Florida, 2004

High Wind and Strong Wind in Florida, September 25 to 26, 2004

September 25 to 26, 2004 · NWS TBW · 4 events in 4 counties and zones

Hurricane Jeanne followed the nearly the same path across Florida as Hurricane Frances three weeks earlier and was the unprecedented fourth hurricane to damage Florida during the 2004 hurricane season. The hurricane moved ashore along the east coast of Florida near Stuart late on September 25th with an eye 30 to 40 miles across.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$712 million
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TBW wrote it up.

Hurricane Jeanne followed the nearly the same path across Florida as Hurricane Frances three weeks earlier and was the unprecedented fourth hurricane to damage Florida during the 2004 hurricane season. The hurricane moved ashore along the east coast of Florida near Stuart late on September 25th with an eye 30 to 40 miles across. Jeanne took a course north of Lake Okeechobee and decreased to a tropical storm in eastern Polk County around 9 AM EDT on the 26th. The center of Jeanne curved north of Tampa Bay during the afternoon and travelled north along the coastal counties before exiting north through Levy County around 10 PM. In Highlands County there were 140 homes destroyed and 2,000 homes with major damage. Emergency Management estimated the total damage to be $452 million. A peak wind of 82 knots (94 MPH) was recorded in Sebring at 3 AM EST on 09/26/2004. In Polk County a peak wind gust of 67 knots (77 MPH) was recorded in both Frostproof and Bartow between 5-6 AM EST on 09/26/2004. In Hardee and Sumter Counties the damage was limited to trees falling on homes, vehicles, and power lines. The damage total was estimated by doubling the insured losses unless otherwise noted. The doubling accounted for uninsured losses and damge to the public infrastructure. Flood damage was included within these totals because it was not possible to extract the flood damage information from the available data.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 25, 3:38 PM EST, 2 hours 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 25, 3:38 PM EST, 2 hours 22 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
438 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004

AFTER COORD WITH SPC WILL BE UPDATING THE ZONES SHORTLY TO REFLECT
NEWLY ISSUED TORNADO WATCH BOX 838 WHICH COVERS SUMTER...POLK...
HARDEE...DESOTO...AND HIGHLANDS COUNTIES UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT.
WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SECTION BELOW HAS BEEN UPDATED TO REFLECT THIS
WATCH.

.PREV DISCUSSION...
226 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT - MON)...DANGEROUS HURRICANE JEANNE CONTINUES TO
BEAR DOWN ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE
LATEST TPC TRACK TAKING JEANNE ONSHORE ALONG THE FL EAST COAST LATE
TONIGHT...THEN MOVING IT NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE CENTRAL FLORIDA
PENINSULA OVERNIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. BASED ON THIS TRACK THE WEATHER
WILL DETERIORATE RAPIDLY OVER THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY AS SPIRAL BANDS AND SQUALLS MOVE INTO THE REGION WITH TROPICAL
STORM OR NEAR HURRICANE CONDITIONS LIKELY TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE
PERIOD. IN ADDITION TO THE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS...THERE WILL BE AN
INCREASED THREAT OF ISOLATED SHORT LIVED TORNADOES AS JEANNE MOVES
INLAND. FOR MORE SPECIFIC DETAILS ON JEANNE...PLEASE REFER TO OUR
LOCAL HURRICANE STATEMENTS. ONCE JEANNE MOVES OUT OF THE AREA LATER
SUNDAY...WINDS AND RAIN WILL SLOWLY BEGIN TO DECREASE...HOWEVER A
TRAILING TROUGH AXIS AND RESIDUAL MOISTURE IN ITS WAKE WILL CONTINUE
TO SUPPORT SCATTERED POPS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA INTO MONDAY.
CLOUDS AND PRECIP WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL.

.LONG TERM (MON NIGHT - SAT)...SFC FLOW WILL BE WRLY ON TUE AS JEANNE
DEPARTS THE AREA TO THE NORTH. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL HIGH WILL BUILD IN
BEHIND JEANNE AND BRIDGE ACROSS FL INTO THE GULF. AS MAY HAVE A
LEFTOVER BAND ANYWHERE IN THE FA...WILL INCREASE POPS TO 30 PCT
MON NIGHT INTO TUE.

SFC GRADIENT WILL QUICKLY WEAKEN AS FLOW TURNS AROUND TO NERLY BY
THU. NEXT PROBLEM ARISES WITH A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE FORECAST TO MOVE
ACROSS S FL FRI INTO SAT. THIS SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED YET...BUT MODEL
GUIDANCE HAS IT DROPPING S ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE RIDGE CURRENTLY
MOVING JEANNE. CURRENT WIND FORECAST LOOKS GOOD...BUT WILL MAKE A
SLIGHT TURN TO THE WINDS TO ERLY ON SAT. ALSO WILL NUDGE POPS DOWN TO
30 PCT AND RAISE MAX TEMPS A DEGREE THU AFTN TO ACCOUNT FOR POSSIBLE
SUBSIDENCE AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM. OTHERWISE 40 POPS AND TEMPS LOOK GOOD
FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TONIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY AS DANGEROUS HURRICANE JEANNE MOVES ONSHORE ALONG THE FL EAST
COAST LATER TONIGHT...THEN NWWD THROUGH CENTRAL FLORIDA ON SUNDAY.
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON HURRICANE JEANNE PLEASE REFER TO THE
LOCAL HURRICANE STATEMENTS BEING ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE OR THE LATEST
ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. ALL MARINERS ARE
ADVISED TO REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL CONDITIONS BEGIN TO IMPROVE LATER ON
MONDAY. ONCE JEANNE MOVES AWAY FROM THE REGION IMPROVING WEATHER WITH
DECREASING WINDS AND SEAS CAN BE EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AS
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN OVER THE WATERS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DISPERSIONS PICK UP THROUGH PERIOD WITH APPROACH OF
JEANNE BUT WITH EXPECTED RAIN NO HIGHLIGHTS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA 075 084 076 083/ 70 80 60 50
FMY 076 084 075 084/ 70 80 60 50
GIF 075 083 075 085/ 90 90 70 50
SRQ 076 084 076 082/ 70 80 60 50
BKV 075 083 075 084/ 70 80 70 60

