Puerto Rico, 2004

Damaging Wind in Puerto Rico, July 20, 2004

July 20, 2004 · NWS SJU · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 thunderstorm wind, as filed by the National Weather Service.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Juan, PR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 20, 3:36 PM AST, 1 hour 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 20, 3:36 PM AST, 1 hour 9 minutes before
PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
336 PM AST TUE JUL 20 2004

.SYNOPSIS...A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING TOWARD THE AREA AND WILL
SPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM OVER THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA. A THE
AXIS OF A HIGH PRESSURE AT 250 MB IS SLIGHTLY NORTHWEST OF THE AREA
AND IS CONTRIBUTING TO DIVERGENCE ALOFT. AT MID LEVELS HIGH PRESS IS
NORTH OF THE AREA ACROSS FROM VIRGINIA. SEVERAL OTHER WAVES WILL
ALSO MOVE THROUGH DURING THE UPCOMING 7 DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE TROPICAL WAVE HAS BEEN PULSING WITH CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY FOR AT LEAST 12 HOURS. ONE PULSE SPREAD NORTH OVER THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS AND HAD GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 KNOTS. THIS
PULSE DIED. A SECOND PULSE DEVELOPED SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA AND
THUNDERSTORMS SPREAD OUT TO THE NORTHWEST WITH UNOFFICIAL GUSTS IN
SAINT CROIX OF AT LEAST 57 KNOTS AND OFFICIALLY GUSTS OF 41 KNOTS AT
THE AIRPORT IN CHRISTIANSTED. THIS SAME PULSE SHOULD REACH THE
SHORES OF MAINLAND PUERTO RICO AROUND 4 OR 5 PM. OVER THE INTERIOR
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN LIMITED TO THE WESTERN SECTION. ALTHOUGH
INSTABILITY HAS BEEN HIGH...WINDS ARE ALSO STRONG 20 TO 30 KNOTS AND
LOCAL EFFECTS ARE PARTIALLY OVERCOME. THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DIE
OVER THE WEST AS THE SUN SETS. THE THUNDERSTORMS ON THE WAY FROM THE
SOUTHEAST MAY NOT MAKE IT ENTIRELY ACROSS PUERTO RICO.

LOOKING AHEAD...MOISTURE TAPERS OFF ONLY GRADUALLY DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. A WET PERIOD IS BEING FORECAST BY THE GFS FOR SUNDAY
AND A SECOND WAVE IS LOOKING TO MOVE IN ON MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...SPECIAL MARINE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR CARIBBEAN
WATERS FOR THE GUSTY WINDS...OTHERWISE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL
LIKELY APPLY TO ALL BUT THE WESTERN MARINE ZONE. SEAS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE ANY HIGHER IN THE NEXT 7 DAYS THAN THEY ARE DURING
THIS 24 HOURS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  78  88  77  88 /  90  60  50  50
STT  77  89  76  90 /  90  60  50  40

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...SCA...AMZ710>740.
VI...SCA...AMZ720-730.

&&

SNELL
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 20, 6:00 AM AST, 10 hours 45 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
600 AM AST TUE JUL 20 2004

PRZ001>013-AMZ710>750-211000-
600 AM AST TUE JUL 20 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PUERTO RICO.

.TODAY AND TONIGHT...
A SURGE OF MOISTURE PASSING THROUGH PUERTO RICO EARLY THIS MORNING
WILL SPARK SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN WATERS.  WHILE THE MAJORITY OF THESE
SHOULD STAY OFFSHORE...A NUMBER WILL MOVE INLAND...PRIMARILY
AFFECTING NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE ISLAND.

DIRECTLY BEHIND THE SURGE...THE LEADING EDGE OF A VIGOROUS TROPICAL
WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS BY MID MORNING AND
ACROSS PUERTO RICO BY NOON...SETTING OFF A ROUND OF SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.  AS THE TROPICAL WAVE
REACHES THE LOCAL AREA LATER THIS EVENING...AMPLE MOISTURE
AND INSTABILITY ALONG WITH DAYTIME HEATING WILL SET THE STAGE FOR
ADDITIONAL...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MANY OF
THESE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS
...WHICH COULD RESULT IN URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING AND
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE OVER THE NEAR AND
OFFSHORE WATERS THIS MORNING...BECOMING SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER
BY TONIGHT. IN ANTICIPATION OF THE INCREASING WIND...AS WELL AS  THE
ROUGH AND CONFUSED SEAS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED
FOR THE OFFSHORE CARIBBEAN WATERS AND MAY BE REQUIRED ALL AREAS
LATER TODAY. OF SPECIAL NOTE...SQUALLY WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH THE
TROPICAL WAVES PASSAGE MAY CAUSE WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH LATER
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THE STRONG TROPICAL WAVE WILL BE MOVING PAST THE LOCAL AREA
BY EARLY WEDNESDAY...BUT AMPLE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL CAUSE
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS. THE RISK FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON.  IMPROVING WEATHER IS SLATED FOR
THURSDAY THROUGH AT LEAST THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND.

STRONG...GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE AN ISSUE INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING LATER IN THE DAY.

VIZ001-002-AMZ710>730-211000-
600 AM AST TUE JUL 20 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

.TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THE LEADING EDGE OF A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS BY MID MORNING...SETTING OFF A ROUND OF
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. AS THE
TROPICAL WAVE REACHES THE LOCAL AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON...AMPLE
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ALONG WITH DAYTIME HEATING WILL SET THE
STAGE FOR ADDITIONAL...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MANY OF THESE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR PRODUCING HEAVY
RAINS...WHICH COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED URBAN FLOODING.

IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE OVER THE NEAR AND
OFFSHORE WATERS THIS MORNING...BECOMING SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER BY
THIS AFTERNOON. IN ANTICIPATION OF THE INCREASING WIND...AS WELL AS
THE ROUGH AND CONFUSED SEAS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN
ISSUED FOR THE CARIBBEAN OFFSHORE WATERS AND MAY BE REQUIRED ALL
AREAS LATER TODAY. OF SPECIAL NOTE...SQUALLY WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH
THE TROPICAL WAVES PASSAGE MAY CAUSE WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH
THIS MORNING THROUGH TONIGHT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THE STRONG TROPICAL WAVE WILL HAVE MOVED PAST THE LOCAL AREA BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY...BUT LINGERING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL CAUSE
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
LOCAL ISLANDS DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS
AGAIN POSSIBLE...WHICH COULD RESULT IN URBAN AND STREET FLOODING.
IMPROVING WEATHER IS SLATED FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST THE
EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND.

STRONG...GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE AN ISSUE INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING LATER IN THE DAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB
SITE FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AT (ALL LOWERCASE
LETTERS): HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU.

KIMBERLAIN

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 20, 3:12 PM AST, 1 hour 33 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
312 PM AST TUE JUL 20 2004

VIZ001-202030-
ST. THOMAS...ST. JOHN... AND ADJACENT ISLANDS-
308 PM AST TUE JUL 20 2004

THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LINE THAT HAS BEGUN IN THE TROPICAL
WAVE APPROACHING THE AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN VIRGIN
ISLANDS BETWEEN 3:15 AND 3:30 PM.

THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS PRODUCED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 KNOTS
BUT SHOULD ONLY APPROACH SEVERE LEVELS BY THE TIME THAT IT REACHES
SAINT THOMAS AND SAINT JOHN.

EXPECT HEAVY RAINFALL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND VERY GUSTY WINDS
UNTIL ABOUT 4:30 PM.

SNELL
Special weather statement, Jul 20, 3:12 PM AST, 1 hour 33 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTION TO ADD VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
312 PM AST TUE JUL 20 2004

PRZ012-013-VIZ001-202030-
ST. THOMAS...ST. JOHN... AND ADJACENT ISLANDS-
308 PM AST TUE JUL 20 2004

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ENTERING THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...

THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LINE THAT HAS BEGUN IN THE TROPICAL
WAVE APPROACHING THE AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN VIRGIN
ISLANDS...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA BETWEEN 3:15 AND 3:30 PM.

THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS PRODUCED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 KNOTS
BUT SHOULD ONLY APPROACH SEVERE LEVELS BY THE TIME THAT IT REACHES
SAINT THOMAS AND SAINT JOHN...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.

EXPECT HEAVY RAINFALL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND VERY GUSTY WINDS
UNTIL ABOUT 4:30 PM.

SNELL
Special weather statement, Jul 20, 3:36 PM AST, 1 hour 9 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
336 PM AST TUE JUL 20 2004

PRZ002>004-202045-
NORTHEAST-
SOUTHEAST-
EASTERN INTERIOR-
342 PM AST TUE JUL 20 2004

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING DIRECTLY TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST COAST
OF PUERTO RICO AND WILL MOVE ONSHORE BEFORE 3:50 PM. THESE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS AS STRONG AS 45 KNOTS...VERY
HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. PERSONS IN THE AREA SHOULD MOVE
TO BUILDINGS THAT WILL PROTECT THEM FROM LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN.
THOSE DRIVING SHOULD BE ALLOW FOR VERY POOR DRIVING CONDITIONS
INCLUDING LOW VISIBILITIES AND PONDING OF WATER IN THE ROADWAYS.

SNELL
Special weather statement, Jul 20, 4:06 PM AST, 39 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
406 PM AST TUE JUL 20 2004

PRZ001>004-006-007-202115-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-
NORTHEAST-
PONCE AND VICINITY-
SOUTHEAST-
CENTRAL INTERIOR-
EASTERN INTERIOR-
406 PM AST TUE JUL 20 2004

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS GENERATED AHEAD OF THE TROPICAL WAVE MOVING
TOWARD THE AREA IS SPREADING HEAVY RAIN...WINDS WITH GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 45 KNOTS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING ACROSS THE AREA. THIS LINE IS
MOVING BETWEEN 25 AND 30 KNOTS TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND WILL BE
MOVING INTO THE SAN JUAN METRO AREA BEFORE 5 PM AST.

PERSONS IN THE AREA SHOULD SEEK SHELTER FROM THE LIGHTNING...WINDS
AND HEAVY RAIN IN A SUITABLE BUILDING. PRACTICE LIGHTNING SAFETY.

SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE IN THE AREA OVERNIGHT...SOME OF THE RAIN WILL
BE HEAVY.

SNELL

Event by event

1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, San Juan and Vicinity

When
July 20, 4:45 PM AST
Where
San Juan and Vicinity County, Bayamon
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
TRAINED SPOTTER

Broken tree branches were reported at Sierra Bayamon as a line of thunderstorms ahead of a tropical wave produced strong gusty winds.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Puerto Rico in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Puerto Rico, July 2004

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5413771.