1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 28, 3:18 AM CST, 4 hours 12 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 318 AM CST SUN MAR 28 2004 .DISCUSSION... LINE OF STORMS WENT THROUGH DURING THE EVENING...MAINLY AFFECTING AREAS SOUTH OF I70 CORRIDOR. CURRENTLY WATCHING SHOWERY PRECIP BEHIND THE LINE...LOCATED EAST OF I35 AND HEADING EAST. COLD FRONT IS JUST INTO THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF FORECAST AREA. MAIN LOW PRESSURE AREA IS STILL WELL TO THE WEST...BUT WITH DRY AIR FILTERING IN THINK WHAT WEVE GOT ON THE SCOPE IS ALL WE WILL GET. THERE IS SOME CONCERN WITH REDEVELOPMENT...AS THERE ARE SOME ECHOES IN CENTRAL KANSAS WITH NEXT VORT LOBE. HOWEVER...THE NORTHWARD EDGE OF THAT STUFF KEEPS FALLING APART. FROM EYEING THE SATELLITE...THINK WE WILL ACTUALLY GET A LITTLE SUNSHINE LATE THIS MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. THINK THAT MAY GET US CLOSER TO THE WARM MET GUID HIGHS. ALSO WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF WE GOT SOME INSTABILITY SHOWERS LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED WITH COLD UPPER LEVELS. HAVE PUT IN SLIGHT CHANCES FOR THIS...BUT ACTUALLY BELIEVE THAT MONDAY AFTERNOON IS THE BETTER BET FOR THAT. CENTER OF COLD POOL GOES OVER US...AND MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE ON THE ORDER OF 7.5. HAVE SLIGHTS IN AGAIN FOR MONDAY AFTN...WHICH MAY NEED TO BE UPPED TO CHANCE AT SOME POINT. TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO TRICKY. BY 12Z WED BOTH THE ETA AND THE GFS HAVE H8 DOWN TO -8C...SO A COOL DOWN IS DEFINITELY IN ORDER. BOTH MONDAY AND TUES NIGHT WILL SEE LOWS IN THE 30S...SO MAY SEE SOME FROST THOSE NIGHTS. OTHERWISE...REST OF FORECAST LOOKS FINE AND JUST MINOR TWEAKS MADE. LVQ && .PREV DISCUSSION... 330 PM SAT... MAIN FOCUS OF TODAYS FORECASTING HAS BEEN ON THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT. SATELLITE AND OBSERVATIONAL DATA SHOW A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH SLIDING EAST OUT OF THE ROCKIES. THIS HAS BROUGHT A NEAR MERIDIONAL FLOW TO THE CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY. THE SUBTROPICAL FETCH OVER THE PREVIOUS WEEK HAS LEFT AN ABUNDANT AMOUNT OF MOISTURE ACROSS THE MIDWEST. THE MOIST ADIABATIC SOUNDINGS OUT OF TOP AND SGF MERELY PUNCTUATE THIS FACT. THE LOW LEVEL JET IN ADVANCE OF THE TROUGH HAS BROUGHT WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO EAST KANSAS AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON. FOR TONIGHT...NOT MUCH IF ANY SUBSTANTIVE CHANGES WERE NEEDED IN THE GOING FORECAST. WITH THE LATEST MODEL RUNS HAVING SLOWED THE PROGRESSION OF THE TROUGH AND COLD FRONT BY A FEW HOURS...ONLY SMALL REFINEMENTS TO PRECIP TIMING AND TEMPS WERE MADE. OVERNIGHT THE EVENT EVOLUTION IS EXPECTED TO GO AS FOLLOWS. WARM AIR ADVECTION SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO POP UP OVER EAST KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI INTO THE EVENING HOURS. AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES INTO OUR WARNING AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT...A SQUALL LINE WILL CONGEAL OUT OF THE CONVECTION THAT IS CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL KANSAS. LIMITED INSTABILITY ALONG THE FRONT...AND A WORKED OVER ATMOSPHERE DUE TO TODAYS SHOWERS...SHOULD PRECLUDE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT. HOWEVER...THE STRONG LOW LEVEL JET WITH THE FRONT COULD PROVIDE ENOUGH FORCING TO ALLOW SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS TO REACH SEVERE LIMITS...MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70. AS FOR THE FLOOD POTENTIAL...THE STORMS TONIGHT WILL HAVE MORE THAN ENOUGH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE AROUND ONE AND A HALF INCHES. THE STRONG NATURE OF TONIGHTS EXPECTED CONVECTION WILL MAKE FOR EFFICIENT RAIN MAKERS. SEVERAL COUNTIES HAVE FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES LESS THAN ONE INCH IN HOUR. HAVE THEREFORE ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. MOST OF THE ACTIVITY SHOULD HAVE SHIFTED SOUTH AND EAST BY SUNRISE...SO THE WATCH ONLY GOES THROUGH 6 AM. MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW SOME RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY WITH THE CLOSED LOW PROGGED TO ROTATE AROUND THE GREAT LAKES REGION. HAVE DROPPED TEMPS DOWN SEVERAL MORE DEGREES ACROSS THE BOARD...WITH THE BIGGEST DROP IN NORTHEAST MISSOURI. MADE THESE CHANGES TO TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...ALTHOUGH HAVE MAINTAINED THE GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH THE WEEK. HAVE ALSO MAINTAINED THE DRY FORECAST TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. CUTTER/NRR && .EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...NONE. MO...NONE. WFO EAX
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 554 AM CST SUN MAR 28 2004 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-291200- THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. && THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGIC AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT (LOWER CASE) HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/EAX OR HTTP://WEATHER.GOV. LVQ
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Big Creek near Blairstown crested at 24.50 feet, or 4.50 feet above flood stage. The South Grand River near Urich crested at 27.28 feet, or 3.28 feet above flood stage.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, March 2004
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5388911.