Hail in Nebraska, April 18, 2004

SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA/NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
245 PM CDT SUN APR 18 2004

.DISCUSSION...SEVERAL SYSTEMS MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS
THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK. INITIALLY THERE IS THE WIND AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SOME THUNDERSTORMS FOR THIS EVENING. ANALYSIS AT 19Z HAS
THE DRY LINE FROM NEAR KOFK TO NEAR KHLC AND THE COLD FRONT DRAPED
ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA. UNTIL THESE MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THERE IS
A POTENTIAL FOR SOME THUNDERSTORMS. THE WIND WILL CONTINUE TO BLOW
STRONGLY THROUGH SUNSET BEFORE SLOWLY SETTLING DOWN.

THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. A
SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS WITH A SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING IN WESTERN KANSAS AND MOVING ACROSS
KANSAS INTO IOWA BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

ANOTHER SHORT WAVE MOVES INTO THE PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT SETTING
UP AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT SLOWS DOWN ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS. THE SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL
DEVELOP IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MOVE TO THE MID MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM STALLS OUT WITH A
NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT FROM MISSOURI TO TEXAS DURING THE DAY
THURSDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY WHEN THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY FINALLY STARTS TO MOVE
EAST.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE PLAINS STATES FRIDAY AND KEEPS
THE WEATHER DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER TOMORROW BEHIND THE COLD FRONT MOVING
THROUGH THIS EVENING. ON TUESDAY TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY
COOLER YET AS SOME WEAK COOL ADVECTION TAKES PLACE. MID WEEK
TEMPERATURES LEVEL OFF AS THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVES IN AND OVER THE
WEEKEND WILL RETURN TO AROUND 70 DEGREES. NIGHTS WILL BE MOSTLY IN
THE LOWER 40S.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.NE...HIGH WIND WARNING FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA THROUGH 7
PM.
.KS...HIGH WIND WARNING FOR ALL OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH 7PM.
&&

JCB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
441 PM CDT SUN APR 18 2004

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-191100-
ADAMS-BUFFALO-CLAY-DAWSON-FILLMORE-FRANKLIN-FURNAS-GOSPER-GREELEY-
HALL-HAMILTON-HARLAN-HOWARD-JEWELL-KEARNEY-MERRICK-MITCHELL-NANCE-
NUCKOLLS-OSBORNE-PHELPS-PHILLIPS-POLK-ROOKS-SHERMAN-SMITH-THAYER-
VALLEY-WEBSTER-YORK-
441 PM CDT SUN APR 18 2004

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS UNTIL 7 PM...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE BY MID AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY WEST OF A YORK TO
BELOIT LINE.

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND EAST OF A
FULLERTON TO FRANKLIN LINE THROUGH 10 PM...WITH A THREAT FOR HAIL UP
TO AN INCH AND ONE HALF AND WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE MONDAY NIGHT...WITH AN
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF HAIL UP TO ONE INCH POSSIBLE.

AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS A
SERIES OF DISTURBANCES MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
MAY BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY AND WILL BE FURTHER MONITORED FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY ALONG AND EAST OF
THE HIGHWAY 281 CORRIDOR.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM OVER THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST REGION WILL RAPIDLY PUSH THROUGH THE
CENTRAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL ALLOW A DRYLINE TO SURGE
ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA BY MID AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
DEVELOPED AND WILL BE MOVING NORTHEAST THROUGH THE EVENING.

SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH APPEAR
LIKELY ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA ESPECIALLY TOWARD MID AFTERNOON.
WINDS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO EASE CONSIDERABLY BY EVENING. BLOWING
DUST ESPECIALLY NEAR NEWLY PLOWED FIELDS WILL LEAD TO AREAS OF POOR
VISIBILITIES AND MAKE DRIVING CONDITIONS ON EAST WEST ROADWAYS
HAZARDOUS.

MORE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT THE FOLLOWING URL:

HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GID (ALL LOWER CASE)

JCB