1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 23, 1:37 PM EST, 4 hours 33 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 237 PM EDT TUE JUL 23 2002 ...FORECAST ISSUES... FORECAST CHALLENGES REVOLVE AROUND POP CHANCES IN THE SHORT TERM ALONG WITH HI TEMPS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. RAIN CHANCES IN THE EXTENDED ARE A LITTLE CHALLENGING AS WELL. ...MODELS/ZFP... H5 SYNOPTIC CHART THIS MORNING SHOW A LARGE TROF FROM CENTRAL CANADA DOWN THROUGH THE NORTHERN OHIO VALLEY WITH A SECONDARY WAVE OVER THE SOUTHEAST US...LARGE RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL US WAS SEEN AS WELL. FORECAST MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT PUSHING WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY THROUGH THE REGION OR JUST PLAIN OUT DISSOLVING IT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. CURRENT RADAR PICS SHOWING AN AREA OF STRATIFORM RAIN OVER IN THE SDF-FFT-LEX AREA. OUT AHEAD OF THIS AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE STARTING TO POP UP WITH THE HEATING OF THE AFTERNOON. OVERALL...HIGH CLOUDS HAVE LIMITED THE STRONG SURFACE HEATING ORIGINALLY FORECAST. HOWEVER...CURRENT THINKING IS THAT MORE STORMS WILL FIRE UP LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS WE APPROACH MAXIMUM HEATING. FOR TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE AREA. FWC/MAV/MET NUMBERS IN GOOD AGREEMENT TONIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...BUT NEAR 70 ACROSS THE FAR SOUTH. ON WEDNESDAY...WILL BEGIN ENDING PRECIP FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. EXPECT A LOT OF CLOUDS AROUND TOMORROW WHICH SHOULD KEEP TEMPS DOWN SLIGHTLY COMPARED TO PREVIOUS DAY. LOOKING FOR HIGHS OF 83 TO 88 ACROSS THE AREA. PLAN ON MENTIONING SOME FOG FOR WED NIGHT...AS SKIES CLEAR A LITTLE MORE BUT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS HIGH. FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...A COUPLE OF H5 WAVES ARE FORECAST TO SCOOT JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA ON FRIDAY. WITH SOME UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT...PLAN ON KEEPING CHANCE POPS IN FOR THU/FRI...MAINLY FOR AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACTIVITY. FWC/MAV/MET NUMBERS LOOK GOOD AND PLAN ON USING A BLEND. ...EXTENDED... UPPER LEVEL PATTERN FAIRLY AMPLIFIED IN THE BEGINNING OF THE EXTENDED BUT UPPER LEVEL RIDGING TAKES OVER BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND. SEVERAL H5 WAVE ARE FORECAST TO PASS THROUGH THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE FIRST PART OF THE EXTENDED. THE FIRST OF THESE WAVES PASSES THROUGH LATE FRI AND EARLY SATURDAY...WITH THE SECOND ONE PASSING BY SAT NITE AND THEN THE FINAL ONE PASSING BY SUNDAY NIGHT. WITH THE WAVES PASSING BY AND GOOD SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AT THE SURFACE EXPECT CONVECTION TO POP UP DURING THE AFTERNOONS...MAINLY SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY. AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS MOVES OVER THE AREA ON TUESDAY...CONVECTION SHOULD BE HELD TO A MINIMUM. THUS...PLAN ON KEEPING TUESDAY DRY AT THIS POINT. NOT MUCH CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES FOR THIS PACKAGE. LOOKING AT LOWS AROUND 70 AND HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90...WHICH IS SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. ...GRIDS... FORECAST DATABASE IS GOOD SHAPE. DID THE USUAL RE-LOAD OF 1HR T/TD AND WINDS FROM THE MESO ETA FOR THE 1ST 48 HOURS. ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO THE REST OF THE ELEMENTS WERE DONE. ...PRELIM NUMBERS... LOZ 69/84 66/85 5423 JKL 67/83 66/85 5423 .JKL...NONE JARVIS ===================================================================== 1110 AM MORNING DISCUSSION... THERE WILL BE LITTLE CHANGE TO THE ZONE FORECASTS FOR THIS AFTERNOON. THE ATMOSPHERE OVER EASTERN KY REMAINS STRONGLY UNSTABLE LIKE YESTERDAY...AND PRECIPITABLE WATER IS A LITTLE HIGHER...IN THE 1.7 TO 2.0 INCH RANGE. THE LATEST RUC MODEL RUN SHOWS THAT A VORT MAX...SUPPORTING CONVECTION OVER NORTH CENTRAL KY NOW...MOVES OVER NORTHEAST KY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS THIS AFTERNOON