1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 19, 4:35 PM EST, 17 hours 45 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 435 PM EST THU NOV 19 2003 LATEST SFC ANALYSIS HAD A RIDGE OF SFC HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO UP INTO THE APPALACHIANS. AT THE UPPER LEVELS...RIDGING WAS ALSO WORKING ACROSS THE REGION. CURRENT NW FLOW ALOFT WILL QUICKLY SHIFT TO A MORE SW DIRECTION TONIGHT. WITH SFC AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING DRIFTING ACROSS THE REGION...EXPECT A GOOD RIDGE/VALLEY SPLIT TONIGHT AS RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL BE EXCELLENT. GUIDANCE NUMBERS SHOW A SIGNIFICANT RIDGE VALLEY SPLIT FOR TONIGHT AND THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH MODEL SOUNDINGS AS WELL. WITH DEWPOINTS CURRENTLY IN THE MID 30S OVER MUCH OF THE AREA...VALLEYS SHOULD FALL AT LEAST TO THOSE LEVELS. TOMORROW WARM ADVECTION BEGINS TO KICK IN. WITH MIXING TO ABOUT 880 MB...COMBINED WITH SOME RELATIVELY DRY AIR...TEMPS SHOULD MAKE A RUN AT 70 TOMORROW AFTERNOON. MAV GUIDANCE IS COOLER THAN FWC AND MET...BUT HAS GENERALLY BEEN TOO COOL ON SUNNY DAYS THIS FALL. GENERALLY SPLIT THE DIFFERENCE FOR HIGH TEMPS ON FRIDAY. A COUPLE OF MILD DAYS ARE IN STORE FOR SAT AND SUN...WITH RIDGE/ VALLEY SPLITS AGAIN EXPECTED ON FRI NIGHT AND SAT NIGHT. LOWS SHOULD WARM ABOUT 3 DEGREES EACH SUCCESSIVE NIGHT. GUIDANCE TEMPS LOOK IN LINE FOR THE FRI AND THE WEEKEND. HIGH CLOUDS SHOULD BEGIN TO INCREASE BY SUN AS A SIGNIFICANT UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SFC SYSTEM BEGIN TO APPROACH THE REGION. THE PRESS GRADIENT BETWEEN THE HIGH ALONG THE EAST COAST AND A DEVELOPING LOW TO OUR WEST INCREASES ON SUN. BROUGHT IN LIKELY POPS WEST AND INCREASING WINDS LATE SUN NIGHT WITH NO RIDGE VALLEY SPLIT. HOWEVER...WITH THICKER CLOUDS NOT WORKING INTO THE FAR EAST AS FAST...WENT A LITTLE COOLER THERE IN THE GRIDS. EXTENDED...YET ANOTHER STRONG FALL (SPRING-LIKE) STORM MOVES INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY LATE MONDAY AND SWINGS A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY. THE EXACT TIMING IS A LITTLE IN QUESTION...BUT IT APPEARS THAT SOMETIME BETWEEN LATE SUN NIGHT INTO EARLY MON AFTERNOON...THERE SHOULD BE A BAND OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE TSRA ALONG AND/OR JUST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. ELECTED TO CONTINUE MENTION OF THUNDER...EVEN THOUGH THE TIMING OF FROPA IS NOT IDEAL...AS THIS WILL BE A DYNAMIC SYSTEM. BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON MON. A BRIEF COOL DOWN WITH COLD AIRMASS BRIEFLY BUILDING SOUTH ON MON NIGHT/TUE...BEFORE THE SW/V TROUGH QUICKLY EXITS TO THE NE AND WE GET BACK INTO SOUTHERLY FLOW. A SECOND SW/V AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...WITH A POSSIBLE SFC LOW DEVELOPING IN ASSOCIATION WITH A SOUTHERN STREAM SW/V WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE WED INTO EARLY THU. INCREASED POPS TO CHANCE FOR WED NIGHT AND HELD ONTO SLIGHT CHANCE POPS INTO EARLY ON THANKSGIVING DAY. MEX GUIDANCE WAS REASONABLE THROUGHOUT AND DIDNT STRAY FAR. .JKL...NONE. JP --------------------------------------------------------------------- PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS FOLLOW --------------------------------------------------------------------- 1133 AM EST THU NOV 19 2003 CLEAR WEATHER UNDER INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE. GRIDS LOOK GOOD...FCST ON TRACK. ONLY UPDATE IS TO REMOVE MORNING FOG WORDING. ZONES OUT IN JUST A FEW. .JKL...NONE RAY --------------------------------------------------------------------- PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS FOLLOW --------------------------------------------------------------------- 405 AM EST THU NOV 19 2003 08Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE SKIRTING INTO SOUTHERN KENTUCKY IN THE WAKE OF DEEP LOW PRESSURE NOW CENTERED OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST. THE CLOUDS HAVE CLEARED OUT WITH THE SYSTEM/S EXIT LEAVING BEHIND JUST A FEW POCKETS OF FOG ALONG THE RIVERS. A DECENT PRESSURE GRADIENT IS KEEPING