Damaging Wind in Delaware, August 22, 2003

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
300 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2003

CDFNT IS SET TO MOV THRU THE CWA THIS EVE NW/ARND OR A BIT AFTER
MIDNITE SE...INGREDIENTS HAVE BEEN PREV DISCUSSED AND CONVTN IS IN
THE PROCESS OF FORMING...BEST ACTIVITY WAS JUST N OF OUR AREA AT 230
PM. FIRST PD WL DEAL WITH THE END GAME AS SVR TSTM WATCH IS IN PLACE
FOR ALL OF THE CWA. WL LEAVE IN A REST OF THE AFTN PD FOR THE NWRN
ZONES...FIGURING THE STG TSTMS WL REDUCE TO SCT SHWRS BY ABOUT DARK
...AND END OF WATCH...THERE. OVR CNTRL AND SRN ZONES WL CONT WITH
THE PROGRAM AS PREV...WITH CHC SVR TSTMS INTO THE EVE...TIL ARND
MIDN SRN ZONES...WITH SHWRS ENDING A FEW HRS THRFTR.

LESS UNCOMFORTABLE AIRMASS WL MOVE OVR THE REGION LATE TNGT AND
SAT...WITH CLDS GRDLY DCRSG FM NW TO SE OVRNGT AND SAT MRNG. NO WX
IN GRIDS AFT LATE TNGT...UNTIL NEXT FNT WHICH MRF AND EXTDD GUID
SHOW MOVG THRU THE CWA WED. I GUESS THERE/S A QUESTION AS TO WHETHER
THERE/LL BE ENUF MSTR/INSTABY TO SET OFF MUCH CONVTN WED...AND AS
FNT STALLS TO OUR S AND E THU AND FRI WITH WAVES RIDING NE ALG
IT...EXTDD GUID PAINTS SOME POPS FOR US...SO WE/LL INCLUDE A SLGT
CHC OF AFTN/EVE RW/TRW...THINKING ANY PCPN MAY BE DIURNALLY
MODULATED.

TEMPS...MOS GUIDANCE IS CLOSE AND WAS ACCEPTED WITH MINOR
MODIFICATIONS DAY TO DAY.

ALTHO GRADIENT INCRSES A BIT SAT INTO SAT NITE...WL LEAVE WAVES BLO
5 FT...SO NO SCA AT THIS TIME.

MPO   56  76  48  74 /  50   0   0   0
ABE   61  83  53  78 /  50   0   0   0
RDG   63  84  54  80 /  50   0   0   0
PHL   68  85  60  82 /  50   0   0   0
12N   60  81  52  78 /  50   0   0   0
SMQ   64  84  55  80 /  50   0   0   0
TTN   66  84  56  81 /  50   0   0   0
MIV   66  83  55  80 /  50  10   0   0
ACY   68  81  62  79 /  50  10   0   0
ILG   67  83  58  81 /  50   0   0   0
DOV   68  83  59  79 /  50  10   0   0
GED   68  83  58  80 /  50  10   0   0
ESN   69  83  60  79 /  50  10   0   0

.PHI...
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-221130-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
545 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA, DELAWARE, THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE, AND NEW
JERSEY EXCLUDING THE FIVE NORTHEAST COUNTIES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR HIGHLY URBANIZED AREAS
IN AND AROUND PHILADELPHIA FOR TODAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BECOME NECESSARY FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING.

IOVINO

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-230000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
201 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2003

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH UNTIL 800 PM THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
UNTIL 800 PM THIS EVENING. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT IS WEDGING OUR
HOT AND HUMID AIR UPWARD. THIS IS RESULTING IN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WINDS
...FLOODING-TYPE RAINS...HAIL...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS COULD OCCUR ANYWHERE IN OUR AREA WITH NO FAVORED
LOCATION. THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL DIMINISH LATE THIS AFTERNOON
FROM THE POCONOS AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY AND WORK SOUTHEASTWARD
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

IF YOU OBSERVE THREATENING WEATHER...SEEK SHELTER AT ONCE. MARINERS
AND BATHERS ARE ADVISED TO KEEP AN EYE TO THE WESTERN SKY AND GIVE
YOURSELF ENOUGH TIME TO REACH SAFE SHELTER.

AFTER THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION...A PERIOD OF COOLER...
DRIER AND MORE PLEASANT WEATHER IS IN STORE FOR THE WEEKEND AND
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

KRUZDLO