MAY INHIBIT CONVECTION TO SOME EXTENT...BUT WE HESITATE TO LOWER THE 60 POP WE HAVE GOING. THE REMARK ON HEAVY RAIN WILL BE TUNED DOWN A BIT TO SHOW ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS BASICALLY SUPPORT SLOW MOVING PULSE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. ALSO...AREA 12Z SOUNDINGS SHOW SOME INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL HELICITY. ANY STORM THAT MANAGES TO DEVELOP A MID-LEVEL ROTATION COULD PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AS WELL AS DAMAGING WINDS. SCHAUB PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS: --------------------------------------------------------------------- 400 AM EDT TUE JUL 23 2002 06Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST WITH A COLD FRONT SAGGING INTO OHIO VALLEY. DEWPOINTS NEAR THE OHIO RIVER... AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY ARE IN THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 70S. ON SATELLITE...THE EARLIER CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES ALONG THE FRONT ARE WEAKENING AND CLOUD TOPS WARMING EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER WITH JUST SOME LEFT OVER CLOUDS FROM THE EVENING CONVECTION OVER EAST KENTUCKY. ON RADAR...LOCALLY IT IS NOW QUIET BUT FURTHER WEST A COUPLE OF AREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN AHEAD OF THE FRONT ALONG OUT FLOW BOUNDARIES FROM THE EARLIER CONVECTION. THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ALOFT AS A STRONG TROUGH MOVES BY WELL TO THE NORTH IN THE WESTERLIES TODAY LEAVING BEHIND PERSISTENT WEAKNESS IN THE SOUTHEAST AS THE FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. BY THE END OF THE WEEK THE AVN FEATURES A DISTINCT SHORTWAVE DROPPING THROUGH THE UPPER MIDWEST AND INTO THE OHIO VALLEY...SIMILAR TO THE SOLUTION 48 HOURS AGO FOR THOSE KEEPING TRACK. THIS TOO LIFTS OUT DURING THE WEEKEND RETURNING MORE ZONAL FLOW TO THE AREA. FOR SENSIBLE WEATHER...THE FRONT SLOWLY SAGS THROUGH EAST KENTUCKY TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH PLENTY OF MOISTURE AS PWS APPROACH 2 INCHES. LIGHT WINDS ALOFT WILL MAKE HEAVY RAINS POSSIBLE FROM ANY SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORM OR COMPLEX OF SUCH. THOUGH...UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT WILL BE LACKING THIS FAR SOUTH OF THE WESTERLIES. IN THIS AIRMASS NOT MUCH UPPER SUPPORT IS NEEDED FOR SOAKING RAINS. EXPECT THE BEST CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DIMINISH FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...THE FRONT NEVER FULLY CLEARS THE AREA...JUST WASHING OUT TO OUR SOUTH. THE APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH WILL GIVE THE SFC PATTERN AN INVERTED TROUGH LOOK THURSDAY MAKING FOR ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY SOUTH ...BEFORE THE TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. QUIETER WEATHER WOULD APPEAR TO FOLLOW...BUT AN IMPULSE IN THE NOW ZONAL FLOW WILL KEEP THE THREAT OF CONVECTION IN THE FORECAST FOR SATURDAY AS WELL. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT ALL THE CLOUDS AND SHOWERS AROUND WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES THIS WEEK A BIT COOLER THAN THOSE OF THE PAST FEW DAYS. MANY DIFFERENCES IN MOS TEMPS AND POPS BETWEEN THE AVN AND NGM. PICKED AND CHOSE ACCORDING TO THE ABOVE SCENARIO. PREFER WARMER NGM TEMPS WEDNESDAY...BUT HIGHER MAV POPS. AS FOR GFE/IFPS...LOADED AND TWEAKED THE MESOETA/S WINDS AND TEMPS THROUGH 60 HOURS...HAD TO ADJUST SOME AREAS OF MODELED RAIN COOLED MAXES TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. REST OF GRIDS INHERITED WERE HIGH QUALITY ...JUST MADE SOME SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS TO NEW MODELS AND NDFD BLEND. WORK ZONES AVAILABLE UNDER THE AFOS PRODUCT SDFOZFJKL BEFORE TOO LONG. PRELIMINARY CCF NUMBERS: LOZ TE 088/068 083/065 084 65423 JKL TB 086/066 085/066 083 64312 .JKL...NONE GREIF
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Water was flowing about 7 to 8 inches deep along Kentucky Highway 1714, which runs along Pigeon Roost Creek.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, July 2002
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5312299.