Arizona, 2004Flash Flood in Arizona, September 25, 2004
September 25, 2004 · NWS TWC · 1 event in 1 county or zone
1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 25, 2:30 PM MST, 2 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 25, 2:30 PM MST, 2 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
230 PM MST SAT SEP 25 2004
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
.SYNOPSIS...MOISTURE OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE STATE...ALONG
WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL RESULT IN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY NEAR THE MOUNTAINS EAST OF TUCSON THIS WEEKEND
WITH SCATTERED STORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE RIM. A DEEPER TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST AND
MOVE INLAND DURING THE MIDDLE TO END OF NEXT WEEK...BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS...COOLER TEMPERATURES AND A FEW SHOWERS TO
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA.
&&
.DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE RIM COUNTRY AND EXTENDING INTO NEW MEXICO
WITH ISOLATED ACTIVITY ACROSS MAINLY THE THREE EASTERN ZONES OF
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA. SOME ISOLATED ACTIVITY ALSO NOTED OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF EXTREME EASTERN PIMA AND SANTA CRUZ COUNTIES AS WELL.
ALL OF THE ACTIVITY IS MOVING TO THE EAST. SOME OF THESE STORMS ARE
PRODUCING RESPECTABLE RAINFALL AMOUNTS...AT LEAST ACCORDING TO
RAINFALL ESTIMATES. THE STORMS PRODUCING THE HEAVIEST RAIN ARE
OCCURRING IN COCHISE COUNTY NEAR THE CHIRICAHUA MOUNTAINS WITH
ESTIMATES IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES...BUT NOT CONFIDENT THAT THESE
AMOUNTS ARE REALISTIC. AT ANY RATE THESE STORMS ARE IN THE PROCESS
OF MOVING EAST INTO NEW MEXICO.
MODELS ARE IN PRETTY FAIR AGREEMENT IN MOVING THE SHORTWAVE WHICH IS
RESPONSIBLE FOR THE ONGOING THUNDERSTORMS SLOWLY EASTWARD THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY. THE ASSOCIATED VORT LOBE WILL LINGER ACROSS THE
ARIZONA/NEW MEXICO BORDER THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE WEAK SHORTWAVE
RIDGING MOVES IN FROM THE WEST ON MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
HOWEVER...RIGHT ON THE HEELS OF THE RIDGE AXIS IS A DEVELOPING UPPER
LOW WHICH IS PROGGED TO DEVELOP INTO A CLOSED LOW OVER THE NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA COAST AND THEN DIVE DOWN THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY BEFORE SWINGING THROUGH THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
EXPECT THE BEST CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS TO OCCUR THIS EVENING
WITH THE AXIS OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH JUST WEST THE TUCSON AREA. AS
THE TROUGH AXIS SLIDES TO THE SOUTHEAST MOST OF THE STORMS ON SUNDAY
SHOULD BE CONFINED MAINLY TO AREAS EAST OF A LINE FROM SAN CARLOS TO
REDINGTON TO FORT HUACHUCA. BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY LOW GRADE POPS
WILL BE IN ORDER FOR ONCE AGAIN EXTREME EASTERN ZONES. HOWEVER...
WITH THE APPROACH OF THE UPPER LOW BY MIDWEEK AND CONTINUING INTO
THE WEEKEND SMALL POPS WILL BE WARRANTED FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST
AREA WITH RAIN CHANCES A BIT HIGHER TOWARD THE NEW MEXICO BORDER AND
ALSO ALONG THE RIM COUNTRY OF GREENLEE COUNTY.
TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN STATUS QUO THROUGH TUESDAY...BUT
WITH THE APPROACHING TROUGH DAYTIME HIGHS WILL DECREASE TO THE MID
80S BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
&&
.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
MOLLERE
Flash Flood, Greenlee
- When
- September 25, 4:30 PM MST to 10:00 PM MST
- Where
- Greenlee County, Duncan
- Reported by
- EMERGENCY MANAGER
- Coordinates
- 33.215, -109.240 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Localized heavy rainfall caused several streets to become flooded and required closure. Mud and rocks covered U.S. Route 70, after a reported 18 inches of water ran across the road.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Strong Wind in Florida, September 25 to 26, 20041 death · $118 million · 80 kt wind · 5 events
- High Wind and Strong Wind in Florida, September 25 to 26, 2004$712 million · 61 kt wind · 4 events
- Hurricane in Florida, September 25 to 26, 2004$389 million · 5 events
- Hurricane in Florida, September 25 to 26, 2004$353 million · 6 events
- Tropical Storm in Florida, September 25 to 27, 2004$135 million · 11 events
- Tropical Storm in Florida, September 25 to 27, 20041 death · 15 events
- Rip Current in South Carolina, September 25, 20041 death · 1 event
- High Surf in North Carolina, September 25, 20041 death · 1 event
- Storm Surge in Florida, September 25 to 26, 2004$8.0 million · 5 events
- Tornadoes in Florida, September 25 to 26, 2004$370,000 · F1 · 3 events
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Texas, September 25, 2004$130,000 · 1 in hail · 4 events
- Tropical Storm in Georgia, September 25 to 27, 200416 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5426291.