California, 2004

Wildfire in California, September 11 to 12, 2004

September 11 to 12, 2004 · NWS HNX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 wildfire, as filed by the National Weather Service.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hanford, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 10, 8:00 PM PST, 4 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 10, 8:00 PM PST, 4 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
900 PM PDT FRI SEP 10 2004

.UPDATE...FOR THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR...A LOW-LEVEL MOUNTAIN
WAVE OFF THE SAN GABRIEL MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON MOVED
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT. AS THIS WAVE INTERACTED WITH THE
ALREADY MOIST...UNSTABLE AIRMASS...IT TRIGGERED SOME CONVECTION
ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE KERN COUNTY...ALTHOUGH SATELLITE AND RADAR
LOOPS INDICATE THAT THE THUNDERSTORMS STAYED JUST OVER THE COUNTY
LINES. ISSUED A NOWCAST FOR POSSIBLE OUTFLOW WINDS AND ANY SECONDARY
THUNDERSTORMS THAT MIGHT HAVE FORMED NEAR BORON AND RANDSBURG. THE
MAIN CONVECTION STAYED WELL EAST AND SOUTH OF THE KERN COUNTY DESERTS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND A GENERAL MOVEMENT TO THE NORTHEAST
KEPT THE CONVECTIVE THREAT TO THE HANFORD WARNING/FORECAST AREA LOW.
WITH THE SETTING OF THE SUN...THE AIRMASS WILL BEGIN TO COOL AND
STABILIZE...SO WILL UPDATE THE FORECAST PACKAGE TO REMOVE POPS AND
WEATHER FROM TONIGHT.

THE 00Z MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
ALONG 127W BY 00Z SUNDAY...WITH AS SERIES OF SHORT-WAVES MOVING
THROUGH THE TROUGH. THESE WAVE ARE WEAKENING THE RIDGE OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES...BRINGING SLIGHTLY COOLER WEATHER TO THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...WHERE HIGH TEMPERATURES
WERE DOWN 1-3 DEGREES FROM THURSDAY/S HIGHS. 500-MB HEIGHTS ARE ONLY
FORECAST TO FALL ABOUT 10 METERS SATURDAY...BUT THEN DROP 50 METERS
SUNDAY. LIKEWISE...1000-500-MB THICKNESSES ARE FORECAST TO FALL BY
10-20 METERS SATURDAY...THEN ANOTHER 20-30 METERS SUNDAY.

AT 850 MB...THE GFS AND NGM COOL TEMPERATURES BY 2 DEGREES C OVER
THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR...WHILE THE ETA HAS NO CHANGE IN
850-MB TEMPERATURES. /THE ETA ALSO HAS HIGHER 500-MB HEIGHTS THAN
THE OTHER MODELS AND IS THE WEAKEST IN ERODING THE RIDGE./ FOR
SUNDAY...THE NGM HAS ANOTHER 2 DEGREES C COOLING AT 850 MB...WHILE
THE ETA AND GFS FORECAST ONLY A 1 DEGREE C DROP.

WITH ONLY SLIGHT CHANGES IN 500-MB HEIGHTS AND 1000-500-MB
THICKNESSES OVER THE HANFORD WARNING/FORECAST AREA PREDICTED FOR
SATURDAY...THE CURRENT FORECAST OF ANOTHER 1-3 DEGREE COOLING SEEM
ON TRACK. WILL SEE STRONGER COOLING SUNDAY AS THE MAIN TROUGH
ARRIVES AND DEEPENS THE MARINE LAYER...ALLOWING COOL MARINE AIR TO
PUSH INTO THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP TO NEAR
NORMAL BY MONDAY...AND STAY WITHIN A DEGREE OR TWO OF NORMAL THROUGH
THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

.FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

.SHORT TERM...FOR THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR...EARLY AFTERNOON
24 HOUR TEMPERATURE CHANGE TENDENCIES ARE SLIGHTLY NEGATIVE IN THE
VALLEY...AND FAIRLY NEUTRAL ELSEWHERE. HOWEVER...SOME STATIONS WHICH
EXPERIENCED GREATER CLOUD COVER YESTERDAY PRIMARILY IN THE KERN
COUNTY DESERTS AND MOUNTAINS ARE WARMER. SATPIX INDICATE THAT OTHER
THAN A FEW CUMULUS OVER THE HIGH COUNTRY...SKIES ARE SUNNY.

