Montana, 2003High Wind in Montana, November 18, 2003
November 18, 2003 · NWS GGW · 1 event in 1 county or zone
1 high wind, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
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- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Glasgow, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 18, 9:20 AM MST, 4 hours 24 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 18, 9:20 AM MST, 4 hours 24 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
920 AM MST TUE NOV 18 2003
.SHORT TERM...NO UPDATE PLANNED.
TODAY SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY WITH TEMPERATURE SPREAD ACROSS CWA
DEPENDENT ON SNOW COVER. FLAT UPPER RIDGE MOVING ACROSS MONTANA
BRINGING STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE DIVIDE. LEE TROF OVER CENTRAL
MONTANA WITH SHALLOW INVERSION IN PLACE OVER EASTERN MONTANA. WINDS
ABOVE THE INVERSION 35-40KT ON MORNING SOUNDING BUT WARM AIR
ADVECTION...LOW LEVEL LIFT AND LOW LAPSE RATE WILL MAKE WINDS
DIFFICULT TO MIX DOWN. ANY MIXING WILL BE SHORT LIVED LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND STRONGEST OVER THE SOUTHWEST ZONES. MADE SOME MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS TO GRIDS BUT NOT ENOUGH TO CHANGE ZFP. EBERT
TODAY THRU THU...
COOLING ALOFT WITH YESTERDAYS UPPER TROUGH BROUGHT BETTER
MIXING...RESULTING IN ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES ALL AREAS. THIS
GNAWED AT EDGES OF SNOWCOVER...BUT DEEPER SNOWCOVER STILL SOLID OVER
ROUGHLY NE HALF OF CWA. ALBEDO LOWERING WITH TIME...BUT SIGNIFICANT
IMPACT TO CONTINUE. WILL KEEP THESE AREAS AROUND THE 39F MARK FOR
HIGHS TODAY. A WARM FRONT IS TO BRING AN INCREASE IN MID CLOUDS
TODAY...BUT MOST LIFT AND MOISTURE REMAINING TO OUR NORTH. MAV HAS
SLIGHT POPS INDICATED...BUT WILL CONTINUE WITH DRY FORECAST PER ETA.
BUILDING UPPER RIDGE PUSHES IN FROM THE WEST THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT WITH ASSOCIATED STRONG NVA.
850 MB WINDS TODAY FORECAST UP TO 55KT...UP TO 120KT AT JET
LEVEL...BUT SURFACE GRADIENTS NOT GREAT...NOTHING TO MIX THESE
SPEEDS DOWN...LAPSE RATES A LITTLE LESS FAVORABLE THAN YESTERDAY.
WILL AGAIN HAVE STRONGEST WINDS OVER BARE GROUND S-SW...LEAST WINDS
N-NE. WEDNESDAY SIMILAR IN WIND REGARD...WITH JUST ENOUGH MIXING
REACHING LOWER LEVELS FOR SOME WARMING...BUT NOT FULL POTENTIAL.
MUCH OF SOUTHERN HALF OF CWA TO REACH ABOUT 60. RIDGE SOMEWHAT DIRTY
WEDNESDAY WITH MOISTURE SEEN ENTERING IT OVER THE PACIFIC.
A STRONG AND COLD UPPER TROUGH DIGGING SE FROM THE GULF OF ALASKA
LOWERS HEIGHTS WED AFTERNOON AND WED NIGHT WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT
PASSAGE LATE. MODELS HAVE FLIPPED-FLOPPED PAST RUNS WITH TIMING ON
THIS WHEN IT WAS IN THE LONG RANGE...BUT AT LEAST THEY ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT NOW. MUCH COOLER BEHIND THE FRONT AND HAVE LOWERED ONGOING
HIGHS A LOT. MODELS DONT SHOW MUCH MOISTURE WITH THE FRONT WHICH
LOOKS REASONABLE...BUT WILL ADD 20 POPS DUE TO TO FRONTS STRENGTH.
THESE FRONTS ARE TYPICALLY INITIALLY DRY DUE TO FORMATION OF A WAVE
ON IT AS IT BECOME PARALLEL TO UPPER FLOW...AND WHICH WILL THREATEN
NE MT WITH MORE SIGNIFICANT PRECIP IN EXTENDED PERIOD. SIMONSEN
.LONG TERM...
