Puerto Rico, 2004

Flood in Puerto Rico, May 10, 2004

May 10, 2004 · NWS SJU · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Juan, PR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 10, 4:50 AM AST, 8 hours 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 10, 4:50 AM AST, 8 hours 50 minutes before
PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
450 AM AST MON MAY 10 2004

.DISCUSSION...
REMNANTS OF A BOUNDARY PERSIST ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIB WATERS ENE
ACROSS THE NORTHERN LEEWARDS AND THEN INTO THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC THIS
MORNING WITH INCREASED CONVERGENCE ALONG THIS FEATURE CURRENTLY
PRODUCING NUMEROUS SHOWERS ACROSS THE WATERS OF THE NORTHEAST
CARIBBEAN...AND SHOULD AFFECT THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND POSSIBLY
SOUTHEAST PUERTO RICO THROUGHOUT THE MORNING. SHOWERS ACROSS P.R.
THUS FAR OVERNIGHT HAVE OCCURRED ALONG THE NORTHERN SLOPES AND
DOWNWIND OF EL YUNQUE AND DO NOT SEE MUCH CHANGE TO THIS PATTERN
THROUGHOUT THE DAY...EXCEPT FOR A FEW GOOD CELLS LIKELY TO DEVELOP
ACROSS W AND SW PART OF THE ISLAND. MODELS INDICATING DECREASING
TREND IN MOISTURE NEXT 48 HOURS...BUT VERY SLOWLY THROUGH 00Z
TONIGHT SO IMPROVING TREND NOT EXPECTED UNTIL TONIGHT. JET DYNAMICS
WILL RETURN TO THE REGION THU AND FRI FOR CHANCE OF DEEP TSTORMS.
&&

.MARINE...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE W ATLC TO THE WEST OF CENTRAL ATLC
LOW AND LOCAL FRONTAL TROUGH WILL SHIFT EASTWARD INTO CENTRAL
ATLANTIC NEXT 48 HOURS TO MAINTAIN SUFFICIENT PRESSURE GRADIENT AND
FRESH TRADE WIND FLOW...AND LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS OFF SHORE ATLC. SCA
NOW IN EFFECT OFF SHORE ATLC AND PROBABLY SHOULD HAVE REMAINED IN
EFFECT OVERNIGHT. OBSERVATIONS WOULD COME IN HANDY HERE. FOR A
CHANGE GFS SURFACE WINDS MAY BE SLIGHTLY UNDERFORECAST.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
LOCAL SOILS ALONG NE AND N COASTAL MUNICIPIOS REMAIN SATURATED WITH
MOST RIVER LEVELS HIGH OR NEAR BANKFULL. FOR THIS REASON WE HAVE
ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR NE...SAN JUAN...AND N CENTRAL ZONES
DUE TO POTENTIAL QUICK RESPONSE OF RIVER AND STREAM SYSTEMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  82  73  84  73 /  50  40  20  40
STT  84  73  83  73 /  70  40  40  40

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...SCA AMZ710. FFA PRZ001-002-005.
VI...SCA AMZ710.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 10, 6:10 AM AST, 7 hours 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
610 AM AST MON MAY 10 2004

PRZ001>013-AMZ710>750-111000-
610 AM AST MON MAY 10 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PUERTO RICO.

.TODAY...MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF A COLD FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...WILL COMBINE WITH STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOCAL
EFFECTS TO PRODUCE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS WILL INITIALLY AFFECT THE NORTHERN SLOPES
FROM THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE NORTH CENTRAL...AND THEN WILL BECOME
MORE GENERALIZED THIS AFTERNOON. LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE
ALONG THE NORTHEAST THIS MORNING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH
FLOODING AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING. HEAVIER RAINS THIS AFTERNOON
WILL SHIFT TO THE INTERIOR AND WEST PART OF PUERTO RICO. RIVERS
ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL WILL EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT RISES THROUGH
THIS EVENING.

MARINE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN UNSETTLED DUE TO STRONG AND GUSTY
NORTHEAST WINDS.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

TYPICAL WET CONDITIONS FOR THE MONTH OF MAY SHOULD BE EXPECTED WITH
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE EVEN MORE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS
UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

A MODERATE TO FRESH WIND FLOW AND CHOPPY SEAS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
THE LOCAL WATERS UNTIL WEDNESDAY.

VIZ001-002-AMZ710>730-111000-
610 AM AST MON MAY 10 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

.TODAY...SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE TERRITORY. LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE EXPECTED. ASSOCIATED
RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN SOME URBAN AND GUT FLOODING. STRONG AND
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL MAINTAIN UNSETTLED MARINE CONDITIONS.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS DURING
THE REST OF TIS WEEK. SHOWERS SHOULD BECOME MORE NUMEROUS ON
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM
THE NORTHWEST.

A MODERATE TO FRESH WIND FLOW AND CHOPPY SEAS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
THE LOCAL WATERS UNTIL WEDNESDAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB
SITE FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AT (ALL LOWERCASE
LETTERS): HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU.

RM

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, North Central

When
May 10, 1:40 PM AST
Where
North Central forecast zone
Reported by
EMERGENCY MANAGER

River Rio Grande de Manati was reported flooding the Cachete sector in the municipality of Manati.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Puerto Rico in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Puerto Rico, May 2004

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5398789.