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
 TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH TO SUWANNEE RIVER
  OUT 60 NM INCLUDING LEVY...CITRUS...HERNANDO...PASCO...PINELLAS...
  HILLSBOROUGH...MANATEE...SARASOTA...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...AND LEE
  COUNTIES.
 HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM ENGLEWOOD NORTH TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER
  OUT 60 NM INCLUDING SARASOTA...MANATEE...HILLSBOROUGH...PINELLAS...
  PASCO...HERNANDO...CITRUS...AND LEVY COUNTIES.
 INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FOR LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY
  FOR SUMTER...POLK...HARDEE AND HIGHLANDS.
 FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT AND SUNDAY FOR ALL COUNTIES.
 TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR SUMTER...POLK...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS...AND
  DESOTO COUNTIES UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT.
&&

SHORT TERM...MCMICHAEL
LONG TERM....SHARP
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 25, 3:19 AM EST, 14 hours 41 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
419 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-251500-
CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-
LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER-
419 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY:

...SYNOPSIS...
HURRICANE JEANNE WILL ENTER THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TONIGHT...AND
WILL SPREAD HEAVY RAIN OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA LATE TODAY INTO
SUNDAY. SPIRAL BANDS WILL APPROACH WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
BY THIS EVENING...WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN THROUGH SUNDAY. THE
HEAVIEST RAIN WILL OCCUR ALONG THE TRACK THE CENTER OF JEANNE TAKES.

...RAINFALL...
STORM RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE LIKELY ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...WITH 5 TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE ALONG THE TRACK
THE CENTER TAKES.

...RIVER STREAM AND CREEK IMPACTS...
THE PEACE RIVER...WITHLACOOCHEE RIVER...AND CYPRESS CREEK ARE STILL
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE DUE TO PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN EVENTS.  ALTHOUGH IT HAS
BEEN RELATIVELY DRY THE PAST 10 TO 14 DAYS...THE GROUND REMAINS
FAIRLY SATURATED. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN FROM HURRICANE JEANNE MAY
CAUSE MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING ONCE AGAIN ACROSS MUCH OF WEST
CENTRAL FLORIDA.  THIS WILL DEPEND GREATLY ON THE ACTUAL TRACK JEANNE
TAKES OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.

RESIDENTS LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT
PROPERTY.

INCREASING WINDS ALONG THE COAST WILL INCREASE THE SURF AND THE
CHANCE OF A RIP CURRENT TODAY.  A RIP CURRENT IS A 10 TO 30 YARD WIDE
CHANNEL OF WATER THAT CAN PULL EVEN A STRONG SWIMMER INTO DEEPER
WATER.

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. LARGER VESSELS MAY WANT TO
POSTPONE TRIPS UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY:

JEANNE PULLS AWAY FROM THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY LEAVING WEAK
HIGH PRESSURE IN ITS WAKE. EXPECT MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. WINDS BECOME MORE EASTERLY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AND THIS
WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW (LOWER CASE)

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 25, 3:27 PM EST, 2 hours 33 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
427 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004

FLZ043-052-056-057-061-252130-
DE SOTO-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-POLK-SUMTER-
427 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004

...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 838 IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR
SUMTER...POLK...HIGHLANDS...HARDEE AND DE SOTO COUNTIES.

DANGEROUS HURRICANE JEANNE IS FORECASTED TO MOVE ONSHORE THE FLORIDA
EAST COAST LATER TONIGHT...THEN MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PENINSULA ON SUNDAY. AS JEANNE MOVES CLOSER TO THE PENINSULA TONIGHT
THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING THREAT OF SHORT LIVED TORNADOES WITHIN
THE SPIRAL BANDS.

RESIDENTS OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA NEED TO STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR LATER UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

&&

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION, CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW (LOWER CASE)

JCM

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 high wind, 2 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Highlands

When
September 25, 6:00 PM EST to September 26, 3:00 PM EST
Where
Highlands forecast zone
Measured
61 kt (70 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$452 million
Reported by
EMERGENCY MANAGER
Coordinates
27.343, -81.341 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Strong Wind, Hardee

When
September 25, 6:00 PM EST to September 26, 6:00 PM EST
Where
Hardee forecast zone
Measured
45 kt (52 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$4.4 million
Reported by
EMERGENCY MANAGER
Coordinates
27.493, -81.810 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

High Wind, Polk

When
September 25, 6:00 PM EST to September 26, 9:00 PM EST
Where
Polk forecast zone
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$250 million
Reported by
EMERGENCY MANAGER
Coordinates
27.949, -81.698 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Strong Wind, Sumter

When
September 25, 10:00 PM EST to September 26, 11:00 PM EST
Where
Sumter forecast zone
Measured
40 kt (46 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$6.0 million
Reported by
EMERGENCY MANAGER
Coordinates
28.705, -82.081 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
Strong Wind
Non-thunderstorm winds below high wind criteria that nonetheless caused damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, September 2004

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5427718, 5427719, 5427720, 5427721.