North Carolina, 2004

Flash Flood and Damaging Wind in North Carolina, July 11, 2004

July 11, 2004 · NWS RAH · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

1 thunderstorm wind, 1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 11, 1:30 PM EST, 2 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 11, 1:30 PM EST, 2 hours 45 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
230 PM EDT SUN JUL 11 2004

.SHORT TERM...
HOT AND HUMID PATTERN WILL CONTINUE AT LEAST THROUGH TUESDAY.
CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT WILL BE PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SOME LOW
STRATUS DEVELOPING. ANY FOG THAT DEVELOPS SHOULD NOT BE VERY DENSE
WITH 2-3 MILE VISIBILITIES AT WORST.

MONDAY...HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS IN THE AFTERNOON WILL HELP TO
SUPPORT AFTN THUNDERSTORMS. LOW LEVEL BOUNDARIES WILL REMAIN ACROSS
THE AREA LEFT OVER FROM THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING CONVECTION. MODELS IN
AGREEMENT DEPICTING MORE UPPER DYNAMICS FOR STRONG TO EVEN ISOLATED
SEVERE STORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE ALONG
WITH A 500 MB SHORTWAVE WILL HELP TO ENHANCE LIFT AND SUPPORT STRONG
UPDRAFTS. A WEAK COLD FROM WILL ALSO BEGIN TO PUSH INTO THE AREA
LATER IN THE EVENING HELPING TO PROVIDE EVEN MORE LOW LEVEL FOCUS.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER INTO MONDAY NIGHT ESPECIALLY
IN THE EAST AS THE FRONT MAKES ITS WAY ACROSS THE AREA.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THERE WILL BE A LESSER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO TUESDAY AND ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY AS SLIGHTLY
DRIER AIR MOVES IN THE THE DEEPER NW FLOW. WILL KEEP 20 TO 30
PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY BUT ACTIVITY
WILL BE WIDELY SCATTERED TO EVEN ISOLATED BY WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES
TUESDAY WILL BE CONTINUED HOT IN THE 90S AND THEN SLIGHTLY COOLER ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
EXTENDED MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT CONCERNING THE CLOSED UPPER
LOW OVER THE THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES/NEW ENGLAND THROUGH THE PERIOD.
FROPA AND SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSAGE ON WEDNESDAY SHOULD PUSH THE DEEP
MOISTURE TO OUR EAST...LEAVING A DEEP DRY WEST-NORTHWEST FLOW. TEMPS
SHOULD ALSO BE COOLER WITH THE DEEP TROUGH OVER THE EAST
COAST...HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 80S AND LOWS IN THE MID/UPPER 60S.

&&

.AVIATION...
TSTM COVERAGE SHOULD BE ENOUGH THIS AFTERNOON TO WARRANT A TEMPO FOR
TSRA FROM 20Z THROUGH 00Z...FOLLOWED BY VCTS UNTIL 03Z. PERSISTENCE
FORECAST WILL PROBABLY VERIFY BEST FOR VISIBILITY...AND WILL HAVE 3
MI EVERYHWERE AFTER 06Z. WILL HAVE LOW CEILINGS AROUND 600FT AT
RDU...RWI AND FAY AFTER 09Z WITH THE MESOETA SHOWING ISENTROPIC LIFT
THERE AND VERY MOIST LOW LEVELS WITH A SOUTHERLY FLOW FROM THE
OCEAN.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JO
LONG TERM/AVIATION...DGS
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 11, 9:00 AM EST, 7 hours 15 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1000 AM EDT SUN JUL 11 2004

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-121000-
ALAMANCE NC-ANSON NC-CHATHAM NC-CUMBERLAND NC-DAVIDSON NC-DURHAM NC-
EDGECOMBE NC-FORSYTH NC-FRANKLIN NC-GRANVILLE NC-GUILFORD NC-
HALIFAX NC-HARNETT NC-HOKE NC-JOHNSTON NC-LEE NC-MONTGOMERY NC-
MOORE NC-NASH NC-ORANGE NC-PERSON NC-RANDOLPH NC-RICHMOND NC-
SAMPSON NC-SCOTLAND NC-STANLY NC-VANCE NC-WAKE NC-WARREN NC-WAYNE NC-
WILSON NC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBEMARLE...ASHEBORO...BURLINGTON...
CARTHAGE...CARY...CHAPEL HILL...CLINTON...CREEDMOOR...
DOWNTOWN RALEIGH...DURHAM...FAYETTEVILLE...FORT BRAGG...GOLDSBORO...
GRAHAM...GREENSBORO...HALIFAX...HENDERSON...HIGH POINT...
HILLSBOROUGH...LAURINBURG...LEXINGTON...LILLINGTON...LOUISBURG...
MOUNT OLIVE...NASHVILLE...OXFORD...PITTSBORO...RAEFORD...RALEIGH...
RANDLEMAN...ROANOKE RAPIDS...ROCKINGHAM...ROCKY MOUNT...ROXBORO...
SANFORD...SILER CITY...SMITHFIELD...SOUTHERN PINES...TARBORO...
TROY...WADESBORO...WARRENTON...WEST RALEIGH AND WINSTON-SALEM
1000 AM EDT SUN JUL 11 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM WILL DEVELOP AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. HOT AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES COMBINED
WITH LOCAL LEVEL BOUNDARIES AND A WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL
SUPPORT STRONG TO EVEN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
THE BEST CHANCE FRO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LOOKS TO BE ALONG AND EAST
OF US 1 ACROSS THE EASTERN PIEDMONT...SANDHILLS AND COASTAL PLAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

JO

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 148 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:15 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 thunderstorm wind, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Montgomery

When
July 11, 4:15 PM EST
Where
Montgomery County, 2 mi S of Mt Gilead
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
LAW ENFORCEMENT
Coordinates
35.180, -80.017

Trees were blown down.

Flash Flood, Warren

When
July 11, 9:45 PM EST to 11:00 PM EST
Where
Warren County, Norlina
Reported by
LAW ENFORCEMENT
Coordinates
36.397, -78.107 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Urban and highway flooding was reported.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in North Carolina in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, July 2004

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-30. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5414989, 5414990.