1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 10, 4:17 PM EST, 3 hours 32 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 417 PM EST FRI DEC 10 2004 .SYNOPSIS... AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL ORGANIZE OVERNIGHT NEAR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEAST SATURDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON FROM CENTRAL NEW YORK INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. PLENTY OF WARM AIR WILL REMAIN EAST OF THE STORM TO KEEP THE PRECIPITATION RAINFALL...EXCEPT OVER THE ADIRONDACKS WHERE ENOUGH COLD AIR WILL FUNNEL IN FROM ALOFT AND THE NORTHWEST TO TRANSITION THE RAIN TO SNOW OVERNIGHT. THE STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. ANOTHER FAST MOVING LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH THE UPPER MIDWEST AND NORTHERN GREAT LAKES ON SUNDAY...WHICH WILL BRING LIGHT SNOW TO THE NORTHEAST SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. WATER VAPOR/SATELLITE LOOP OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS SHOWS A LONG WAVE TROUGH BEING CARVED OUT OVER THE CNTRL MS RIVER VALLEY/MIDWEST WITH ACTIVE CONVECTIVE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE TROUGH OVER THE TN RIVER VALLEY. A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES CONTINUE TO MEANDER NORTHEAST IN THE BROAD S/SW FLOW OVER THE ERN SEABOARD. A SECOND BATCH OF CONVECTION CONTINUES ALONG THE EAST COAST/WRN ATLANTIC BAROCLINIC ZONE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A POTENT H250 JET OF 100-120 KNOTS. && .SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)... TONIGHT...A SECOND SURGE OF MOISTURE IS CURRENTLY MOVING OVER THE FCST AREA BASED ON THE LATEST KENX RADAR IN ASSOCIATION WITH H500 JET STREAK OF GREATER THAN 100 KNOTS NEAR SRN NY/NJ/SRN NEW ENGLAND. THESE LOCATIONS ARE LOCATED ON THE LEFT FRONT QUAD. BEST UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS OVER WRN/NRN NY/SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER IN ASSOCIATION WITH H700 DEFORMATION ZONE. NONETHELESS...GOOD UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION PROGGED WITH DYNAMIC COOLING WITH PCPN CHANGING FROM RA->SN/RA->SN/IP->ALL SNOW BY AROUND MIDNIGHT FOR THE SRN ADIRONDACKS (NRN HERKIMER/HAMILTON/NRN WARREN COUNTIES). MODEL SOUNDINGS FROM ETA/GFS ALL SUPPORT PTYPE TRANSITION...AS WELL AS 1000-500 HPA/1000-850 HPA/850-700 PARTIAL THICKNESS VALUES FROM GFS/ETA. THE ERN HALF OF THE CWA WILL CONTINUE WITH DANK CONDITIONS AND RAINFALL. HEAVIEST QPFS NORTHWESTERN PORTION OF THE CWA. SNOW TOTALS OF 3-6 PRIOR TO 12Z SAT. SATURDAY...GFS/ETA/GLOBAL GEM IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT SFC LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH CNTRL NY WEST OF CAPITAL REGION ALLOWING A WEDGE OF WARM AIR TO SLICE THROUGH 3/4S OF THE FCST AREA (TEMPS UP TO 50F POSSIBLE IN THE MID HUDSON RIVER VALLEY). SNOW TO CONTINUE OVER THE SRN ADIRONDACKS...EVENTUALLY IN THE PM ENOUGH COLD AIR WILL FILTER DOWN OVER THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION/SRN VT TURNING THE RAIN TO SNOW. STORM TOTALS OF 4-8 FOR THE SRN ADIRONDACKS. SAT NIGHT...LOW PULLS AWAY NORTHEAST INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND COLD AIR FILTERS IN TURNING THE LEFT OVER MOISTURE INTO SNOW SHOWERS EVERYWHERE...EXCEPT IN THE MID HUDSON VALLEY WHERE A FEW SPRINKLES WILL BE LEFT OVER. COLD AIR ADVECTION CONTINUES. H850 TEMPS FALL TO -5C TO -8C BY ABOUT 06Z VIA THE GFS. CHANCE/SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES WILL LINGER OVER THE WRN PORTION OF THE CWA. SUNDAY...THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE BETWEEN SYSTEMS. A CLIPPER-LIKE SYSTEM MOVING IN FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST/NRN GREAT LAKES AND THE SATURDAY STORM DEPARTING INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. SOME ISSUES ON ONSET OF PCPN ON SUN WITH GEM/ETA/GFS. I BROUGHT A LOW CHANCE OF SNOW IN FOR THE WRN PORTION OF THE CWA LATE IN THE DAY. THANKS FOR THE COLLAB WITH BTV/BGM/BUF/OKX/BOX. && .LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)... SUNDAY NIGHT TO TUESDAY NIGHT...06Z AND 12Z GFS RUNS...00Z AND 12Z CANADIAN GEM MODEL RUNS/12Z ETA...HPC GRAPHICS AND ENSEMBLE DATA EXAMINED FOR THIS PART OF THE FORECAST. SUNDAY NIGHT...MODEL GUIDANCE PROGS A CLIPPER LIKE SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE NRN GREAT LAKES AND INTO EXTREME UPSTATE NY AND NRN NEW ENGLAND. THE SYSTEM MAY BE MORE OF A HYBRID TYPE WITH SOME WEAK THERMAL ADVECTION ON THE ERN FRINGE AND PLENTY OF H500 VORTICITY ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE