Damaging Winds in Kentucky, June 5, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
310 PM EDT WED JUN 5 2002

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ON SAT PICTURES SHOWING FIRST  WAVE FM CNTRL MO
TO CNTRL ARKANSAS...LFTG NEWD IN MEAN SWLY FLOW. COMBINATION OF S/W
AND APRCHG CDFNT HAS HELPED INSTIGATE NUMEROUS SHWRS & TSTMS.  GOOD
POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING/HVY RAIN THIS EVNG WRN FA WHERE PRECIP WATER
VALUES ABOVE 1.50 INCHES. MEANWHILE...WET MICRO-BURSTS A GOOD BET...
AS AFTN AND EVNG WHERES ON...WHERE HIGH REFLECTIVTY HELD ALOFT.
MEANWHILE...CDFNT TO SLOWLY CROSS OUR FORECAST AREA (FA) LATER TNGT.
DVLPG/INCRSG RIGHT JET ENTRANCE RGN SHUD ENHANCE PCPN TNGT AS WELL
ALNG WITH SFC FRONTAL CONVG.  WE WILL MENTION HVY RAIN ALL ZONES
TNGT...WHILE GOING WITH A FLOOD WATCH WRN FORECAST AREA TNGT...
WHERE RAINFALL POTENTIAL TO BE MAXIMIZED.

RAINFALL TO HOLD SWAY THRU THU MRNG SOUTH AND EASTERN FA...POST
FRONTAL...UNTIL UPR TROF SHIFTS THRU LATER IN THE DAY. WILL TRY FOR
SOME CLRG NW SECTIONS BUT LOTS OF CLDS SOUTH AND EAST.

HIGH PRES TO BUILD INTO OHIO VLY THU NITE/FRI INTO SATURDAY WITH
QUIET WX ON TAP THEN.

THERMAL PTN ALL SUGGESTING COOLER TEMPS ON THU...WHICH GUIDE HANDLES
WELL. SLOW WARMUP THEN FRI/SATURDAY WHEN SLY FLOW REDEVELOPS.

.SDF...FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT SOUTHERN INDIANA AND NORTH CENTRAL
       KENTUCKY.

STUREY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE, KY
322 PM EDT WED JUN 5 2002

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0310 PM    VALEENE                   IN   .75 INCH HAIL
06/05/02   ORANGE                         ALSO ESTIMATED 50 MPH WIND
                                          GUST. REPORTED BY DISPATCH.

PKW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE, KY
430 PM EDT WED JUN 5 2002

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0425 PM    NEW WASHINGTON            IN   WIND DAMAGE
06/05/02   CLARK                          SEVERAL TREES DOWN ALONG
                                          HWY 62 NEAR NEW WASHINGTON.
                                          REPORTED BY SPOTTER.

PKW

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-060030-

CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH-CENTRAL INDIANA SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
440 PM EDT WED JUN 5 2002

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OKLAHOMA HAS INDICATED THAT A
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL
KENTUCKY AND SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT LOCATED NEAR THE OHIO RIVER WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE INTO CENTRAL KENTUCKY THROUGH THE EVENING. WARM, VERY
MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR REMAINS IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY...THUS NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN
DEVELOPING ACROSS EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY THROUGH
THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.  THE STORMS HAVE
THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING. THE STRONGEST STORMS MAY ALSO CONTAIN LARGE HAIL. A
SEVERE WEATHER WATCH MAY BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT ONE TO THREE
HOURS IF CURRENT STORM TRENDS CONTINUE.

IN ADDITION...ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL CONTAIN VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL DUE TO HIGH LEVELS OF AVAILABLE MOISTURE IN THE ATMOSPHERE.
THE STORMS WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEAST AT 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH STORMS
REGENERATING AND MOVING ACROSS AREAS THAT HAVE PREVIOUSLY RECEIVED
COPIOUS RAINFALL. RAINFALL RATES MAY APPROACH ONE TO TWO INCHES PER
HOUR IN MANY OF THE STRONGER STORMS. THUS...LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY
OCCUR AS WELL.

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS...HOWEVER THE STORMS SHOULD NOT BE AS STRONG AT THAT
TIME.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO, LOCAL TELEVISION OR RADIO STATIONS
OR CABLE OUTLETS FOR FURTHER UPDATES. SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY
BE REQUESTED LATER TODAY.

VLD