Hail and Damaging Winds in South Carolina, May 31, 2003

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
300 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2003

WILL SOON BE ISSUING ZONES TO INCLUDE TORNADO WATCH #450 FOR SEVERAL
NE COUNTIES OF CWA UNTIL 8 PM EDT.

FCSTID =   22
CAE   59  84  56  85 /  30  10   0  10
AGS   58  85  55  86 /  30  10   0  10
SSC   58  84  55  85 /  30  10   0  10
OGB   59  84  56  85 /  30  10   0  10

.CAE...

GA...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY EVENING FOR ZONES
GAZ040...GAZ063>065...GAZ077.

SC...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR
LANCASTER...LEE...CHESTERFIELD...AND KERSHAW COUNTIES UNTIL 8 PM
EDT.

WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY EVENING FOR ZONES
SCZ015>016...SCZ018...SCZ020>022...SCZ025>031...SCZ035>038...SCZ041.

BC

GAZ040-063>065-077-SCZ015-016-018-020>022-025>031-035>038-041-311115-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
522 AM EDT SAT MAY 31 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MIDLANDS OF SOUTH CAROLINA
AND THE CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER AREA.

.DAY ONE...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE STATE
TODAY. AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL SYSTEM THE AIRMASS WILL BECOME VERY
UNSTABLE. THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING AND
CONTINUE IN TO THE AFTERNOON. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL BECOME SEVERE
THIS AFTERNOON PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.  SEE CAESPSCAE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

ALSO...AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL SYSTEM...LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL BECOME
STRONG BY THIS AFTERNOON WITH SPEADS REACHING 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. SEE CAENPWCAE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON.

GAZ040-063>065-077-SCZ015-016-018-020>022-025>031-035>038-041-312130-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1150 AM EDT SAT MAY 31 2003

THE SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE
CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER AREA OF GEORGIA.

...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY THIS EVENING.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY SURFACE WINDS OF 25 TO
35 MPH WITH WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AT THE 5 THOUSAND FOOT LEVEL.
MOISTURE IS EXPECTED INCREASE JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND ALLOW
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP. THE TIMING OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA IS FROM 4 PM LATE THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL 8
PM EARLY THIS EVENING. WINDS MAY BE TOO STRONG FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO
ACTUALLY DEVELOP BUT IF THEY DO...THEY COULD RAPIDLY BECOME SEVERE.
HAIL IS NOT LIKELY SINCE THE FREEZING LEVEL IS HIGH. HOWEVER...A
SQUALL LINE MAY FORM DURING THIS TIME PERIOD AND COULD PRODUCE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH. A FEW SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO SPAWN SMALL TORNADOES.

ALL INTERESTS SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
WEATHER AND KEEP POSTED ON WEATHER STATEMENTS...WATCHES...
OR WARNINGS WHICH MAY BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION IF THREATENING WEATHER IS
SIGHTED OR A WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA.

EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS OFFICIALS ARE REQUESTED TO MONITOR CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND MAKE PLANS TO DEAL WITH SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD
IT OCCUR. SEVERE WEATHER SPOTTERS...INCLUDING AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...SHOULD MONITOR THIS WEATHER SITUATION AND RELAY REPORTS
PROMPTLY TO THE NEAREST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

TTH

SCZ016-312000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
233 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN CHESTERFIELD COUNTY...
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN PART OF
CHESTERFIELD COUNTY UNTIL 4 PM. THIS WILL INCLUDE THE TOWNS OF
PAGELAND...CHESTERFIELD AND CHERAW. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY
PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS OF 50 MPH.

TTH