H500 CLOSED CIRCULATION AND ITS NEGATIVELY TITLED TROUGH TO PRODUCE DEEP ASCENT AND A ROUND OF LIGHT SNOW SUN NIGHT-MON. LIKELY POPS WERE PUT IN THE WRN PORTION OF THE CWA SUN NIGHT AND TRENDING TO HIGH CHANCE IN THE ERN PORTION BY MON MORNING. RIGHT NOW...ITS APPEARS A DUSTING TO 2 INCHES/ 1-3 INCH GENERAL SNOWFALL MAY BE POSSIBLE. COLD AND BLUSTERY CONDITIONS WILL KICK MONDAY PM. MON NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...LAKE ENHANCED SNOWFALL DOWNWIND OF LAKE ONTARIO BEGINS WITH W/NW FLOW...STEEP LAPSE RATES..CYCLONIC FLOW AND PLENTY OF INSTABILITY HINTED. H850 COLD AIR ADVECTION PERSISTS 00Z TUE TO 18Z TUE. BY 18Z TUE H850 TEMPS ARE FCSTED TO BE -15C TO -18C FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS THE FCST AREA FROM 12Z GFS. THE ENSEMBLE MEAN TEMPS WERE A TAD COLDER THAN THE GFS OPERATIONAL. I POPULATED ENSEMBLE MEAN SFC TEMPS FOR SUN NIGHT TO TUE NIGHT...WITH SOME SLIGHTLY COLDER DEVIATIONS OVER THE VALLEYS/HIGHER TERRAIN. WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. WHILE LINGERING LAKE EFFECT COULD LAST INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY HAVE KEPT IT DRY...AS FLOW IS NW AND NOT WNW AND SURFACE HIGH IS BUILDING IN. CHANCE POPS ON FRIDAY AS WEAK SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. AT THIS POINT COASTAL REDEVELOPMENT TOO LATE TO HAVE MUCH IMPACT. 12Z GFS STRONGER WITH UPPER TROUGH. TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. HAVE ATTEMPTED TAKE MEX AS STARTING POINT AND BEST BLEND WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES. && .AVIATION... WIDESPREAD IFR CONDITIONS DEVELOPING ACROSS CWA DURING REMAINDER OF AFTERNOON WITH IFR CONDITIONS INTO SATURDAY MORNING. CONDITIONS GRADUALLY IMPROVING AS SATURDAY PROGRESSES. MAINLY RAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME MORE MIXED WITH TIME...ESPECIALLY WEST AND NORTH OF KALB. && .HYDROLOGY... DELTA AND HINCKLEY SPILLING SO UPCOMING PRECIP SOME CONCERN. QPF 1.00+ IN NORTHWEST QUARTER CWA...ALTHOUGH SOME WILL BE OF WINTERY VARIETY SO THAT WILL REDUCE RUNOFF. LITTLE FALLS FORECAST TO RISE TO 11.8 (FS 15 FT). UTICA MAY BE ONE GAGE TO WATCH. && .ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NY...032-033-042 WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY 9 PM FRI TO 5 PM SAT CT...NONE. MA...NONE. VT...NONE. && SHORT TERM/DAYS 3-4/SYNOPSIS...WASULA AVIATION/DAYS 5-7/HYDRO...
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 355 PM EST FRI DEC 10 2004 NYZ032-033-042-111200- HAMILTON NY-NORTHERN HERKIMER NY-NORTHERN WARREN NY- 355 PM EST FRI DEC 10 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN HERKIMER...HAMILTON AND WARREN COUNTIES. .DAY ONE...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN HERKIMER...HAMILTON AND WARREN COUNTIES THROUGH 5PM ON SATURDAY. RAIN WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. TOTAL SNOWFALL WILL AVERAGE 4 TO 8 INCHES. THERE MAY BE LESS SNOW SOUTH OF ROUTE 8...WITH LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED BUT REPORTS OF ANY HEAVY RAIN OR SNOW WILL BE APPRECIATED. CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-058>061-063>066-082>084- VTZ013>015-111200- BENNINGTON VT-EASTERN ALBANY NY-EASTERN COLUMBIA NY- EASTERN DUTCHESS NY-EASTERN GREENE NY-EASTERN RENSSELAER NY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY NY-EASTERN ULSTER NY-EASTERN WINDHAM VT- MONTGOMERY NY-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE MA-NORTHERN FULTON NY- NORTHERN LITCHFIELD CT-NORTHERN SARATOGA NY-NORTHERN WASHINGTON NY- SCHOHARIE NY-SOUTHEAST WARREN NY-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE MA- SOUTHERN FULTON NY-SOUTHERN HERKIMER NY-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD CT- SOUTHERN SARATOGA NY-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON NY-WESTERN ALBANY NY- WESTERN COLUMBIA NY-WESTERN DUTCHESS NY-WESTERN GREENE NY- WESTERN RENSSELAER NY-WESTERN SCHENECTADY NY-WESTERN ULSTER NY- WESTERN WINDHAM VT- 355 PM EST FRI DEC 10 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NEW YORK AND ADJACENT WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED BUT REPORTS OF ANY HEAVY RAIN OR SNOW WILL BE APPRECIATED.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Canajoharie Creek exceeded its flood stage of 6.0', cresting at 7.34' at 23:45 EST on 12/10/04 at the gage just above the town of Canajoharie.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New York in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in New York, December 2004
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5427925.