Oregon, 2003

Strong Wind in Oregon, July 7, 2003

July 7, 2003 · NWS PQR · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A large portion of a 130 foot, 110-150 year old oak tree in Keizer fell across a house and severely damaged the roof. No injuries were reported.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$15,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS PQR wrote it up.

A large portion of a 130 foot, 110-150 year old oak tree in Keizer fell across a house and severely damaged the roof. No injuries were reported. A Keizer Fire District official said wind was believed to have caused the tree to topple.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Portland, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 7, 2:00 PM PST, 4 hours 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 7, 2:00 PM PST, 4 hours 30 minutes before
NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
300 PM PDT MON JUL 7 2003

.SYNOPSIS...THE COMBINATION OF A SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW OFF THE
NORTHERN TIP OF VANCOUVER ISLAND AND A WEAK DISTURBANCE OFF THE
SOUTHERN OREGON COAST THAT MOVES ONSHORE THROUGH SOUTHERN OREGON
TONIGHT WILL DEEPEN THE MARINE LAYER AND CAUSE IT TO PUSH ONSHORE
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT FROM THE DEEP MARINE LAYER. THE UPPER LOW WILL
REDEVELOP WELL OFFSHORE ALONG 140W WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...CAUSING A
RIDGE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE WEST COAST FOR DRYING AND WARMING OVER
THE FORECAST AREA. THE OFFSHORE UPPER LOW WILL SWING THROUGH THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR COOLER WEATHER
AGAIN.

.DISCUSSION...
.SHORT TERM...MARINE STRATUS HAS CLEARED BACK A LITTLE OFF THE
CENTRAL COAST THIS AFTERNOON...AND MAY BREAK A TOUCH ON THE NORTH
COAST ZONE. THE MODELS SHOW THE CLOUDS PUSHING INLAND AND DEEPENING
ON A SOUTHWEST MARINE PUSH TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. ALL THE
MODELS DEVELOP SOME SPRINKLES IN THE DEEP MARINE LAYER...BUT QPF IS
LIGHT. WILL STAY WITH LOW POPS FOR NOW AS DYNAMICS ARE LACKING. DO
NOT SEE MUCH OF ANY CLEARING EITHER.

AN UPPER LOW REDEVELOPS WESTWARD JUST WEST OF 140W TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY AS ENERGY DROPS SOUTH FROM THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA. THIS
INITIALLY TRIES TO PUSH A MEAGER WARM FRONT TOWARD THE COAST THAT
LIFTS NORTH WEDNESDAY. 500 MB HEIGHTS RISE SUBSTANTIALLY WEDNESDAY
WITH SOME SUNSHINE BREAKING OUT IN THE AFTERNOON. ANY REMAINING
CLOUDS WILL CLEAR WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH AN EVEN WARMER DAY THURSDAY.
COASTAL LOW CLOUDS MAY EVEN BE MEAGER THURSDAY MORNING. THERE IS SOME
INDICATION OF A CONVECTION THREAT NEAR THE CASCADES THURSDAY BUT A
LITTLE IFFY YET.

NO MARINE ADVISORIES. SEAS AND WINDS REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY THRESHOLDS.

.LONG TERM...THE LONG RANGE MODELS SHOW THE 140W UPPER LOW LIFTING
NORTHEAST AND THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST SECOND HALF OF THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR ANOTHER COOL DOWN AND INCREASE IN
MARINE CLOUDS. 00Z GFS AND ECMWF IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT. 12Z GFS A
BIT FASTER...INDICATING SATURDAY COULD START THE COOL DOWN. HAVE
SHOWN MORE OF A BROAD TREND BEFORE ACCEPTING ANY TIMING DETAILS FOR
NOW. TOLLESON

AST 133210 PDX 022100 SLE 022100 EUG 022100

.PQR...NONE.
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 7, 4:30 AM PST, 14 hours before
ORZ001>013-WAZ019>023-039-040-081230-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OREGON
530 AM PDT MON JUL 7 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST
WASHINGTON.

.DAY ONE... TODAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

Event by event

1 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Strong Wind, Central Willamette Valley

When
July 7, 6:30 PM PST to 6:40 PM PST
Where
Central Willamette Valley forecast zone
Measured
25 kt (29 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$15,000
Reported by
NEWSPAPER

What these are

Strong Wind
Non-thunderstorm winds below high wind criteria that nonetheless caused damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Oregon in 2003Every state in 2003This day in weather historyWarnings in Oregon, July 2003

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5376572.