Thunderstorm Wind, Valley
- When
- August 16, 1:15 PM MST
- Where
- Valley County, 3 mi N of Oswego
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph)
- Reported by
- TRAINED SPOTTER
- Coordinates
- 48.100, -105.867
58 mph wind reported by spotter 6 miles north of Oswego.
8 thunderstorm wind, 2 high wind, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Glasgow, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 16, 8:10 AM MST, 5 hours 5 minutes earlier.
NORTHEAST MONTANA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
910 AM MDT FRI AUG 16 2002
...LAKE WIND ADVISORY TODAY FOR FORT PECK LAKE...
.SHORT TERM...A WARM FRONT HAS LIFTED NORTHEAST ACROSS CWA WITH A
BAND OF SPRINKLES AND ISOLATED SHOWERS NOW ENTERING SOUTHEAST
SASKATCHEWAN. WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH DEEPENING SURFACE LOW
BETWEEN HAVRE AND GREAT FALLS. STRONG COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH
ALONG MONTANA/ALBERTA BORDER WITH STRONG NORTH WINDS EVIDENT ACROSS
SOUTHERN ALBERTA...MORE MODERATE EAST WINDS ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA.
LAKE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED IN ANTICIPATION OF THESE STRONG
NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON. MODELS THE PAST FEW RUNS
HAVE HAD PROBLEMS TIMING THIS EVENT...WITH OBVIOUS IMPACTS ON
WINDS...SKY CONDITIONS...AND TEMPERATURES. NOT CONFIDENT WITH
CURRENT FORECAST...BUT RELUCTANT AT THIS TIME TO MAKE ANY MORE
CHANGES TO FORECAST. TEMPERATURES MAY BUMP HIGHER THAN FORECAST IN
WARM SECTOR AHEAD OF COLD FRONT...AND STRONG WINDS DELAYED...BUT
WILL ACCEPT THESE FORECAST ERRORS FROM BEING TOO PESSIMISTIC RATHER
THAN RISK ERROR AND MISLEAD USERS BY BEING TOO OPTIMISTIC. NO
CHANGES PLANNED FOR FORECAST...BUT WILL MONITOR FOR UPDATES DUE TO
RAPIDLY CHANGING CONDITIONS. DNS
.LONG TERM...
THE LONGER RANGE MODELS ALL SEEM TO AGREE ON A GENERAL ZONAL FLOW
WITH SHORT WAVES MOVING ACROSS THE AREA. THE PROBLEM IS THE TIMING
OF THESE SHORT WAVES...EACH MODEL/ECMWF...UKMET...AND GLOBAL
FORECAST SYSTEM/AVN...MRF//HAS SLIGHTLY DIFFERENT TIMING. THE AVN
IS FASTER THAN PREVIOUS RUNS...AND BRINGS IN THE STRONGEST SHORTWAVE
ON TUESDAY...SO WILL UP POPS FOR TUESDAY/JUST TO SLIGHT CHANCE/ AND
LEAVE THE POPS AT 20 PERCENT FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST. CLOUD
COVER IN GENERAL WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY. TLSJR
KGGW RBB /065 044/069 045/070 8873000
BBEE 048/077 050/077 050/071 050/071 052/ 88000222222
KGDV BBB /079 044/070 047/072 8853000
BBEE 051/079 051/079 051/073 051/072 054/ 88000222222
.GGW...LAKE WIND ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR FORT PECK
LAKE.The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
8 thunderstorm wind, 2 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
58 mph wind reported by spotter 6 miles north of Oswego.
58 mph wind reported at Big Sheep RAWS.
60 mph wind reported by Roosevelt County DES in Wolf Point.
A strong cold front moving through the area produced high winds.
60 mph wind reported at the Dawson County Airport in Glendive.
63 mph wind reported at the Sidney Richland County Airport. The wind downed a street light and 12 inch diameter trees in Sidney.
60 mph wind reported by spotter 6 miles north of Wibaux.
61 mph wind reported at Poplar RAWS.
60 mph wind reported at Vida.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Montana in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, August 2002
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5317136, 5317141, 5317137, 5317202, 5317203, 5317142, 5317140, 5317143, 5317138, 5317139.