Winter Storm and Winter Weather in New Jersey, January 2 to 4, 2003

Name: Winter Storm and Winter Weather in New Jersey, January 2 to 4, 2003
Start: 2003-01-02T19:00
End: 2003-01-04T06:00
Location: New Jersey

January 2 to 4, 2003 · NWS PHI · 7 events in 6 counties and zones

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 7 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

Tornadoes
Tropical storms and surge
Floods
Wind
Hail
Winter weather
Heat and drought
Cold
Fire, smoke and dust
Marine and coastal
Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths: 0
Injuries: 0
Property damage: None recorded
Crop damage: None recorded
Events: 7

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS PHI wrote it up.

A large high pressure system over nearby Canada and a low pressure system that passed south of the region set the stage for a protracted winter storm for northwest New Jersey and a winter weather event for Mercer and Somerset Counties. Precipitation began as light snow during the evening of the 2nd in the higher terrain of far northwest New Jersey and a mixture of light snow, light rain and light freezing drizzle elsewhere. Precipitation changed exclusively to light sleet and light freezing rain over Mercer and Somerset Counties and parts of Hunterdon County before sunrise on the 3rd. Steadier precipitation moved into the region around daybreak on the 3rd. By then warmer air aloft caused precipitation to fall as mainly freezing rain and sleet. Only in Sussex County did precipitation fall mainly as light snow. Eventually enough warm air moved in near the surface for precipitation to change to plain rain in Mercer and Somerset Counties and parts of Hunterdon, Warren and Morris Counties before Noon EST on the 3rd. Ice accretions were generally one tenth of an inch or less. In Sussex County, precipitation continued to fall as snow during heavier precipitation bursts and mixed with freezing rain and sleet at other times. As the low pressure system moved farther offshore and the winds shifted to the north, precipitation changed to all snow in Sussex County during the late afternoon of the 3rd and fell heavy at times that night. In Warren, Morris, Somerset and Hunterdon Counties precipitation reversed itself and went from a freezing rain and light rain mixture to sleet and then snow during the evening of the 3rd. The snow ended before daybreak on the 4th. Across Warren, Hunterdon and Morris Counties, total ice accretions averaged between one quarter and three-eighths of an inch. In addition one to three inches of snow accumulated on top of the ice. In Sussex County, ice accretions were generally less than one-quarter of an inch, but snow accumulations reached between 6 and 12 inches. It did not take long for traffic problems to begin once the freezing precipitation started on the second. In Morris County, scores of vehicles were spinning out of control. Spin outs and minor accidents were common on Interstate 287. New Jersey State Route 10 in Denville was at a standstill for more than one hour as vehicles could not get up the hill. Mount Olive Police reported 25 accidents as both U.S. Routes 206 and 46 were closed in the township. Many accidents were also reported along Interstate 80 in Warren County and within Byram Township (Sussex County). Vehicles skidded into poles, guard rails and ditches. On the third, several school districts were closed in Morris and Hunterdon Counties. Schools had delayed openings in Somerset County. Many extracurricular activities were canceled. Scores of accidents occurred throughout this event in Sussex County. During the evening of the third as precipitation went from rain to freezing rain, many additional accidents occurred. In Somerset County, there were 65 collisions on Interstates 287 and 78 and Route 440. In Morris County, there were forty accidents on Interstates 80 and 287.Specific accumulations included 12 inches in Wantage and Vernon (Sussex County), 11.9 inches in Barry Lakes (Sussex County), 6.2 inches in Newton (Sussex County), 4 inches in Netcong (Morris County), 3 inches in Hope and Belvidere (both Warren County), 2 inches in Long Valley (Morris County), 1.1 inches in Chatham (Morris County) and 1 inch in Flemington (Hunterdon County). The low pressure system responsible for the wintry weather developed in the Southern Plains on January 1st and moved into the Tennessee Valley during the morning of the 2nd. By the morning of the 3rd, it moved into North Carolina where a secondary formed near Norfolk, Virginia. The low then moved northeast and passed just to the south of Cape Cod during the morning of the 4th. While this low passed south of the area, a high pressure system remained nearly stationary over nearby Canada and provided and helped entrench cold air near the surface. This causes precipitation to fall as freezing rain even though it was warm enough aloft for the falling snow to change to plain rain.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 2, 6:50 PM EST, 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 2, 6:50 PM EST, 10 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
650 PM EST THU JAN 2 2003

WL ISSUE A WINTER WX ADVY FOR TNGT FOR THE NEXT TIER OF ZONES S OF
THE PREV ADVY GROUP...DUE TO TEMPS AOB FRZG AND BLOSSOMING FZDZ AND
SOME FZRA. THESE ZONES ARE CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS IN PA AND
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-MIDDLESEX IN NJ. NEW WSWPHI WL BE OUT
SHORTLY AND UPDATED ZONES ARE ALREADY ISSUED.

