Kentucky, 2002

Flash Flood in Kentucky, May 7, 2002

May 7, 2002 · NWS LMK · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 7, 1:45 PM EST, 1 hour 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 7, 1:45 PM EST, 1 hour 31 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
245 PM EDT TUE MAY 7 2002

COMPLICATED FCST NEXT CPL DAYS AS LOW-LVL BNDRIES INTERACTING
WITH WARM MOIST AIR MASS WL MAKE TIMING AND AREAL COVERAGE OF CNVCTN
SOMEWHAT TENUOUS. HOWEVER...OVERALL PTRN AS SHOWN BY MODELS SUGGESTS
AT LEAST SCT TSTMS OVRNGT/WED MRNG AND AGN THURS...DETAILS BELOW.

CURRENTLY...OUTFLOW BNDRY LIES ACRS NW TN EWD INTO SERN KY WITH LINE
OF TSTMS ALG ERN PORTION OF BNDRY. THIS BNDRY IS SERVING AS AN
EFFECTIVE WARM FNT WITH TROPICAL BUT CAPPED AIR MASS TO ITS SOUTH
AND RELATIVELY COOLER AIR UNDER THE CLDS OVR MUCH OF KY. A FEW OTHER
TSTMS ARE DVLPG IN CNTRL KY JUST N OF BNDRY AT THIS TIME. EXPECT A
FEW TSTMS THIS EVNG BFR EXITING EWD...THEN MODELS SUGGEST BNDRY/WARM
FNT WL LIFT SLOWLY NEWD ON ITS WRN END OVRNGT AS UPR LVL FLOW BEGINS
BACKING. MODELS ALSO SUGGEST MODEST LO-LVL WARM ADVCTN WL OCR ALG
WITH LOW-LVL MSTR FLUX CNVRGNC ALG BNDRY. AS A RESULT...SCT SHWRS/
TSTMS SHLD INCRS IN COVERAGE OVRNGT/WED MRNG ACRS CNTRL KY THEN PUSH
NEWD DURING MRNG/EARLY AFTN.

HWVR...MORE SIGNIF MCS AND HVY RAINFALL POTNL SHLD OCR WELL TO OUR N
AND W TNGT IN MO (AFTER CURRENT DIURNAL TSTMS ALG MO OUTFLOW BNDRY
SLOWLY WKN). MCS SHLD THEN MOVE MORE EWD/ENEWD DUE TO ADVECTIVE
PROPAGATION COMPONENT. THIS WOULD KEEP HEAVIEST RAIN N OF FCST
AREA...BUT COULD CLIP NRN TIER OF OUR S-CNTRL IN CNTIES BY MRNG.
THUS...WL NOT EXTEND/ISSUE FLOOD WATCH AT THIS TIME ACRS AREA.

BY WED AFTN...WRM FNT SHLD MOV NEWD RESULTING IN WARM HUMID AIR MASS
ACRS FCST AREA. WL LEAVE A MENTION OF TSTMS IN AFTN IN NRN AREAS IN
CASE ANY OUTFLOW BNDRIES ARE PRODUCED FM MRNG RAINFALL. HWVR...AT
LEAST S-CNTRL KY SHLD BECOME CAPPED (REF ETA HIGH VALUES OF CNVCTV
INHIBITION) IN AFTN...THUS NO MENTION OF TSTMS IN THIS AREA.

RIGHT OR WRONG...MESOETA SUGGESTS LINE OF TSTMS DVLPG TO OUR NW WED
NGT THEN MOVING SEWD INTO NCNTRL KY THURS MRNG AHD OF SYNOPTIC
CDFNT...WITH ADDTNL SHWRS/TSTMS PSBL THURS AFTN ALG ACTUAL FNT AS
INTIAL LINE MOVES ACRS REST OF CNTRL KY. TOUGH TO VALIDATE THIS
SCENERIO AT THIS TIME...COULD HAPPEN THOUGH. FOR NOW...A GENERIC
SHWRS/TSTMS LIKELY APRS BEST OPTION ACRS ENTIRE AREA.

PRECIP SHLD MOV OUT OF FCST AREA BY THURS NGT SETTING UP NICE DAY
FRI. HWVR...THIS WL BE SHORT-LIVED AS FLOW SLOWLY BACKS AGN ALLOWING
MSTR RETURN SAT OR SAT NGT. FOR NOW...HV LEFT DRY FCST SAT BUT ADDED
PRECIP SAT NGT. THIS WL NEED TO BE MONITORED.

AVN IS FASTEST WITH FNT ON THURS... THUS MAVS LOWER HIGH TEMPS THAN
FWC. AVN SEEMS A BIT FAST...BUT CLDS/PRECIP MAY KEEP VALUES LWR THAN
FWC NUMBERS. OTHERWISE...GUIDANCE TEMPS REASONABLE.

.SDF...NONE.
FUNK

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 108 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:15 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Garrard

When
May 7, 3:16 PM EST to 5:00 PM EST
Where
Garrard County, Lancaster
Reported by
LAW ENFORCEMENT
Coordinates
37.640, -84.538 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Water covered Old Danville Road west of Lancaster in several locations.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Kentucky in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, May 2002

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5300029.