THINGS MIXED UP ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE MUCH FOG FORMATION DESPITE CLEAR SKIES AND OUR VERY DAMP SFC. TEMPERATURES ARE EXHIBITING A TYPICAL 5 DEGREE...OR SO...HILL TO VALLEY SPLIT. THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH 42 HOURS AS THEY TAKE THE EASTERN TROUGH OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WITH THE GFS RUNNING QUICKER THAN THE ETA. THE NET RESULT WILL BE FOR EAST KENTUCKY TO REMAIN ON THE NORTHWEST PORTION OF A BUILDING RIDGE...LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEAST. THE REAL IMPETUS FOR THIS RIDGE STRENGTHENING WILL BE A DEEP...FULL-LATITUDE TROUGH DROPPING INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION BY SATURDAY NIGHT. THE ETA IS SLOWER AND LESS AMPLIFIED WITH THIS EVOLUTION WHEN COMPARED TO THE GFS. HOWEVER...THEY BOTH AGREE THAT THIS TROUGH WILL BE A MAJOR FACTOR ON OUR WEATHER THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE GFS BOMBS THIS FEATURE BY MONDAY MORNING...BOTTOMING IT OUT IN KANSAS BEFORE WRAPPING IT UP AND DRIVING IT TOWARDS LAKE MICHIGAN...EVENTUALLY LIFTING RIGHT ON OUT OF THIS COUNTRY. MORE ZONAL FLOW FOLLOWS THIS AS CONDITIONS MODERATE BY MIDWEEK. SENSIBLE WEATHER WILL BE FAIRLY PLEASANT FOR LATE NOVEMBER AS WE DRY OUT UNDER FULL SUNSHINE THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE SOME EACH DAY AS THE SFC FEATURES TO THE UPPER TROUGH CONSOLIDATE OVER THE PLAINS. EXPECT RIDGE TO VALLEY SPLITS THE NEXT THREE NIGHTS. THIS SYSTEM/S COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH KENTUCKY ON SUNDAY GIVING US A WARM WEEKEND FOLLOWED QUICKLY BY A WINDY...RAINY AND COOLER START TO NEXT WEEK. WRAP AROUND LOW CLOUDS LOOK SET TO INVADE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH DRIER AND SEASONABLE WEATHER EXPECTED FOR MIDWEEK. MOS NUMBERS WERE FAIRLY CLOSE...GENERALLY PREFERRED THE WARMER FWC TEMPS...BUT FRIDAY NIGHT/S LOWS WERE TOO COOL FROM THE NGM. MET NUMBERS ARE GOOD FOR TODAY BUT TOO WARM FOR FRIDAY...LOWS LOOKED GOOD...THOUGH. NIL TO MINIMAL POPS FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS OR SO. AS FOR IFPS GRIDS...REPOPULATED WITH MY USUAL PROCEDURE FOR TEMPS/DEWPOINTS AND WINDS THROUGH 60 HOURS FROM THE MESOETA. HAD TO TINKER WITH TEMPS MAINLY FOR LOCAL EFFECTS AND WARMER MAX TEMPS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. ADJUSTED THE REST OF THE TEMPS TO ADD A LAPSE RATE FOR TOPO. ALSO RAMPED UP WINDS MORE FOR THE SUNDAY NIGHT... MONDAY SYSTEM. THE GRIDS WHERE IN GREAT SHAPE WITH ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS NEEDED. PRELIMINARY CCF NUMBERS: LOZ 063/042 068/043 071 000 JKL 061/047 067/048 070 000 GREIF --------------------------------------------------------------------- NO CLOUDS WHICH NORMALLY SPELLS GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING. HOWEVER... IN THIS CASE...WE STILL HAVE GOOD WINDS WITH 5 TO 10 MPH AND SOME GUSTS TO 15. THIS SHOULD KEEP A FAIRLY GOOD MIXED LLVL ATMOS SO FOG IS DOUBTFUL WITH A FEW MINOR EXCEPTIONS IN SOME OF OUR MOST SHELTERED VALLEYS. THE WIND ALSO SPELLS THE DOOM OF A SIGNIFICANT RIDGE/VALLEY SPLIT SO WILL MODIFY TO INCLUDE A RANGE BUT NO SPLIT. THE REST OF THE FCST LOOKS GOOD AND WITH DWPTS RUNNING IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S EXPECT LOWS TO APPROACH THESE VALUES. DUSTY
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-211100- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 531 AM EST THU NOV 20 2003 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY EVENING AS A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY. HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS MAY BE A THREAT AS WELL. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. GREIF
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Backwater from the Tug Fork River caused Route 292 to be closed in several places, including the intersection at Flutylick Road and at Buffalo Horn Branch.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2003Every state in 2003This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, November 2003
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5335128.