Flash Flood in Arkansas, June 19, 2004

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1250 PM CDT SAT JUN 19 2004

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1250 PM CDT SAT JUN 19 2004

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

...CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON...

A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WAS CONTINUING TO PROPAGATE
EASTWARD THROUGH MOST OF THE WESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON. A SURFACE FRONT WAS LOCATED GENERALLY ALONG THE RED
RIVER WITH DEWPOINTS NEAR OR ABOVE 70 DEGREES IN THIS AREA. AN MCV
WHICH WAS SPAWNED FROM EARLY MORNING CONVECTION WAS PROPAGATING
EASTWARD GENERALLY ALONG THE RED RIVER AS WELL. INSTABILITY WAS
QUITE HIGH ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA
AHEAD OF THE MCV. THIS WILL CREATE THE POSSIBILITY THAT A STORM OR
TWO MAY REACH SEVERE LIMITS THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY ACROSS THE
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA.

WARNING PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES CAN BE
FOUND IN THE CURRENT HAZARDS SECTION AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA.
GIVEN PROBABILITIES REPRESENT THE POTENTIAL FOR A WARNING TO BE
ISSUED AT YOUR LOCATION.

SPOTTER / EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. HOWEVER SPOTTERS AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA SHOULD CONTINUE
TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
AN OVERNIGHT CONVECTIVE COMPLEX WILL AGAIN FORM ACROSS THE WESTERN
PLAINS SATURDAY NIGHT. WITH A MODERATELY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE ACROSS THE
AREA...OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM THESE STORMS MAY PROVIDE THE FOCUS
FOR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE A
CONTINUED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE FIRST
PART OF THE WORK WEEK AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION FROM THE
NORTH.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND
GRAPHICAL INFORMATION

OKZ049-191800-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1219 PM CDT SAT JUN 19 2004

OKZ049-191800-
PUSHMATAHA OK-
1219 PM CDT SAT JUN 19 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 100 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     PUSHMATAHA

AT 1219 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 2 MILES NORTH OF CLAYTON TO 6 MILES SOUTH OF
NASHOBA TO 6 MILES SOUTH OF OLETA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. SOME
LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS
INCLUDE...CLAYTON...CORINNE...CLOUDY...NASHOBA...TUSKAHOMA...KIAMICHI
...ALBION...OLETA AND SARDIS.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS
TO 50 MPH.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
216 PM CDT SAT JUN 19 2004

OKZ076-192000-
LE FLORE OK-
216 PM CDT SAT JUN 19 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 300 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     LE FLORE

AT 216 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM BOKOSHE TO 14 MILES SOUTHEAST OF POTEAU...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE
STORMS INCLUDE...POTEAU...SHADY POINT...CAMERON...PANAMA...BOKOSHE...
ROCK ISLAND...SPIRO...POCOLA...SCULLYVILLE...BRADEN AND COWLINGTON.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
236 PM CDT SAT JUN 19 2004

ARZ029-192030-
SEBASTIAN AR-
236 PM CDT SAT JUN 19 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 330 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS
     SEBASTIAN

AT 236 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 14 MILES WEST OF BONANZA TO PATTERSON...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS
INCLUDE...LIBERTY...CROSSROADS...MILLTOWN...PATTERSON...MILL
CREEK...FORT SMITH...HARTFORD...HACKETT...GREENWOOD...BARLING...
LAVACA...ARKOLA...HUNTINGTON...MIDLAND...DAYTON...WITCHERVILLE...
WASHBURN...BURNVILLE.. .EXCELSIOR...MANSFIELD...BONANZA...
FT CHAFFEE...JENNY LIND...RYE HILL...BLOOMER AND CENTRAL CITY.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS
TO 50 MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN
ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
428 PM CDT SAT JUN 19 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0225 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 SE POTEAU             35.00N 94.56W
06/19/2004                   LE FLORE           OK   PUBLIC

            6FT DIAMETER TREE BLOWN OVER AND SIDING PARTIALLY BLOWN
            OFF OF A HOUSE.

&&

JBM