Puerto Rico, 2004Flash Flood in Puerto Rico, December 16, 2004
December 16, 2004 · NWS SJU · 1 event in 1 county or zone
1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Juan, PR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 16, 4:50 PM AST, 3 hours 35 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 16, 4:50 PM AST, 3 hours 35 minutes before
PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
450 PM AST THU DEC 16 2004
.DISCUSSION...
LOW LEVEL VORT CENTER AND ASSOCIATED TROUGHING LINGERING ACROSS
EASTERN HISPANIOLA PAST 24-36 HOURS HAS BEGUN TO MERGE WITH ATLANTIC
COLD FRONT TODAY...WITH FRONT LIKELY NOT TO MAKE ANY MORE SOUTHEAST
PROGRESS. LLVL VORT PRODUCED AN E TO ESE FLOW ACROSS P.R. THIS
MORNING THAT NEGATED THE TYPICAL SEABREEZE ACROSS THE WEST HALF OF
THE ISLAND THAT ONE WOULD EXPECT UNDER CLEAR MORNING SKIES AND MILD
WIND FLOW. THIS HELPED TO RETARD DIURNAL CONVECTION UNTIL AFTER 2
PM...BUT HAS SINCE BEEN GOING STRONG ACROSS P.R. WITH SIGNIFICANT
RAIN TOTALS IN ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTIVE CELLS. ADDITIONAL LLVL
CONVERGENCE IS OCCURRING ACROSS THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND ADJACENT
WATERS AND WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS A LLVL TROUGH JUST WEST OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES MOVES WSW ACROSS THE AREA...BRINGING WITH IT
SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
AFTERNOON CONVECTION ACROSS P.R. WILL LINGER PAST SUNSET DUE TO ITS
LATE ONSET...AND THEN BE REPLACED OVERNIGHT BY WEATHER ASSOCIATED
WITH APPROACHING LLVL TROUGH ADVECTING IN FROM THE EAST.
A GRADUAL DECREASING TREND IN LOW TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND WEATHER
IS THEN EXPECTED FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
LARGE NW SWELLS GENERATED BEHIND THE ATLANTIC COLD FRONT ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO INVADE THE REGIONAL WATERS OVERNIGHT...AND
SHOULD BUILD QUICKLY DURING THE MORNING HOURS TO 6 TO 7 FEET. THIS
WILL NECESSITATE SCA AND HIGH SURF ADVISORIES FOR FRIDAY MORNING.
THIS SWELL EVENT WILL LINGER THROUGH THE WEEKEND...BUT LIKELY FALL
BELOW THESE ADVISORY CRITERIA SATURDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 74 84 74 84 / 50 50 50 40
STT 75 85 75 85 / 50 30 40 40
&&
.SJU WATCHES/ADVISORIES...
PR...NONE.
VI...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 16, 6:00 AM AST, 14 hours 25 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
600 AM AST THU DEC 16 2004
PRZ001>013-AMZ710>750-171100--
600 AM AST THU DEC 16 2004
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PUERTO RICO.
.TODAY AND TONIGHT...
SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS
TODAY. RAINFALL WILL BE MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES AND RESULT IN
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND QUICK RISES IN SMALL STREAMS IN A
FEW LOCATIONS...HOWEVER NO FLOODING OR OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS
EXPECTED.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
A BROAD...BUT WEAK...LOW LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN AND INFLUENCE THE WEATHER ACROSS THE LOCAL REGION
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING OCCASIONAL PATCHES
OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND SHOWER ACTIVITY TO LOCAL ISLANDS FROM TIME
TO TIME. BRIEF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL DURING THAT TIME MAY CAUSE
SOME MINOR PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS IN A FEW LOCATIONS. NO
FLOODING OR OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THEREAFTER.
VIZ001-002-AMZ710>730-171100--
600 AM AST THU DEC 16 2004
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
.TODAY AND TONIGHT...
SOME ISOLATED PASSING SHOWERS WILL AFFECT THE LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY.
MODERATE TO HEAVY DOWNPOURS MAY OCCUR FROM TIME TO TIME BUT WILL BE
OF SHORT DURATION. THIS MAY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND IN
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. HOWEVER NO FLOODING OR OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER
IS EXPECTED.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
A BROAD...BUT WEAK...LOW LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN AND AFFECT THE LOCAL REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING OCCASIONAL PATCHES OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
AND SHOWER ACTIVITY TO LOCAL ISLANDS FROM TIME TO TIME. BRIEF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL DURING THAT TIME MAY CAUSE SOME MINOR
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND IN POOR DRAINAGE AREA. NO FLOODING
OR OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THEREAFTER.
Flash Flood, North Central
- When
- December 16, 8:25 PM AST to 10:25 PM AST
- Where
- North Central County, Arecibo
- Reported by
- EMERGENCY MANAGER
Flooded homes were reported in the municipality of Arecibo at Barrio Garrochales and sector La Mucura. Highway 2 near km.2.1 and road 51 were also reported flooded.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- High Surf in Hawaii, December 16 to 18, 20041 death · 11 events
- High Wind in Alaska, December 16, 2004$332,000 · 67 kt wind · 8 events
- High Wind in California, December 16, 2004$150,000 · 60 kt wind · 1 event
- High Wind in California, December 16, 2004$20,000 · 68 kt wind · 1 event
- Wildfire in California, December 16, 20041 injured · 1 event
- Dense Fog in California, December 16 to 26, 20044 events
- Flash Flooding and Debris Flow in Puerto Rico, December 16, 2004$10,000 · 3 events
- High Wind in California, December 16, 2004$5,000 · 57 kt wind · 1 event
- High Wind in Montana, December 16, 200453 kt wind · 1 event
- Dense Fog in California, December 16, 20041 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5431375.