Drought, Caroline
- When
- July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:59 PM EST
- Where
- Caroline forecast zone
- Reported by
- GOVT OFFICIAL
- Coordinates
- 38.872, -75.832 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The combination of unseasonably warm weather and below normal precipitation intensified the drought across the Maryland Eastern Shore in July. The drought emergency remained in effect for Cecil County.
Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PHI wrote it up.
The combination of unseasonably warm weather and below normal precipitation intensified the drought across the Maryland Eastern Shore in July. The drought emergency remained in effect for Cecil County. The rest of the Eastern Shore remained under a drought warning. Level one mandatory restrictions remained in place for Cecil County and included the prohibition of watering lawns, use of water for ornamental purposes, use of water for non-commercial washing or cleaning of automobiles, trucks, trailers and boats, washing paved surfaces, use of sprinklers and other automatic watering devices for irrigation, watering gardens, trees, shrubs or other outdoor plants. Hand held hoses and containers could still be used. Elsewhere along the Eastern Shore, no formal restrictions were in place, but water conservation continued to be emphasized. The only reported exceptions were in Galena (Kent County) where watering restrictions were in place on the odd number days and in Centreville (Queen Anne's County) where vehicle washing was banned and lawn and garden irrigation was restricted to odd and even days. As of July 9th, only 18 percent of Eastern Shore soil had adequate moisture. To exacerbate the problem, rainfall was scarce during the critical time when corn plants were pollinating. Conditions were worse south of Stevensville. It was estimated that 30 percent of the corn crop in Queen Anne's County will be lost. Percentages in Talbot County increased to as high as 80 percent. Some corn fields may not be harvested at all. While soybeans are more drought resistance, the hot and dry weather increased the damage done by spider mites. Irrigation ponds were drying up and the need for irrigation was dropping groundwater levels. Monitoring groundwater wells in central Maryland were reaching record lows for the calendar day. A well in Grasonville (Queen Anne's County) has shown a 15 foot decline in water levels since it was installed in 1980. In Queen Anne's County, homeowners' wells were drying at twice the rate of last summer and permits to replace wells have tripled. There was a two week waiting period for digging or deepening existing wells. Profits at nurseries were down as homeowners were not planting. July monthly precipitation on a county weighted average ranged from 2.2 inches in Cecil County to 2.9 inches in Talbot and Caroline Counties. Normal is around 3.9 inches. At the Baltimore-Washington International Airport, July monthly precipitation was 2.26 inches, 1.59 inches below normal.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 30, 1:35 PM EST, 10 hours 25 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 235 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2002 MDLS DID NOT INIT HI RDG WELL AT 12Z. IT APRS TO BE ALG THE WI/IL BDR VS STL BASED ON THE 12Z UA. THIS DOES NOT BODE WELL FOR THEIR SHRTWV FCSTS MON/TUE AND THE INCLUSION/EXCLUSION OF ANY THUNDER. OTRWISE THE AVN IN THE SHORT TERM SEEMS OK THRU TUE AS A COMP MDL BETWEEN THE HOTTER NGM AND COOLER ETA. ITS LO LVL TEMP FIELDS SEEMED TO HAVE INIT BETTER THAN THE ETA (TOO COOL). NEVERTHELESS FCSTD HEAT INDICES APR THEY WILL REACH 100-105 ON TUE AND PSBLY WED AND WE WILL BE ISSUING AN EXCESSIVE HEAT OUTLOOK STATEMENT WITH THIS PKG. OF LATE THE MDLS SEEM TO BE PRETTY GENEROUS WITH THEIR MEAN RH FCSTS. ONE WOULD