COMPLEX FORECAST FOR PERIOD...HENCE CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW. A DEEP
UPPER TROUGH EXPECTED TO DIG IN PACIFIC NORTHWEST/SOUTHWEST CANADA
WHICH GRADUALLY DRAGS COLD SOUTH OVER REGION...AND MAKES SLOW
EASTWARD PROGRESS. MODELS IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH EVOLUTION OF
PATTERN...BUT GFS IS FASTEST WITH EASTWARD MOVEMENT...WHICH SEEMS
UNREASONABLE GIVEN EXPECTED AMPLITUDE OF SYSTEM AND STRENGTH OF COLD
AIR. HAVE BASED TIMING MAINLY ON ECMWF AND CANADIAN MODELS BUT WITH
SOME INPUT FROM GFS. TREND TOWARD COLDER TEMPERATURES CONTINUES...
HAVE LOWERED TEMPERATURES FURTHER WITH EXPECTATION LEADING EDGE OF
ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL ARRIVE BY BEGINNING OF PERIOD...THENCE GRADUALLY
REINFORCED. EXPECT OVERRUNNING SNOW TO BEGIN THURSDAY NIGHT WEST...
THEN OVERSPREAD CWA FRIDAY. ALL MODELS SPIN UP MAJOR CYCLONE OVER
CENTRAL ROCKIES WHICH PROGRESSES INTO NORTHERN PLAINS...BUT DIFFER
WITH PATH. THIS DIFFERENCE PRIMARY CHALLENGE OF FORECAST...WITH
POTENTIAL FOR MORE SNOW OVER SOUTHEAST AND EASTERN ZONES IF THIS
SYSTEM PASSES CLOSER THAN CURRENTLY EXPECTED. WILL CONTINUE
CONSERVATIVE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY FOR NOW...BUT HAVE INTRODUCED
LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS EASTERN ZONES SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...
GRADUALLY ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST. WINDS COULD BE A FACTOR WITH
THIS SYSTEM SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...ESPECIALLY WITH FRESH SNOWCOVER
...AND HAVE KEPT EASTERN ZONES WINDIER...BUT STRONG WINDS COULD
REMAIN EAST OF CWA. CLEARING FROM WEST TO EAST SUNDAY AND MONDAY
COULD RESULT IN EVEN COLDER TEMPERATURES THAN FORECAST...ESPECIALLY
MINIMA WITH NEW SNOW...BUT AGAIN CONSERVATIVE UNTIL DETAILS OF EVENT
BECOME MORE EVIDENT.
&&
.GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 18, 6:00 AM MST, 7 hours 44 minutes before
MTZ016>027-059>062-191300-
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
600 AM MST TUE NOV 18 2003
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA
.DAY ONE...
A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM FOR FORT PECK LAKE.
REFER TO GTFNPWGGW OR WWUS75 KGGW FOR MORE INFORMATION.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND BRING
MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES BEGINNING THURSDAY. A STORM SYSTEM PASSING
SOUTH OF THE REGION WILL BRING PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...LINGERING INTO SUNDAY FOR EASTERN MONTANA. A SPECIAL WEATHER
STATEMENT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS WEATHER...AND CAN BE FOUND AT
GTFSPSGGW OR WWUS85 KGGW.
WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
High Wind, Little Rocky Mountains
- When
- November 18, 1:44 PM MST to 2:44 PM MST
- Where
- Little Rocky Mountains forecast zone
- Measured
- 53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- AWOS,ASOS,MESONET,ETC
- Coordinates
- 48.259, -107.913 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
61 mph wind gusts reported in Zortman ahead of a strong cold front.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Hail and Damaging Wind in Oklahoma, November 18, 2003$20 million · 2.75 in hail · 15 events
- Tornadoes and Flash Flood in Mississippi, November 18, 20032 injured · $754,000 · F1 · 34 events
- Rip Current in Florida, November 18, 20031 death · 1 event
- Hail in Missouri, November 18, 2003$6.0 million · 2.75 in hail · 1 event
- Tornado in Louisiana, November 18, 2003$250,000 · F1 · 1 event
- Tornado in Alabama, November 18, 20032 injured · $100,000 · F1 · 1 event
- Damaging Winds in Alabama, November 18, 2003$360,000 · 80 kt wind · 14 events
- High Wind and Strong Wind in Washington, November 18 to 19, 2003$350,000 · 54 kt wind · 3 events
- Tornado in Alabama, November 18, 2003$105,000 · F1 · 1 event
- Tornado in Louisiana, November 18, 2003$100,000 · F1 · 1 event
- Flash Flood in Arkansas, November 18, 2003$300,000 · 1 event
- Damaging Winds in Louisiana, November 18, 2003$194,000 · 87 kt wind · 5 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5336743.