THE TAME WEATHER SO FAR THIS AFTERNOON ACTUALLY PRESENTS THE FIRST
FORECAST CHALLENGE...POPS OR NO POPS. THE 12Z VERSIONS OF BOTH THE
ETA AND GFS BACKED OFF ON CAPE FOR THIS AFTERNOON COMPARED TO THEIR
FORMER RUNS...QUITE CONSISTENT WITH THE SITUATION UNFOLDING THUS
FAR. HOWEVER...BOTH SOLUTIONS INDICATE A BIT OF VORTICITY RIDING
NORTHWARD INTO THE DISTRICT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. GIVEN
ELEVATED MOISTURE...WILL RETAIN SLIGHT CHANCES FOR THE DESERT AND
ADJACENT KERN MOUNTAINS FOR THE EVENING HOURS. OTHERWISE...EXPECT
MOST READINGS TO BOTTOM OUT TO LEVELS SIMILAR TO THOSE OF THIS
MORNING AS PROFILER/OBSERVATIONAL DATA SUGGEST THE MARINE LAYER IS
STILL TOO SHALLOW AND GRADIENTS TOO LIGHT TO HAVE ANYTHING MORE THAN
SUBTLE INFLUENCES OVERNIGHT.

HAVE ACCORDINGLY MADE UPWARD ADJUSTMENTS TO TOMORROW/S TEMPERATURES
TO PUT THEM MORE IN LINE WITH THOSE OF TODAY SINCE TEMPERATURES AND
HEIGHTS ALOFT CHANGE LITTLE AND ONSHORE GRADIENTS REMAIN RATHER
WEAK. THIS SHOULD PLACE MOST VALLEY READINGS RIGHT AROUND THE
CENTURY MARK...OR ALMOST 10 DEGF ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES. THE MODELS
STILL INSIST ON SOMEWHAT MORE CAPE AND MOISTURE TOMORROW...ALTHOUGH
ONCE AGAIN THE DEPICTIONS ARE A DOWNGRADE FROM EARLIER RUNS. HAVE
TRIMMED BACK POPS SLIGHTLY FROM THE LAST FORECAST...BUT WILL
MAINTAIN THE OUTSIDE CHANCE FOR NOW. A MORE PRONOUNCED IMPULSE IS
PROJECTED TO DIVE INTO THE PACNW SUNDAY WHICH SHOULD RAMP UP THE
MARINE LAYER AND TIGHTEN GRADIENTS. WITH A 12 MB SFO-LAS PRESSURE
DIFFERENTIAL AS SUGGESTED BY THE ETA80 FOR 00Z MONDAY...WE SHOULD
SEE MORE MARINE AIR TRICKLE INTO THE VALLEY...PARTICULARLY AS ONE
APPROACHES THE DELTA. IMPROVED WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT SHOULD INHIBIT
CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL SUFFICIENTLY TO DROP THE MENTION OF POPS BY
SUNDAY. WITH CYCLONIC FLOW OVERHEAD MONDAY...EXPECT ALL AREAS TO
FINALLY ENJOY TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO CLIMO WITH TYPICALLY DRY
CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE.

.LONG TERM...FOR MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...BROAD TROUGH OVER THE
WESTERN U.S. WILL DEEPEN DURING THE PERIOD AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY DROPS
OUT OF THE GULF OF ALASKA. CONSISTENCY AMONG MEDIUM RANGE MODELS AND
FROM RUN TO RUN OF PARTICULAR MODELS REGARDING THE EXACT TIMING AND
STRENGTH OF THE IMPULSES IS NOT GREAT. IN GENERAL WE SHOULD SEE
TEMPERATURES CONTINUING TO COOL A BIT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND HOVERING
RIGHT AROUND CLIMO THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. LIMITED MOISTURE
WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES EXCEPT FOR SOME CLOUDS DEVELOPING OVER THE SIERRA...MAINLY
WEDNESDAY.

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

SANGER/BURGER/JEB

Event by event

1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.

Wildfire, Kern Cty Mtns

When
September 11, 12:00 AM PST to September 12, 5:00 PM PST
Where
Kern Cty Mtns forecast zone
Reported by
PARK/FOREST SERVICE

The China Fire 15 miles southwest of Lake Isabella in Kern County was of suspicious origin. It burned 314 acres but no fatalities, injuries, or structures-lost occurred. The cost to suppress was unknown.

What these are

Wildfire
A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in California in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in California, September 2004

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5426010.