Colorado, 2003

Strong Wind in Colorado, June 16, 2003

June 16, 2003 · NWS GJT · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Strong thunderstorm winds blew over a large cottonwood tree onto a house in Palisade. Substantial damage occurred to the house.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$10,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GJT wrote it up.

Strong thunderstorm winds blew over a large cottonwood tree onto a house in Palisade. Substantial damage occurred to the house. The cottonwood tree was dead, although it had a trunk diameter of about five feet.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Junction, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 16, 1:45 PM MST, 2 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 16, 1:45 PM MST, 2 hours 45 minutes before
WESTERN COLORADO & EASTERN UTAH AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
245 PM MDT MON JUN 16 2003

SHORT TERM:
WARM AIRMASS REMAINS OVER THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. SFC DEWPTS MOSTLY
IN THE 30S AND LOWER 40S AND INSTABILITY FUELING SOME SHOWERS/TSTMS
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AHEAD OF WEAK WAVE. GOES/12Z RAOBS SHOW
PRECIP WATER VALUES AROUND .50 INCH...SO DO NOT EXPECT HEAVY RAIN
AMTS. OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS THE MAIN CONCERN.

TONIGHT...WEAK WAVE OVER NRN AZ/SRN UT WILL MOVE INTO ERN UT EARLY
THIS EVENING...THEN CONTINUE NEWD. WEAK LOW LEVEL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE
NORTH COULD ENHANCE LIFT AS WAVE APPROACHES. EXPECT CONTINUATION OF
ISOLD TO SCT SHOWERS/TSTMS THIS EVENING. SHOWERS DECREASING WITH LOSS
OF DAYTIME HEATING...BUT WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WITH WEAK
DYNAMICS AS WAVE PASSES MAY KEEP ISOLD CONVECTION GOING AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAISED MIN TEMPS.

TUESDAY...WEAK TROUGH CURRENTLY IN THE WESTERN GREAT BASIN SLOW TO
MOVE...AND NOT EXPECTED TO REACH THE FORECAST AREA UNTIL TUE EVE.
BOTH ETA/GFS SHOW GOOD UPPER DIV LATE TUE OVER WRN CO...ESPECIALLY
SWRN CO...WITH SOME LOWER CONVERGENCE. OTHERWISE...DAYTIME HEATING
AND INSTABILITY MAIN CONVECTIVE FACTOR EXPECT LITTLE BETTER
COVERAGE THAN TODAY...WITH SHOWERS TAPERING OFF AFTER TUE EVENING.
GUSTY THUNDERSTORM WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN. SFC HIGH
PUSHING DOWN EAST OF DIVIDE SHOULD KEEP MOISTURE NEARBY TO WRN CO...
WITH ERN UT REMAINING DRIER. FLOW ALOFT REMAINS RATHER WEAK. 700 MB
TEMPS INCH UPWARD...BUT CLOUDS SHOULD KEEP TEMPS SIMILAR TO TODAY.
BOOSTED MIN TEMPS TUE NIGHT IN THE GRIDS.   JAD

EXTENDED DISCUSSION:
WEDNESDAY-SATURDAY...THE PERIOD STARTS OUT WITH A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
PARKED OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKY MOUNTAINS.  AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FORMS
OFF THE NORTH CA COAST ON WED...THEN DIGS ALONG THE COAST FORMING A
CUT OFF LOW ON THU.  BY FRI THE LOW MOVES INLAND OVER SOUTHERN CA
THEN OPENS UP AND MOVES ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA ON SAT.  ON WED AND
THU THE HIGH REMAINS THE DOMINANT FEATURE...WITH OCCASIONAL HARD TO
TIME DISTURBANCES BRINGING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE FORECAST
AREA. SO WILL BROAD BRUSH WED AND THU WITH SLIGHT CHANCE-CHANCE
MAINLY DIURNAL THUNDERSTORMS AS ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL BE PRESENT FOR
SOME ACTIVITY. BY FRI THE FLOW BECOMES SOUTHWEST AS THE LOW MOVES
INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP AFTERNOON MOUNTAIN
POPS 10-20%. THE 00Z GFS BRINGS AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONT ACROSS
THE AREA FRI NIGHT. THEN TROUGH PASSAGE IS SCHEDULED FOR SAT
AFTERNOON WITH A SECONDARY SHOT SAT NIGHT. THE EC KEEPS THE ENERGY
MORE TO THE NORTH AND NOT AS FAVORABLE FOR WESTERN CO/EASTERN UT.
ALSO MOISTURE LOOKS LIMITED AT THIS TIME AND TIMING REMAINS
UNCERTAIN. BUT THE FRONT/TROUGH IS SURE TO BE ACTIVE AND WILL UP POPS
THROUGH SAT. HOWEVER WILL NOT INCREASE TOO MUCH DUE TO LIMITED
MOISTURE. TEMPS WILL DROP TO MORE NORMAL READINGS BY SAT AFTERNOON.

SUNDAY-MONDAY...THE 00Z GFS INDICATES DRIER NORTHWEST FLOW ON SUN...
BECOMING WESTERLY BY MON WITH TEMPS WARMING. HEFFERNAN

.GJT...NONE.
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 16, 9:23 AM MST, 7 hours 7 minutes before
COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-171145-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1023 AM MDT MON JUN 16 2003

UPDATED TO INCREASE THUNDERSTORMS FROM ISOLATED TO SCATTERED FOR
THE MOUNTAINS IN DAY ONE

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN COLORADO AND FOR
EASTERN UTAH

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO...WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VALLEYS OF WESTERN
COLORADO AND NORTHEAST UTAH. GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH AND CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN COLORADO. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE VALLEYS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Strong Wind, Grand Valley

When
June 16, 4:30 PM MST to 4:35 PM MST
Where
Grand Valley forecast zone
Measured
48 kt (55 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
TRAINED SPOTTER
Coordinates
39.308, -108.185 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Strong Wind
Non-thunderstorm winds below high wind criteria that nonetheless caused damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Colorado in 2003Every state in 2003This day in weather historyWarnings in Colorado, June 2003

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5366266.