Drought in Nebraska, July 1 to 31, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
208 PM MDT SUN JUN 30 2002

FORECAST CONCERN IS TEMPERATURES.

19Z SURFACE MAP ANALYSIS SHOWED A SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA INTO SOUTHEAST COLORADO MOVING LITTLE. HIGH PRESSURE BOTH
SURFACE AND ALOFT PERSISTS FROM SOUTHWEST CONUS NORTHEAST ACROSS
MUCH OF CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. WEAK COLD FRONT ACROSS SOUTHEAST SOUTH
DAKOTA INTO NORTHEAST COLORADO WILL WEAKEN WITH TIME AND NOT GO MUCH
FURTHER SOUTH.

MODELS ALL SIMILAR IN CURRENT AND FUTURE TRENDS OF UPPER RIDGE AND
SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS THROUGH NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. WILL GO WITH THE MESOETA MODEL THROUGH FIRST 36 HOURS AND THEN
WITH ETA OUT THROUGH 60 HOURS. BOTH MODELS MAINTAIN GOOD PERISTENCE
WITH BEST SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL FEATURES AS WELL AS WITH
TEMPERATURES.

FOR TONIGHT CONTINUED DRY WEATHER AND SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 10
TO 15 MPH WILL OCCUR AS A LEE TROUGH REMAINS IN PLACE NEAR THE
COLORADO AND KANSAS BORDER. WILL GO CLOSE TO GUIDANCE TEMPS IN THE
UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S.

FOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT LITTLE OR NO CHANGE EXPECTED.
STRONG UPPER RIDGE HOLDS IN PLACE. A MOIST UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM OVER
SOUTHERN TEXAS MAY SHIFT A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH WITH AN OUTSIDE SMALL
CHANCE OF GETTING ANY MOISTURE NEAR TO THE GOODLAND FORECAST AREA
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WILL NOT INTRODUCE ANY POPS AT THIS TIME DUE TO
THIS UNCERTAINTY.

WILL MAINTAIN HOT GUIDANCE TEMPS IN THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR 100
DURING THE DAY AND LOW TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE UPPER 60S AND
LOWER 70S.

FOR THE FOURTH OF JULY THROUGH SUNDAY WILL MAKE NO CHANGES AT THIS
TIME. WILL MAINTAIN DRY WEATHER THROUGHOUT DAYS 4 THROUGH 7 WITH
CONTINUED HOT JULY TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S DURING THE DAY AND
MIDDLE TO UPPER 60S AT NIGHT.

.GLD...NONE.

LAMMERS