PREV AFD IS BLO...

**************************************************************

SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER 20S ACROSS NWRN SECTIONS TO AROUND 40 ALONG THE COAST AND SRN
ZONES.

SURFACE LOW OVER UPPER MS VALLEY STILL PROGGED TO FIRE UP OFF THE NJ
COAST TOMORROW NIGHT. MODEL TRENDS OVER THE LAST FEW RUNS ARE TAKING
THIS FEATURE AS WELL AS SOME WARMER AIR A LITTLE MORE NORTH AND
WEST. WELL AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE AND WHERE WAA IS BEST...PRECIP WAS
BREAKING OUT ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY.

FOR TONIGHT...STATISTICAL MODELS INDICATE LIKELY POPS FOR THE CWA AS
WAA TYPE PRECIP BREAKS OUT. THIS LOOKS REASONABLE...ALTHOUGH THE
PRECIP WILL BE LIGHT. BETTER CHANCES EXIST TOWARD DAYBREAK. THE
POTENTIAL PROBLEM FOR TONIGHT WILL BE THE CHANCE OF FREEZING TYPE
PRECIP. THE TOP DOWN METHOD SUGGESTS LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE/RAIN AT
THE ONSET BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO LIQUID OR SNOW TOMORROW. ON THE
POSITIVE SIDE...THE GROUND HAS WARMED UP THE PAST WEEK AND CLOUDS
WILL BE PRESENT HELPING US NOT TO RADIATE.

CURRENT THINKING...ACROSS THE POCONOS AND NW NJ...WILL BUMP THINGS
UP TO A WINTER STORM WARNING. THIS WILL COVER THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME
LIGHT FREEZING PRECIP TONIGHT AND THE SNOW TOMORROW. WILL GO WITH 7
TO 12 INCHES IN THIS AREA BY SATURDAY MORNING. FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS
BERKS...THE LEHIGH VALLEY...WARREN AND MORRIS COUNTIES OF NJ...WILL
ISSUE A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR POSSIBLE
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN TONIGHT AND SOME SNOW/MIX TOMORROW. WILL GO WITH
A 3 TO 7 INCH SLOPPY MESS BY SATURDAY MORNING. EVEN FURTHER SOUTH...
WILL MENTION SNOW AND SLEET LIKELY TONIGHT AND CHANGE THINGS OVER TO
RAIN TOMORROW. AS WITH CHRISTMAS...WE COULD SEE THINGS CHANGE BACK
OVER TO SNOW SHOWERS AT THE END OF THE EVENT. UP TO AN INCH WILL BE
MENTIONED. ACROSS SERN NJ...MOST OF DE...AND SOME OF MD...PRECIP
WILL BE MAINLY RAIN. THINGS COME TO AN END SOUTH TO NORTH ON
SATURDAY/SATURDAY NIGHT.

FROM THE MARINE DESK...GALES CAPE MAY NORTH...SCA ELSEWHERE.

FCSTID =   29
MPO   26  31  24  29 /  60 100 100  70
ABE   29  34  27  32 /  60 100 100  70
RDG   30  34  28  33 /  60 100 100  70
PHL   34  39  35  38 /  70 100 100  50
12N   27  32  25  30 /  60 100 100  70
SMQ   32  37  30  35 /  60 100 100  70
TTN   35  38  32  37 /  70 100 100  60
MIV   38  43  34  41 /  70 100 100  40
ACY   41  44  37  43 /  70 100  80  30
ILG   35  40  32  38 /  70 100 100  60
DOV   38  44  33  43 /  70 100  80  30
GED   39  44  33  43 /  70 100  80  30
ESN   38  44  33  43 /  70 100  80  30

.PHI...
DE...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT FOR ZONES DEZ002>004.
MD...NONE.
NJ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT FOR ZONES
     NJZ012>014...NJZ020>027.
  ...WINTER STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT FOR ZONE NJZ001.
  ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT FOR ZONES
     NJZ007>008.
  ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT FOR ZONES NJ009-010-012-015.
PA...WINTER STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT FOR ZONES PAZ054>055.
  ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT FOR
     ZONES PAZ060>062.
  ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT FOR ZONES PA067>069.

