1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 27, 9:15 PM CST, 1 hour 30 minutes earlier.
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 915 PM CST SUN OCT 27 2002 CURRENT WEATHER ANALYSIS...SURFACE ANALYSIS HAS HIGH PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL CONUS WITH MOVEMENT TO THE NORTHEAST. A SURFACE LOW OVER THE COASTAL PLANS ALONG THE GULF COAST HAS REMAINED SOMEWHAT STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SURFACE TEMPERATURES OVER THE REGION HAVE RANGED IN THE 50S TO 60S FOR THE HILL COUNTRY AND 60S TO 70S ELSEWHERE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. WINDS HAS MAINTAINED A NORTHEAST TO EAST DIRECTION. CURRENT MODEL GUIDANCE ANALYSIS... THE GFS...NGM AND ETA 500MB COMPARISON...HAS LOW OVER SOUTHWESTERN CONUS MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHEAST THROUGH 48 HOURS WITH ZONAL FLOW OVER THE SOUTHERN CONUS FROM 48 TO 96 HOURS. THE GFS...NGM AND ETA SURFACE MSL COMPARISON...HAS RIDGE OVER CENTRAL CONUS MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHEAST THROUGH 48 HOURS. PACIFIC NORTHWEST RIDGE SLIDE SOUTHEAST INTO CENTRAL CONUS AFTER 48 HOURS. OUTLOOK... FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD...TONIGHT...THE ZONE FORECAST LOOKS GOOD WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES NEEDED. HOWEVER...WILL UPDATE FORECAST TO BRING IN-LINE WITH CURRENT WEATHER CONDITIONS AND TRENDS. WILL RE- ISSUE AN UPDATE ZONE FORECAST SHORTLY. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... TONIGHT...ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE (OVERRUNNING) WITH CONTINUE RESULTING IN OVERCAST SKIES. SOME PATCHY DRIZZLE WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE AS WEAK RIPPLES IN THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TRAVERSE THE CWFA. MONDAY...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BEGIN TO DESTABILIZE WITH THE APPROACH OF A SHORT WAVE TROF CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER ARIZONA. INITIALLY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP DURING THE MORNING WITH THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SPC HAS THE CWFA IN THE SLIGHT RISK AREA FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE MAIN FACTOR IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE WEATHER MONDAY WILL BE THE AMOUNT OF SFC HEATING THAT WILL OCCUR WITH BREAKS IN THE OVERCAST. THE GFS KEEPS THINGS OVERCAST WHILE THE MESOETA BREAKS OUT THE SUN WITH AFTERNOON TEMPS FCST IN THE 80S. DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY OF THIS HAPPENING...WITH NOT INCLUDE SEVERE IN THE FCST ATTM. FCST WILL TREND TOWARDS THE GFS SOLUTION. MONDAY NIGHT...THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE SHORT WAVE TROF SWINGS NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST AT THE SFC FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE UPPER TROF. TUESDAY THRU THURSDAY...ZONAL FLOW WILL PREVAIL ALOFT WITH A N/S SURFACE RIDGE OVER TEXAS. THIS WILL RESULT IN A SPELL OF MILD AND DRY WEATHER. THE WEEKEND...A REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THRU KEEPING THINGS MILD AND DRY. LOW TEMPS ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY WILL FALL INTO THE 40S...POSSIBLE UPPER 30S FOR SATURDAY MORNING. .EWX...NONE
TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-281200- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 600 AM CST SUN OCT 27 2002 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Nueces River at Asherton crested at 25.5 feet on October 28 at 2315CST, where flood stage is 20.0 feet.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, October 2002
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5319708.