Damaging Wind in Missouri, June 24, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
900 PM CDT MON JUN 24 2002

UPDATED ZONES/GRIDS AS A MORE ORGANIZED AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVES
INTO SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. HAVE
ADJUSTED TO ADD CHANCES UNTIL MIDNIGHT FOR THIS AREA. OTHERWISE NO
OTHER CHANGES MADE AS MOST OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THIS
AFTERNOON HAS ALREADY DISSIPATED OVER MOST OF THE CWA. ZONES/GRIDS
WILL BE UPDATED BY 915 PM.

JLT

200 PM...

FORECAST CONCERNS: TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES

WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS
AFTERNOON SOUTH AND EAST OF SPRINGFIELD...RIGHT ON SCHEDULE. UPPER
LOW INDICATED OVER THE PELICAN STATE OF LOUISIANA...WITH LITTLE
MOVEMENT INDICATED ON WATER VAPOR LOOP. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE
REGION HAVE WARMED NICELY...WITH READINGS APPROACHING 90 IN NORTHERN
AND WESTERN SECTIONS.

ETA/AVN STILL PORTRAYING A CHANCE OF RAIN ACROSS SOME PORTION OF THE
FORECAST AREA UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. UPPER SYSTEM WILL DRIFT NORTH
AND WEAKEN WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BUT REDEVELOP BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...ENERGY IN THE NORTHERN STREAM WILL
MOVE INTO MISSOURI...WHICH MAY RESULT IN TWO AREAS OF RAIN: ONE IN
CENTRAL MISSOURI...WITH A SECOND ALONG THE ARKANSAS BORDER IN SOUTH
CENTRAL MISSOURI. WILL CONTINUE THE BROAD BRUSHED LOW CHANCE POPS
THROUGHOUT FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST. HAVE MADE MINOR CHANGES TO POP
DELINEATION TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO TAKE THEM OUT
YET. LATER SHIFTS MAY BE ABLE TO LOWER POPS INTO THE SLIGHT CHANCE
CATEGORY FOR SOME AREAS EACH DAY...BUT THIS WILL LIKELY ONLY OCCUR
FOR THE FIRST PERIOD OF THE FORECAST.

WARMER MAV GUIDANCE HAD A BETTER HANDLE ON TEMPERATURES TODAY...AND
WILL BE FOLLOWED FOR THE SHORT TERM OF THIS FORECAST.

ISC GRIDS HAVE BEEN SENT.

.SGF...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.

SUTTON