. HAVE ISSUED A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL BUT WEST AND SOUTHWEST P.R. THIS MORNING AND MAY
BE EXPANDED THIS AFTERNOON. LOOK FOR RIVER PROBLEMS BY MID AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WITH N COASTAL AND NE RIVER SYSTEMS MOST
SUSCEPTIBLE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  83  73  86  73 /  70  50  50  50
STT  82  73  85  73 /  50  50  50  70

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...FFA PRZ001-006. SCA AMZ710.
VI...SCA AMZ710.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 13, 6:10 AM AST, 1 hour 15 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
610 AM AST THU MAY 13 2004

PRZ001>013-AMZ710>750-141000-
610 AM AST THU MAY 13 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PUERTO RICO.

.TODAY...THE LOCAL AIRMASS STILL MOIST AND UNSTABLE. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS EVEN IN SMALL QUANTITIES MAY BE SIGNIFICANT SINCE SOILS ARE
VERY SATURATED ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTH HALF. RIVERS AND STREAMS
LEVELS ARE VERY HIGH AND THESE WILL FLOOD WITH LESSER AMOUNTS OF
RAIN OVER THEIR BASINS. LANDSLIDES ARE LIKELY OVER STEEP TERRAIN.

MARINE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ROUGH AND CHOPPY ALONG OFF SHORE
ATLANTIC WATERS. ELSEWHERE SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION
ELSEWHERE EXCEPT THE WEST WATERS.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

ALTHOUGH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY PRECIPITATION AND CHANCES FOR FLASH
FLOODING WILL REMAIN HIGH THROUGH THE WEEK SATURDAY COULD BE THE
MOST SIGNIFICANT DAY AND THE PRECIPITATION MAY BE EXTREME MAINLY
OVER VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND THE EAST HALF OF PUERTO RICO. WEATHER
THIS DAY WILL BE SEVERE. LANDSLIDES ARE LIKELY OVER STEEP TERRAIN.

A MODERATE TO FRESH WIND FLOW AND CHOPPY SEAS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
THE LOCAL WATERS THROUGH NEXT WEEK.

VIZ001-002-AMZ710>730-141000-
610 AM AST THU MAY 13 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

.TODAY...CONTINUOUS MODERATE TO HEAVY PASSING SHOWERS WILL LEAD TO
URBAN FLOODING AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN HIGH BUT FROM EARLY SATURDAY
TO EVENING THE PRECIPITATION MAY BE VERY HEAVY PRODUCING HIGHER
CHANCES FOR FLASH FLOODING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB
SITE FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AT (ALL LOWERCASE
LETTERS): HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU.

RIVERA

Event by event

1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Northeast

When
May 13, 7:25 AM AST to 11:25 AM AST
Where
Northeast County, Humacao
Reported by
EMERGENCY MANAGER

Small stream Mariana was reported out of its banks along road 909.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Puerto Rico in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Puerto Rico, May 2004

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5398393.