S. produced heavy rains over portion of Scleicher, Crockett, and Sutton Counties.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SJT wrote it up.
A stalled frontal boundary over south Texas in combination with a upper level storm system over the southwest portion of the U.S. produced heavy rains over portion of Scleicher, Crockett, and Sutton Counties. Numerous roads were closed for several days as a result of road washouts.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 8, 2:19 AM CST, 1 hour 41 minutes earlier.
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 319 AM CDT TUE OCT 8 2002 ...FORECAST CHALLENGE WILL BE FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL.... .CURRENT... AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS SPINNING WEST OF EL PASO. A COLD FRONT STRETCHES FROM NEAR DEL RIO...TO AUSTIN...EAST TO COLLEGE STATION. RAIN SHOWERS COVER MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. STORM TOTALS OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST COUNTIES HAVE ADDED UP TO 3 TO 4 INCHES. ALSO PARTS OF THE CONCHO VALLEY AND BIG COUNTRY ARE STARTING TO SEE EXTENSIVE AREAS OF 3 TO 4 INCH STORM TOTALS. HEAVIER RAINFALL IS MOVING EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST COUNTIES AND BIG COUNTRY. .TODAY AND TONIGHT... THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY EAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...BEING NEAR EL PASO BY NOON TODAY AND EAST OF LUBBOCK BY NOON ON WEDNESDAY. WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW SLOW MOVEMENT ACROSS WEST TEXAS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...A SERIES OF IMPULSES WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE NORTHWARD ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. ALSO MOISTURE IS STREAMING NORTH ACROSS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...AS INDICATED BY THE 30 KT SOUTHEAST FLOW JUST OFF THE SURFACE ON THE SJT VAD PROFILE. MODELS INDICATE WEST CENTRAL TEXAS IN THE RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF THE JET MAX THIS MORNING. THIS COMBINED WITH THE IMPULSES COULD PROVIDE FOR A HEAVIER PERIOD OF RAIN FROM NEAR SUNRISE TO NOON...MAINLY FOR THE BIG COUNTRY AND WESTERN COUNTIES. WITH THE CURRENT RADAR TRENDS...AND WITH MODELS INDICATING HEAVY RAINFALL OVER MUCH OF THE WEST CENTRAL TEXAS WILL EXPAND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. .WEDNESDAY... RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TO LINGER THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER WITH THE LOW TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA...RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH. WITH THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT LIFTING A BIT FURTHER NORTH AND THE MOISTURE BEST IN THE EAST...THE BIGGEST THREAT FOR FLOODING ALSO SHIFTS. .THURSDAY THROUGH COLUMBUS DAY... BY THURSDAY THE RAIN HAS SHIFTED EAST OF THE REGION AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OPENS UP AND LIFTS NORTHEAST. A SLOW WARMING TREND CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY...AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT. THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE 08/00Z MRF INDICATES THIS FRONT IS A POLAR FRONT WITH SHALLOW MUCH COLDER AIR BEHIND IT. IF THE TIMING REMAINS TRUE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH COLDER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY. AFTER THE FRONT COMES THROUGH...THE MRF IS INDICATING 0C TO -2C 850MB TEMPS FOR HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS COULD INDICATE MONDAY MORNING LOWS DIPPING WELL DOWN INTO THE 30S FOR MUCH OF THE AREA...WHICH IS WELL BELOW CURRENT GUIDANCE NUMBERS. FOR NOW WILL ONLY TREND TOWARDS THE MUCH COLDER TEMPS BEHIND THE FRONT...LOOKING FOR MORE RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY. .SJT...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TONIGHT FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. PRELIM GUIDENCE... ABI 065/056/072/055 +852 SJT 066/057/074/056 +641 JCT 070/061/075/058 +753 24/HOLGUIN
TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140- 154-155-168>170-072330- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 230 PM CDT MON OCT 7 2002 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE... NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS ALL OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM ENTERING WEST TEXAS. ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE...LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OVER AREAS SATURATED BY THIS MORNINGS RAINFALL WILL NECESSITATE THE ISSUANCE OF A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE WESTERN PORTION OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FROM 4 PM THROUGH TONIGHT. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... THE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY TUESDAY. THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED CHANCE FOR NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TUESDAY AND INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. RAINFALL CHANCES WILL END ON WEDNESDAY WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. 15
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
One to three inches of rain during the early morning hours of October 8th, in combination with heavy rains during the previous days, produced flooding and washouts of several Farm Roads and Highways in the southeastern portion of Crockett County.
Heavy rains of 2 to 4 inches during the morning hours of the 8th aggravated already high creeks and streams over much of Sutton County. Numerous roads were closed due to high water and road washouts.Rainfall totals over the past couple of days were 6 to 10 inches.
Heavy rains of 1 to 3 inches over the southern portion of Schleicher County produced flooding of several roads. A few roads were washed out as well.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, October 2002
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5319136, 5319137, 5319138.