Damaging Wind in New Jersey, December 14, 2003

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
630 AM EST SUN DEC 14 2003

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-141300-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-BERKS PA-BUCKS PA-CAMDEN NJ-
CAPE MAY NJ-CARBON PA-CAROLINE MD-CECIL MD-CHESTER PA-
COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-DELAWARE PA-
DELAWARE BEACHES DE-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-HUNTERDON NJ-
INLAND SUSSEX DE-KENT MD-KENT DE-LEHIGH PA-MERCER NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-
MONROE PA-MONTGOMERY PA-MORRIS NJ-NEW CASTLE DE-NORTHAMPTON PA-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-PHILADELPHIA PA-QUEEN ANNES MD-
SALEM NJ-SOMERSET NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-SUSSEX NJ-TALBOT MD-
WARREN NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
612 AM EST SUN DEC 14 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...DELAWARE...THE NORTHERN MARYLAND
EASTERN SHORE...AND NEW JERSEY EXCLUDING THE FIVE NORTHEAST
COUNTIES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR
LOCATIONS NORTHWEST OF THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR. SIGNIFICANT SNOW
AND SLEET ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE DURING THAT TIME. FOUR TO SEVEN
INCHES ARE EXPECTED BEFORE A CHANGEOVER TO RAIN FROM NORTH CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY TO AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF PHILADELPHIA...SIX TO 12 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED FROM FAR NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY THROUGH THE LEHIGH
VALLEY...AND NINE TO 14 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHERN
POCONOS. A FLOOD WATCH ALSO IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA NEAR AND JUST
NORTHWEST OF THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS
IN EFFECT FROM THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR SOUTH TO ALL BUT COASTAL
NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE, FAR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND FAR SOUTHERN
DELAWARE. NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE ADVISORY ARE EXPECTED ACCUMULATE
TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET BEFORE A CHANGEOVER TO RAIN BY
AROUND NOON...WHILE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE ADVISORY WILL NOT
ACCUMUALATE MUCH SNOW BUT MAY SEE A LITTLE FREEZING RAIN. ALONG THE
NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTLINE, GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT. MINOR
TIDAL FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION MAY OCCUR ALONG THE DELAWARE NEW
JERSEY COASTLINE, AND MINOR TIDAL FLOODING MAY OCCUR UP INTO THE
DELAWARE BAY INTO THE TIDAL DELAWARE RIVER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT REQUESTED. STORM TOTAL AND ANY FLOODING
REPORTS GREATLY APPRECIATED.

MPD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
503 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2003

DEZ001>004-NJZ012>014-016>027-PAZ070-071-151100-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-CAMDEN NJ-CAPE MAY NJ-
COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-DELAWARE PA-
DELAWARE BEACHES DE-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-
INLAND SUSSEX DE-KENT DE-MIDDLESEX NJ-NEW CASTLE DE-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-PHILADELPHIA PA-SALEM NJ-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
503 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2003

...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING THIS EVENING...

INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTH UP THE DELMARVA PENINSULA
THIS AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE NORTH THROUGH NEW JERSEY AND REACH NEW
ENGLAND EARLY MONDAY.

THE STRONG EAST WINDS ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS HAVE
RAISED TIDES TO 2 TO 3 FT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL NORMALS.  THIS...WHEN
COMBINED WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...HAS RESULTED IN MINOR TIDAL
FLOODING ALONG THE COAST AND IN THE ADJACENT BACK BAYS...INCLUDING
DELAWARE AND RARITAN BAYS.

FORTUNATELY...THE NORMAL HIGH TIDES FOR TODAY ARE RELATIVELY LOW SO
THAT THE ADDITIONAL STORM SURGE IS NOT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ANY
SERIOUS COASTAL FLOODING.

HIGH TIDE ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE OCEAN FRONTS WILL OCCUR
FROM LATE THIS EVENING TO AROUND MIDNIGHT. UP THE BAYS AND INLETS...
THE NEXT HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

AS WINDS TURN TO THE WEST OR NORTHWEST LATER TONIGHT...WATER LEVELS
SHOULD BEGIN TO RECEDE. HOWEVER...ANOTHER COASTAL STORM COULD CAUSE
REPEATED PROBLEMS ON WEDNESDAY.