THINK IT WOULD BE CLOUDIER. THUS ETA MOS MAY BE BIASED BY THIS FOR WED. ON THE OTHER HAND WOULD BLV SOME OF THE SUN/S ENERGY WOULD BE GOING TOWARD EVAP NEXT FEW DAYS AS JUNE (ESP THE 2ND HALF) WAS WETTER THAN NML. LONGER RNG MDLS CONT TO AGREE TO DISAGREE. THE ECMWF WOULD KEEP US BAKED...THE AVN/MRF WOULD MAKE IT A DELIGHTFUL WEEKEND...ESP IN NEW ENG. THE TRUTH IS PBLY SOMEWHERE BTWN...MAYBE A REPEAT OF THIS PAST WEEKEND. SOME TCU HAVE BEEN DVLPG ACRS OUR NRN ZNS TAFTN. FCSTD CAP IS WEAKEST THERE AND WE WILL SEE IF WE WILL HAVE TO INCLD SOME LOW CHC ERLY IF CVRG WARRANTS. OTRWISE FOG BANK S OF LONG IS HAS NOT MADE MUCH WWD PROG DURG THE DAYLIGHT HRS. LLVL WIND FIELD FCST WILL BE FROM THE E-SE FOR A BIT THIS EVE B4 THE SWRLYS ARE SUPPOSE TO TAKE OVR. CUR PLANS ARE NOT TO PUT SOME PATCHY FOG IN OUR MARINE OR HAZE PUBLIC ZONES. GUID MIN TEMPS ARE CLOSE FOR TNGT AND LOOK RSNBL GIVEN CUR DEWPTS. ON MON WE WILL BE EXPANDING THE MNTN OF TSRA A BIT FTHR TO THE S IN NJ. ETA/S FCSTD INSTAB IS NOW GREATER ON MON THAN TUE AND ALSO MORE PREVALENT ACRS OUR SERN ZNS. THIS DOES NOT APPEAR LOGICAL GIVEN THE GENERAL TREND OF HOTTER LWR ATMOS AIR STREAMING ACRS NWRN ZNS. IF ANYTHING THE CUR CAP IS STGR S THAN N AND A SWD DRIFT OF THIS FEAT WOULD PUT OUR NRN ZNS AT MOST RISK. LO CONFID ABT SHRT WV POSN BUT SINCE WE ARE GOING WITH THE AVN...THIS WOULD INCR THE CHC MORE IN NJ THAN PA. ETA NOW PAINTING CNSDRBLY MORE DRY AIR AT MID LVLS THAN IT DID YDA. ANOTHER ONE OF THOSE CASES WHERE THE CHC OF AN AFTN TSRA IS RATHER LOW...BUT IF ONE FORMS WE COULD GET ONE OR TWO SVR PULSERS. AVN FULL SUN MAXT MACRO FOR PHL IS 89. THIS APRS LOW GIVEN ITS OWN INCR IN FCSTD H10-H8.5 THICK. ETA/NGM MOS LOOK BETTER. ALL THE MDLS HAVE SIMMERED THE TD/S DOWN A TAD. THIS SEEMS OK GIVEN THE SWRLY WINDS TMRW ARE NOT THAT IMPRESSIVE AND LO-MID 60S DEWPTS ARE AS FAR S AS NC. STILL MORE HUMID THAN TDY WITH AFTN HEAT INDICES IN THE 90S MOST ZONES. WILL REMOVE ANY MNTN OF PCPN FOR MON NGT AND CONFINE IT TO ONE PERIOD. TSRA S/B DIURNALLY DRIVEN. GUID MIN TEMPS ARE CLSLY CLUSTERED AND WILL USE. THE COMBO OF BOTH HEAT AND HUMIDITY SHLD INCR FOR TUE AS SOME OF THAT HOT AIR RISING NEWD FROM INL STARTS TO GET SHUNTED EWD AND DROP S ACRS THE NRN PART OF OUR CWA. DEWPTS ARE PRETTY HI INTO THE WRN GRTLKS AND THIS TOO HAS TO PASS THRU US. WOULD SUSPECT TD/S MAY BE A BIT HIGH ON TUE...BUT WOULD NOT THINK WE/D GET ANOTHER DAY OF TD/S IN THE 60S CWAWIDE. DUE TO THE RECENT MOIST CONDS NGM MOS MAX TEMPS WILL NOT BE USED. ETA/AVN FULL SUN MACROS GIVE US LO-MID 90S WHICH SEEM SO-CALLED BETTER. THIS COMBO WOULD GIVE US AFTN HEAT INDICES BTWN 100-105. SINCE THERE ARE DIF TRIGGERS (SUBURBAN/OUTLYING 105 VS 100 FOR URBAN) FOR ISSUING EXCESSIVE HEAT ADVY/WRNGS AND AFT COORD WITH LWX WE HAVE OPTED TO ISSUE AN EXCESSIVE HEAT OUTLOOK STATEMENT FOR NOW AND LET LATER SHIFTS FINE TUNE GEO EXTENT. LO CONFID FOR MAX TEMPS ALG THE CST ON TUE. ETA HINTING AT A MORE WRLY FLOW WHICH MIGHT KEEP SEABREEZE OUT. FOR NOW WE ARE HINTING AT A BIT OF A SEABREEZE VIA THE AVN. AS FAR AS THUNDER IS CONCERNED THE ETA WAS LESS UNSTABLE TUE THAN MON. THE AVN WAS MORE SO AND A BIT MORE LOGICAL AGN (NW ZONES). WE WILL KEEP A CHC OF AN AFTN TSRA IN MOST ZONES. AGAIN THE ETA IS SUGG IT WOULD BCM TOO MOIST FOR PULSERS TUE. WE/LL BE A BIT MORE CONSER WITH THE CFP/DRYING OUT THAN THE AVN HAS TO OFFER MAKING WED ANOTHER HOT/HUMID DAY. MARINE: NO PBLMS. CAPE MAY/LEWES FERRY HAD FLAT SEAS THIS MRNG AND AFTN TU FOR COORD LWX. .PHI... DE...NONE. MD...NONE. NJ...NONE. PA...NONE. MARINE...NONE. TFG
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
5 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Maryland in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Maryland, July 2002
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5308869, 5308870, 5308871, 5308872, 5308873.