KRUZDLO /

Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 2, 6:24 AM EST, 12 hours 36 minutes before

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-021300-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
545 AM EST THU JAN 2 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA...DELAWARE...THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE...AND
NEW JERSEY EXCLUDING THE FIVE NORTHEAST COUNTIES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NEW JERSEY COUNTIES OF
OCEAN MONMOUTH AND MIDDLESEX FOR MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING AT THE TIME
OF HIGH TIDE. PLEASE SEE THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING ISSUED UNDER
WHUS41 KPHI OR PHLCFWPHI. A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED UNDER
THE HEADING WWUS41 KPHI OR PHLWSWPHI FOR AN EVENT EXPECTED FRIDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

ANOTHER WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION FRIDAY INTO EARLY
SATURDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOW ACROSS SOME AREAS OF THE
LEHIGH VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHERN POCONOS AND ACROSS INTO NORTHWEST
NEW JERSEY. MEANWHILE...MINOR TO MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE
AGAIN ON FRIDAY. PLEASE SEE THE COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT ISSUED UNDER
WHUS41 KPHI OR PHLCWFPHI AND THE WINTER STORM WATCH UNDER WWUS41
KPHI OR PHLWSWPHI.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY LATE FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY.

EBERWINE(COR TO INCLUDE PRODUCT HEADERS)

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 2, 4:10 PM EST, 2 hours 50 minutes before

NJZ009-010-012-PAZ067>069-031000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
410 PM EST THU JAN 2 2003

HIGH PRESSURE OVER ONTARIO CANADA WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST AND BECOME
STATIONARY OVER EASTERN CANADA THROUGH SATURDAY. MEANWHILE THE NEXT
IN A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL MOVE TO THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY THIS EVENING ...REACHING THE VIRGINIA CAPES FRIDAY AND THEN
HEAD NORTHEAST UP THE COAST FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING.
PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT.
THE PRECIPITATION WILL INITIALLY BEGIN AS SOME LIGHT SNOW...BUT WILL
TURN INTO A WINTRY MIX FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO RAIN.
NO SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH MOST OF THE AREA
SEEING LESS THAN ONE INCH.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM SYSTEM.  YOU CAN ALSO KEEP UP WITH THE DEVELOPING WEATHER ON
THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING ADDRESS, WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ER/PHI (ALL
IN LOWER CASE).

WOODWORTH/GIORDANO

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

4 winter storm, 3 winter weather. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Sussex

When: January 2, 7:00 PM EST to January 4, 6:00 AM EST
Where: Sussex forecast zone
Reported by: TRAINED SPOTTER
Coordinates: 41.140, -74.690 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Storm, Hunterdon

When: January 2, 8:00 PM EST to January 4, 6:00 AM EST
Where: Hunterdon forecast zone
Reported by: TRAINED SPOTTER
Coordinates: 40.567, -74.912 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Storm, Morris

When: January 2, 8:00 PM EST to January 4, 6:00 AM EST
Where: Morris forecast zone
Reported by: TRAINED SPOTTER
Coordinates: 40.862, -74.544 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Storm, Warren

When: January 2, 8:00 PM EST to January 4, 6:00 AM EST
Where: Warren forecast zone
Reported by: TRAINED SPOTTER
Coordinates: 40.857, -74.997 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Mercer

When: January 2, 10:30 PM EST to January 3, 9:00 AM EST
Where: Mercer forecast zone
Reported by: TRAINED SPOTTER
Coordinates: 40.283, -74.702 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Somerset

When: January 2, 10:30 PM EST to January 3, 11:00 AM EST
Where: Somerset forecast zone
Reported by: TRAINED SPOTTER
Coordinates: 40.564, -74.616 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Weather, Somerset

When: January 3, 7:00 PM EST to January 4, 3:00 AM EST
Where: Somerset forecast zone
Reported by: TRAINED SPOTTER
Coordinates: 40.564, -74.616 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Winter Storm: A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.
Winter Weather: Snow, sleet or freezing rain below warning levels that still caused disruption, damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

Every storm in New Jersey in 2003 Every state in 2003 This day in weather history Warnings in New Jersey, January 2003

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5342061, 5342059, 5342060, 5342062, 5342063, 5342064, 5340234.